Maggie's FarmWe are a commune of inquiring, skeptical, politically centrist, capitalist, anglophile, traditionalist New England Yankee humans, humanoids, and animals with many interests beyond and above politics. Each of us has had a high-school education (or GED), but all had ADD so didn't pay attention very well, especially the dogs. Each one of us does "try my best to be just like I am," and none of us enjoys working for others, including for Maggie, from whom we receive neither a nickel nor a dime. Freedom from nags, cranks, government, do-gooders, control-freaks and idiots is all that we ask for. |
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Monday, January 23. 2012QQQ[The rationalists] have got rid of the Christian God, and now feel obliged to cling all the more firmly to Christian morality ... When one gives up Christian belief, one thereby deprives oneself of the right to Christian morality. Whoever tries to peel off this fundamental idea—belief in God—from Christian morality will only be taking a hammer to the whole thing, shattering it to pieces. Frederick Nietzsche (h/t Dr. Bob, who seems to be on blog sabbatical or retirement)
Monday morning linksMead: How to read a book Why isn’t the iPhone made in America? Extinct? Cougar sightings on the rise in eastern United States Destroying America by Denying Access to Energy Steyn on how Romney gave us Newt The Hill: Romney Exposed As Very Weak Candidate That He Is Snapshot of a Creative Destruction - Kodak, Rochester, and the decline of the industrial Northeast Merkel and Sarkozy propose higher taxes to "strengthen growth now" Why Contemporary Western Elites Don’t Understand the World and Why Their Foreign Policies Fail Hannibal and Me, and other books of conquerors WaPo: Time to scrutinize Obama's record Charles Murray: Do we Need the Federal Department of Education?
Sunday, January 22. 2012Malaguena on PianoQQQCharacter is destiny. Sigmund Freud A repost: Fallacies of the Week: A few fun Data FallaciesWe have rreported so many scientific frauds in the past couple of weeks, I thought I would highlight some commonly-used "data-management" tricks designed to dishonestly influence people. 1. "Clustering." We have all heard about cancer clusters - Why does my town have triple the breast cancer of towns two miles away? There must be someone I can sue about this. Such claims have an emotional appeal, but they are nonsense. Random distribution is not even - it is uneven. Just try flipping a quarter, and you will get little runs of tails. Clustering is a natural effect of randomness, but trial lawyers are always busy trying to track them down: they can get rich before anyone figures out the game.
2. "Cherry-picking." Cherry-picking is a frankly dishonest form of data presentation, often used by newspapers to create alarmist stories about the economy, the environment, food safety, etc. It fools people without some decent science education. What it entails is combing through, say, 60 pieces of data, and then using the three points that support your argument, and ignoring the rest. Presenting random changes as meaningful facts is a lie. Environmentalists use this all of the time, as do other agenda-driven fact-handlers. A casual use of this fallacy is characteristic of The New York Times typical headline: Despite Good Economic Statistics, Some Are Left Behind - and then they scour NYC to find some single black mom in the Bronx who cannot support her kids - and she becomes the "story". 3. "Anectdotal evidence." The above example could also be termed "anectdotal evidence." If you look around, you can always find an exception, a story, and example - of ANYTHING. But anectdotes are compelling, and Reagan used them to the best effect. And how about those swimming Polar Bears! (I always thought they liked to swim.) 4. "Omitted evidence". You tell me how common this is! A first cousin of Cherry-picking, Omitted Evidence is also a lie. All you do is ignore the evidence and data that disagrees with your bias or your position. Simple. 5. "Confirmation bias". People tend to remember evidence which supports their opinion, belief, or bias, and to dismiss or forget evidence which does not. It's a human frailty. Humans have to struggle to be rational. 6. "Biased Data". "A poll at a local pre-school playground in Boston at 2 pm today indicated that 87% of likely voters will vote for Obama." Picking your data sources, like picking the questions you ask, can determine your results with great accuracy. As pollsters always say, "Tell me the answer you want, and I will design the question." 7. "Data mining." Data-mining is used by unscrupulous academics who need to publish. Because it is a retroactive search for non-hypothesized correlations, it does not meet criteria for the scientific method. Let's say you have 10,000 data points from a study which found no correlation for your hypothesis. Negative correlation studies are rarely published, but you spend a lot of time collecting it - so you ask your computer if it can find any other positive correlations in the data. Then you publish those, as if that was what you had studied in the first place. Image: two good varieties of cherries for picking; Stella on the left, Lapins on the right, from Miller Nurseries Kevin Spacey as Richard lllThis production of Richard lll is a stunner, according to my family including my theatrical pupette, and the reviews. It's traveled around the world, now finishing up at BAM in New York until March 4. (Trailer of the performance at the link). Worth a trip to Brooklyn. It's a joint production of the Old Vic, BAM, and Neal Street, known as "The Bridge." “Mr. Spacey gives fierce and flashy physical life to every twist of a power-mad man’s corkscrew mind.” —The New York Times
