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Maggie's FarmWe are a commune of inquiring, skeptical, politically centrist, capitalist, anglophile, traditionalist New England Yankee humans, humanoids, and animals with many interests beyond and above politics. Each of us has had a high-school education (or GED), but all had ADD so didn't pay attention very well, especially the dogs. Each one of us does "try my best to be just like I am," and none of us enjoys working for others, including for Maggie, from whom we receive neither a nickel nor a dime. Freedom from nags, cranks, government, do-gooders, control-freaks and idiots is all that we ask for. |
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Wednesday, June 13. 2012Hunting divers in ManitobaThese videos are from my hunting club in Manitoba. Location is secret. We know that little blind on the point well, but usually hunt from the boats, driving them into the reeds. Big water, big lake. Lots of naive first-year birds, Red Heads, Canvasbacks, Bluebills. The best hunting is in the worst weather: snowy sleet, with wind.
Posted by Gwynnie
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12:02
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Tuesday, June 12. 2012ObamaCare’s Promises Versus ActuariesPRESIDENT OBAMA: “Finally, my proposal would bring down the cost of health care for millions -- families, businesses, and the federal government.” (President Obama, Remarks, 3/3/10)
Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), Office of the Actuary, 6/12/12:
Posted by Bruce Kesler
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18:46
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Index funds
Fund managers naturally hate that fact, as do investors for whom hope often conquers experience. You cannot dispute the facts: Active Fund Management Is A Loser's Game. Despite the data, I often think that people want to know that there is a sober person behind the wheel, somebody you can phone when you want to. Somebody who cares. Somebody who is smarter than the markets. They pay for that fantasy. How to protect your nest egg in the Land of ZIRP? Don't ask me. I bank 10% of my pre-tax income each year, religiously. My nest egg, paltry as it is, is 1/4 equity index funds, 1/4 bond index funds, 1/4 cash, and 1/4 in one really good hedge fund. It may all blow up someday, but I intend to never need the money anyway. The men in my family never quit working and I will keep that wholesome, old-fashioned tradition going unless or until disease or the grim reaper get me. Retirement ages people, or most people. It ages them, mentally. I think it is an old New Englander ethic: be stingy, save, resist temptations to buy stuff, and work forever. Use money for overpriced education, books, booze, theater, adventure, and travel.
Posted by The Barrister
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13:04
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Monday, June 11. 2012Enrique GranadosEnrique Granados drowned in 1916 while attempting to save his wife after their ship was torpedoed by the Germans. He was returning home from a performance for President Wilson. This weekend, we heard a performance of his Danzas espanolas, written for piano but, in our case, amazingly arranged for harp and guitar. Wow. You don't get to hear that everyday - harp as the melodic instrument, with guitar as back-up. Especially after a very pleasant church picnic hanging out with the brethren. A fine day indeed in Yankeeland, then later a delicious no-carb Asian dinner out with dear friends and their Ivy League math genius daughter. Les tres riche heures du Bird Dog. Did I mention three hours of yard and farm work before church? The classical guitarist we heard with the harpist has a sideline as a studio rock musician. Mrs. BD said classical guitar is like ballet. If you can do ballet, you can do any other sort of dance easily. The rondalla is wonderful if you can find it, but this is the "Oriental" bit, arranged, in this case, for two guitars:
Saturday, June 9. 2012Pediatric Dentistry IncomeHow much does a busy pediatric Dentist make? I obtained some inside information. A local, solo practitioner guy nets, for himself, $1.4 million per year. His gross is almost double that. He works hard, keeps three rooms going at a time, and around 40% of his practice is children's Medicaid which apparently pays well. The rest is self-pay plus some dental insurance. He has two hygienists, a receptionist, and a billing person in the office. A small businessman. But would you want his job?
Posted by The Barrister
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14:33
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Plover du Jour: The Killdeer
That was a sight which gladdened my heart and sweetened my soul. The Killdeer is found, either breeding or wintering, in all states of the US. It's a plover of open ground, and not particularly associated with water like most plovers. You will never find them in tall grass or woodlands, but you can occasionally see them doing their run-and-pause bug-hunting technique on pebbly shorelines. Their "killdeer" call, sometimes heard at night, and the rusty flash of tail, are distinctive. You can read about this not-uncommon bird here. Every good person loves the Killdeer.