Since we're on the topic of Shakespeare, Never Yet Melted found this: Sunday morning linksMurray: The New American Divide - The ideal of an 'American way of life' is fading as the working class falls further away from institutions like marriage and religion and the upper class becomes more isolated. Charles Murray on what's cleaving America, and why. Environmentalism and the Leisure Class:
Where Does ‘Women and Children First’ Originate? - It's British, stemming from the "Birkenhead Drill" of 1852. The NPR style (h/y Vanderleun) Chavez: The college racket - This bubble needs to burst:
Allergies: Shouldn’t we be cracking down on nuts? The dawn of lower pay on Wall St. Related, Wall Street Woes: Poor Hardest Hit In NY, Cracks in the Socialist Reality Bubble Begin How Can Obama and the Democrats Deflect Blame? Let Me Count the Ways. Census Bureau Plays the Race Card What race is Obama? Black or Caucasion or Middle-Eastern? What race am I? If the one-drop rule applies, I am Native American. And since when is "Hispanic" a race? Are people from Spain "Hispanic"? Are European Cubans Hispanic? Are Central American Indians Hispanic? Or Indians? Are black Cubans Hispanic? So confusing. And I haven't even gotten to the Irish: definitely a race - and a race with a history of cruel discrimination in the US for which generous compensation is due (my kids are 1/4 Irish and would welcome a check). Welfare tourism in the UK Middle America loves conservatives who stand up to liberal bullies What’s the Conservative Case for Upholding ObamaCare? Jay Carney: Obama Doesn’t Really Spend a Lot of Time Campaigning Strange How the Media Didn’t Care About Infidelity in 1992 and 2008\ Nietzsche on Eggshells - A new book on the philosopher’s American reception soft-pedals his dark influence. Canadian Pundit Destoys ‘Post American President’ Obama’s Reasoning for Passing On Keystone XL From today's LectionaryPsalm 62:5-12
Saturday, January 21. 2012Domino and Mexican Train DominoesProf. Jacobson found this:
Do you ever play Mexican Train Dominoes? A good game, quite absorbing. We learned to play it in Mexico last year. More fun than watching TV. Uncle's Games sells Mexican Train Domino sets. This game is said to be the most popular Domino game these days. Rules here (which sound more complicated than it is to play). It's a good alternative to Chess and Scrabble when you don't feel like over-taxing your brain, and 4 or 5 can play.
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Saturday morning linksInsty on your sex life. "Never say 'No.' " The Growing Science of Sex Difference Why Newt Gingrich is surging in South Carolina A GOP Candidate's Bitter Ex-Wife Receives More Coverage Than a Video of Obama Dining with Terrorist-Supporters Fatah's Top Religious Authority Calls for Genocide of Jews
Goldberg on the pipeline: A Question of Priorities The Obama re-election campaign is already shaping up as the most deceitful in American electoral history Obama Forces Religious Institutions to Cover Free Contraception for Employees Le Monde Suggests that the Fault for the Concordia's Shipwreck Belongs Not to Captain Schettino, But to… American Capitalism Illinois gets downgraded by Moody’s If Obama said what Newt said, he’d get a standing ‘O’ Obama has figured out why Americans perceive him as aloof: It's the media's fault Obama Administration Approves Rule That Guarantees Near-Universal Contraceptive Coverage Obama’s Favorite SuperPAC, The Activist Old Media Solyndra Destroying Millions of Dollars in Parts, TV Station Reports Will: A Supreme Obamacare test:
Graph below from The Effect of Throwing Money at Education Saturday Verse: Richard WilburIn Trackless Woods In trackless woods, it puzzled me to find (A bio and some commentary here. Buy the Collected Poems of this modern master here) Free ad for Caravaggio (1571-1610)
Michelangelo Merisi da Caravaggio's The Calling of Matthew (1600) The notoriously brawling artist brought a new look to European late Renaissance art, and is viewed as a bridge between Mannerism and Baroque. He was a rock star artist in his time. The Calling of Matthew is discussed here in the WSJ, and here.
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Friday, January 20. 2012How the 1% get a heart attackThe Associated Press reports the most extensive study yet of whether engaging in sex causes heart attacks.
However,
Still, “sexual activity is the cause of less than 1 percent of all heart attacks," says the lead author of the report. Another good reason to be part of the 1%?
Posted by Bruce Kesler
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Foie Gras WarsI happen to be fond of foie gras, whether sauteed to crispy outside and rare and buttery inside, or in a stuffing for game birds, or any other way. Some bossyboots people don't want me to eat it. The animal rescue guy says "I don't want that on my plate." Fine. Don't eat it. I'll eat yours.
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Your annual diversity report, pleaseRevolutionary ConservativesFrom Greenfield's You want a revolution?
Reactionary DemsThere was a brief period when Clinton actually sounded like a growth and prosperity Dem, but, since then, the party snapped back to its 1930s approach. Tyrrell:
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Baby presentQQQ"Authority that does not exist for Liberty is not authority but force.” Lord Acton
Friday morning linksMap of Tokyo's train system Poe fans call an end to 'Toaster' tradition Dear Student: I Don't Lie Awake At Night Thinking of Ways to Ruin Your Life New light on choice of investment strategy The last of the Navajo code-talkers died Where the coke comes from Bain Capital Saved America - In the 1980s, the resilient U.S. economy saved itself from becoming Europe. Bain was part of the rescue. Kristoff: Is banking bad? Surprise: Dems Received Nearly Three Times as Much Bain Money as GOP Last Three Election Cycles Obama picks vulture capitalist as budget chief Selling EU serfdom to the masses App That Would Guide Users Away From High-Crime Areas Proves Controversial Att. Eric Holder: Dems In Upstate NY Say Voter Fraud is ‘A Normal Political Tactic’ – Your Voting Rights Division Might Want To Look Into That Mitt's 15% tax rate higher than most Americans Key Risks in the New Defense Guidance: What Kind of War and Where? Students rebel against Gorepaganda Better Late Than Never: The Afghan War Handbook This Is CNN: Piers Morgan Praises Jimmy Carter for ‘Malaise’ Speech Anti-Fracking Greens and Their War on the Poor - Hydraulic fracking makes natural gas less expensive and lowers heating costs benefiting the poor. The White House’s Israel-bashing pals WaPo: Pipeline decision "insanity." image below via Ross' post -
CaboCabo, last March. A good time, great food, fun fishing with the whales and Sea Lions, and plenty of great pals of my in-laws. My, my, my, how time flies. Go Go Hi Ho! Thursday, January 19. 2012Wuterich’s Tough Choice: Exit or Honor (UPDATE: Honor)Nat Helms at Defend Our Marines and Tony Perry at the Los Angeles Times, both able reporters of the Haditha prosecutions, have similar stories up about the choice that Frank Wuterich must make tonight. As Perry puts it, “This could be the longest night of Staff Sgt. Frank Wuterich’s life since he became a defendant in arguably the largest war-crime case from the war in Iraq.” Helms brings in the deeper meaning: “The 31-year-old father of three can bite the proverbial bullet and ask for administrative separation, or he can dig in his heels and fight for the principles he has already proved he is willing to die for.” Admittance to a minor charge and an administrative separation, meaning under less than honorable conditions, means that Wuterich would lose veterans benefits and carry on his record a crime. On the other hand, as Perry says, “But if he decides to continue fighting the charges against him -- manslaughter, assault and dereliction of duty -- he could end up with a conviction on one or more of the counts, which would also bring a discharge under less than honorable grounds.” And, possibly, prison time. But, Perry continues,. Continue reading "Wuterich’s Tough Choice: Exit or Honor (UPDATE: Honor)" The bad news for the public education industry
Confirmed: Charter Schools Beat the Daylights Out of Public Schools:
"President Obama Stands Up to Big Oil"So says Robert Redford. (But, I ask, who will stand up against Big Hollywood?) I think our readers understand that this is not about "Big Oil." "Big Oil" is a straw man. This is about a supply of cheap energy for Americans, and a supply that does not come from the Middle East or from Venezuela. The moonbats, who depend on energy as much as I do for daily life, appear to believe that it grows on trees. How does Redford heat all of his houses? And does he care what it costs him? Would he care if his estate in Aspen lost heat this winter? During his campaign, Obama promised to raise the cost of energy. He and his EPA have been doing their best to do that. Makes no sense to me. Now Canada's fuel will be used in China instead of here. What sort of accomplishment is that?
Posted by The News Junkie
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Ameritopia: Mark Levin Discusses the Utopian Unmaking of America
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