Posted by Bird Dog
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12:23
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Friday, June 8. 2012Special Operations Forces Organize Against ObamaMy good friend Larry Bailey retired from the Navy in 1990 after a 27-year career as a SEAL, rising to Captain. Captain Bailey's most significant military assignment was as Commanding Officer of the Naval Special Warfare Center, where all Navy SEALS undergo basic and advanced training. Bailey and others from across the spectrum of US special forces have banded together to form Special Operations Speaks. I'll let them speak for themselves:
There's a petition at the site for an investigation by the House Homeland Security Committee into who leaked the secret information about the SEAL raid that got bin Laden. Please sign up. Also, rest assured that just as they defended us during their active duty, our special operations forces are still doing the job. P.S.: Here's a 2007 interview by me with Larry Bailey, when he organized 40,000 in D.C. for a No Cut, No Run rally.
Posted by Bruce Kesler
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23:02
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Misleading Reporting About Black Illegal Immigrants In IsraelAs in so many other cases, international media usually seeks out and features negative news about Israel or exaggerates it or treats it in a biased manner. So, too, on this issue. There is a natural, and commendable, empathy for peoples in dire straits or whose experience, by large stretches of analogy, may be compared to other groups, like Hispanics or Blacks in the US, but that alone does not merit the one-sided coverage of this issue and the lack of facts and context. That lack of context and partial facts has been the case with most of the reporting about African illegal immigrants in Israel. As in the US, it is difficult to count the number of illegal immigrants, so hard numbers of illegal African immigrants in Israel are estimates. According to Wikipedia, there were about 26-thousand in July 2010 and 55-thousand in January 2012. Estimates of new arrivals are about 1-thousand a month, which would bring the June 2012 number to over 60-thousand. Two-thirds are estimated to be in south Tel Aviv and another 20% in the resort city of Eilat. Some other estimates of illegal African immigrants in Israel are higher. This is a lower percentage of illegal immigrants than in the US, but Israel should not wait until it is as large a problem as here. There are also about 150,000 Black Ethiopian Jews in Israel. Black Ethiopian Jews were brought in by Israel. As in the US, there is certainly racism against Blacks within Israel. There is also acceptance and substantial aid within Israel, as in the US for its illegal immigrants. Continue reading "Misleading Reporting About Black Illegal Immigrants In Israel"
Posted by Bruce Kesler
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21:14
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Commencement: "You aren't special. Go lead an ordinary life."From You’re Not Special (h/t Vanderleun):
There is nothing easy about leading an "ordinary" life - whatever that is - and you will always be precious to your parents.
Thursday, June 7. 2012A few other problems with diagnosis in Psychiatry and the DSMExcept for some clearly defined, obvious ailments (eg dementia, the schizophrenias, PDD, autism, addiction, melancholia), most diagnoses in the handbook (the DSM, which many of us refer to as "the insurance manual") attempt to define common clumps of symptoms or behaviors without assuming any validity (ie, without any assumption that the clumping refers to any one cause or underlying abnormality) to those clumps. Many of our "diagnoses" are akin to saying that a patient has a fever. There's a problem of some sort, but you don't know what it is yet, or whether it's serious or not. Lots of them are "life problems." The DSM is, sorry to say, largely pseudo-scientific. That's because we have very little validity to demonstrate. Since the validity of most of our diagnoses cannot be tested in any way, all people do is to test their reliability (ie how often will two docs make the same diagnosis in a given patient). In a sense, measuring reliability is nothing but a measure of group-think and, in Psychiatry, the reliability of our diagnoses is quite low - in the "poor" range. (This is measured by a "kappa" score of inter-rater reliability.) A pain researcher discusses use of kappa:
OK, Psychiatry has only a few rare spots of validity, but even its reliability is mostly in the "poor" to "fair" range. The good Psychiatrist here discusses the abysmal reliability of Psychiatric diagnoses. As Robin Hanson discusses, Psychiatry uses "depressingly low standards" for reliability. Indeed, most of the time Psychiatrists disagree on how to label a given patient because few patients fit the molds, and most sort-of "fit" multiple categories. Furthermore, many diagnoses fade imperceptibly into normal variants: ADD, anxiety, mild depression, pbobias, PTSD, Bipolar 2, and OCD, and personality disorders, for some common examples. (I recently read that 40% of people have some obsessional symptoms at some point in their lives.) In Psychiatry, you have to be able to tolerate ambiguity. It's not a mechanical profession except for the amateurs. Most if not all people on the sidewalk are at least what we might term "normal-neurotic" in some ways. As a result, the American Psychiatric Association recommends that the DSM not be applied clinically in the cook book manner in which it is written, but as a guideline to which clinical experience - and understanding the patient in as much depth as possible - inform one's clinical impression. As Dr. Frances says, "It's not a Bible," and should not be applied as if it were. Indeed it is not. Scientifically, it's mostly a failure but it's a kind of casual dictionary. I do not take it too seriously, and often use diagnostic descriptions which do not appear in the DSM (such as "neurosis"). I can usually find a way to help people anyway, regardless of how I might label them (and often I do not bother to label them at all). Generally, the more clinical experience a doc has under his belt, and the more psychodynamically-oriented he is, the less seriously he takes the diagnostic obsessional nit-picking. We muddle through, struggle to understand, and still are able to help lots of people in the end. A true diagnosis of a patient goes far beyond anything in the superficial DSM. For example, a real diagnosis must consider the nature and quality of somebody's "object relations," their character strengths and weaknesses, their sublimatory capacities, their defensive structure, their superego functioning, etc. etc. In other words, really knowing what a person is all about. Wikipedia has a surprisingly good review of the DSM, with the major critiques. They seem to omit a discussion of its massive profitability. That's enough for now. More later.
Posted by Dr. Joy Bliss
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17:13
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Wednesday, June 6. 2012Don't know much about philosophy, but I know a bit about marketsHarvard's Michael Sandel is a rock star political/moral philosopher. I've never read him. All I know about him is from this review of his new book, What Money Can't Buy, in The Guardian. So just a brief thought about the article, not the book. It seems to me as if Sandel has created a straw man of money - or maybe of markets, and wishes people would consider more elevated, more moral views of life. But don't markets simply reflect what people want, and the decisions and choices people make? Many people seem to want to buy his ideas, which is why his book is making him big bucks in the marketplace of the bookstores.
"Illuminating observation"? That's new? It may be true that profs of Economics have attempted to make their area of study as value-neutral as physics, but economics as practiced by the individual person in a free society is as far from value-neutral as can be. After all, there are "markets" in values and morals too and everybody seeks different versions of these products. Free markets in everything, from ideas, to religion, to dating, to education, to health, to business. That's America to me. Just don't expect me to approve of your choices. Help me out, gentle readers. What contradictions can you see in Sandel, as seen through the article?
Posted by The Barrister
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19:17
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Who is at my gym at 5 AM? Moms.While leaning against a wall sweating after my heroic aerobics the other day, at 5:45 AM, I decided to interview a sweet little (but muscular and fit) trainer about some details on the roughly 60 people who show up when the doors open at 5. She told me that it is not the same people every day, but it tends to break down like this: - around 1/3 are Moms who do an early work-out before going home to make breakfast for their kids (while Dad is still home and the kids are sleeping). She said this early-bird approach is increasingly popular with Moms around here, where men typically leave for work at 6 or 6:30. Plus - about 7-10 muscular hunks doing weight training - mostly guys but always a couple of gals
Posted by Bird Dog
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12:35
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Tuesday, June 5. 2012The overdiagnosis of mental illness: "Labels change quickly""There is no constituency for 'normal'," he says. Dr. Francis, who had been an editor of the DSM 3 and Editor of the 4, and was a teacher of mine back in the day, discusses some of the current diagnostic craziness related to the DSM 5 (h/t to 1 Boring Old Man). His talk also contains some good general comments about Psychiatric medical practice, for those who might be curious about it. Sensible fellow, and articulate without teleprompter. I will post some more items about diagnosis this week for the two or three readers who find the topic interesting.
Posted by Dr. Joy Bliss
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16:42
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Kesler in "Minding The Campus": Round 3, College Requires Students To Be VictimsMinding The Campus blog, from the Manhattan Institute, is one of the preeminent venues for discussing issues in higher education. Today, my third annual shock at what is presented as required reading for incoming students at my alma mater and at many other colleges appears at Minding The Campus: Working Hard to Convince Freshmen They Are Victims. I encourage you to click the link and go to the Minding The Campus website to read it, because you will find a site worthy of a daily visit. Otherwise, the column is below the fold: Continue reading "Kesler in "Minding The Campus": Round 3, College Requires Students To Be Victims" Monday, June 4. 2012Roger Kimball on CivilizationAt New Criterion, Future tense, XI: The lessons of culture - On culture's role in the economy of life and the fragility of civilization. A remarkable, timely essay; a tour de force. One quote:
Read it all. There is all sorts of good stuff in it.
Posted by Bird Dog
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17:40
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Sunday, June 3. 2012Why there's no Dunkin' Donuts in CaliforniaIt takes the Marines to open just one!
Posted by Bruce Kesler
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22:08
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Always a crisis
Not from The Onion: Frank Bruni in the NYT tries to make the case that government should control what we eat. It's a crisis, you know. Related article: Is Freedom Possible Without Virtue?Albert Jay Nock on doing the right thing:
Image is from Political Commentator's Mayor Michael Bloomberg starring in "The New York Nanny State of Mind"
Posted by The Barrister
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14:28
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Diamond JubileeWe attended a delightful Jubilee party that some Brit friends threw yesterday. Jolly good fun. Buckets of Pimm's Cup. Our friends were also celebrating their achievement of American citizenship, about which they feel proud. There are tight citizenship quotas for northern European immigrants despite our friends' being a Cambridge-educated economist and mathematician. I think he has waited ten years, working with a green card. Their house was flying both Brit and American flags for the occasion. One of a bunch of cool pics from the year of the Queen's coronation (h/t AVI). What are those bags hanging on the wall?
Posted by Bird Dog
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12:24
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Saturday, June 2. 2012“Existential Defeatism” Abroad and at HomeIn the fall of 1971, in grad school, I did a 60-page analysis of the Nixon/Kissinger détente policy. I concluded it was largely a holding action meant to slow down what otherwise was believed by its primaries as the inevitable declining power of the West in the face of rising Soviet and Chinese power. I termed it “existential defeatism”. Although pragmatic coping in many ways, defeatism or its better cousin called nuance, has not been terribly beneficial to US interests since. There isn’t a linear relationship from 1971 to now, but rather a trend. This trend is toward restraint in asserting our interests, with the confused interruption of our Iraq experience. It is increasingly coupled with deference to the alternate or contrary interests of other countries, called internationalism. These policies can take little credit for the fall of the Soviet Union, under the weight of its own internal contradictions, in 1989. On the other hand, China kept ascending, US fecklessness in Indochina is touted by Islamist radicals as encouragement for their causes, and Russia is following its old path contrary to Western interests. Meanwhile, many of today’s foreign policy gurus tout international law and international organizations, usually most often in play to hinder or attack Western interests. Restraint in foreign engagements, particularly military, is certainly to be prized unless clear US national interests, mechanisms, and follow-through plans are pretty clearly present, and articulated by our national political leaders so necessary to domestic support. However, instead, what we’ve increasingly seen is muddling and disparagement of the very concept of US national interests, substituting outright negativity, conceptual distractions, and refusal to actively engage unless elusive or impossible international consensus is reached, to include Russia and China who aren’t shy about exerting themselves actively in opposition to US or Western interests. In effect, as well, the US and Western Europe have too often abandoned its moral core, as well, to the favor of those who don’t share it or deride or hate it. All that said, this critique must face the serious real-world problems we face immediately in the Middle East and coastal Asia, and the influence of financial problems. Understandably nervous and hesitant to confront crazies in the Middle East, we have defaulted influence to Iran and to Russia. Not wanting to indiscriminately support or arm possible future foes, as we did in Afghanistan to chase out the Soviet Union, there is little effort to discriminate and strengthen those not antagonistic to the West. Syria has been a cat’s paw of Iran to ferment conflict. Our non-action furthers this, rather than decrease it, aside from the humanitarian toll on Syrians with Iranians on the ground adding to the murders and Russian arms arriving in torrents. The US is rightly seen in the region and elsewhere as ineffectual, hardly worth allying with. Meanwhile, enough said, Iran continues its steady march to nuclear weapons, stirring others in the region to possibly also do so, further destabilizing international order and security. One would hope that the US is doing more behind the scenes than is apparent, but no observers have seen such which is telling in the usually open sieve of reporting and NGOs. The US should be doing more in Syria, and more openly and assertively, including arms to those less problematic. The US should announce a date certain in 2012, after which all informed analysts recognize it will be too late, by which the US will devastatingly bomb—as only the US could -- Iran’s nuclear installations if there is not a convincing abandonment of Iran’s nuclear war-making capacities. Neither in Syria nor Iran are US military forces necessary on the ground. But short of that we have done far too little to influence the outcomes, leaving the threats to grow and to undermine confidence in the West, and influencing Middle East countries and citizens to accommodate or ally themselves with Iran. The primary rationale for the US Senate to ratify its decades-pending Law of the Sea Treaty (LOST) may be to strengthen the hand in an international forum of the states in coastal Asia against the expansiveness of China. However, all, including China, have long since joined LOST, and that hasn’t slowed China’s claim of virtually the entire South China Sea as its own. China’s navy is expanding, often acting aggressively toward other states, and its oil and gas exploration is reaching into deep waters near other countries. See this map, the red lines far away from China being ocean borders that China wildly claims. Continue reading "“Existential Defeatism” Abroad and at Home"
Posted by Bruce Kesler
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13:37
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KlimtGustav Klimt's Portrait of Adele Bloch-Bauer (1907). Ronald Lauder paid 135 million for this painting in 2006. It resides in NYC's Neue Gallery. (Gallery, and the restaurant, are a nice touch of Vienna.) A pupette and I spent a very pleasant day seeing the Klimts, and other good stuff (Schiele, Kokoshka), at the Belvedere in Vienna two years ago, then moved on by foot, trolley, and subway to lots of other fun things and tasty food treats - Viennese pastries and beers - along the way. She likes Schiele. Here's the story behind The Mona Lisa of Vienna
Posted by Bird Dog
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05:08
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Friday, June 1. 2012The sport of politicsI get the impression that Mitt Romney is in it to win it. Wants the job. Team Romney Uses Obama's Media Pals To Hit Him With Solyndra:
We have been wondering lately whether the Dems are beginning to throw Obama under the bus in an effort to save themselves, and when Bill Clinton, well-known to have disdain for Obama, comes out as a virtual Romney supporter I have to think we might be on track. Clinton, unlike Cory Booker, is not spankable by the O team. In fact, Team Clinton, still the de-facto heads of the Dem party, has carefully announced that it's OK not to pin your future on Obama. That is politically devastating, I think. Romney is a JFK-era Democrat. Or, you could argue, a JFK-era Repub. They weren't all that far apart, back then. Back then, the federal government did not play such a large role in daily life, and did not aspire to it so it did not matter too much. Does Obama have any friends at all? I mean, besides the notably unappealing David Axelrod who is a guy who makes you want to take a shower after listening to him, and government union thugs who will expect to be paid off, Chicago-style?
Posted by The News Junkie
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12:26
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Thursday, May 31. 2012This is not new news: MSM fully and openly in the tank for Obama againToday's example: Why Is Trump Bigger News Than, Say, Jon Corzine? And WaPo, White House Coordinate Attack on Romney's Record as Governor Even Politico takes note: To GOP, blatant bias in vetting:
Posted by The News Junkie
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15:01
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Lying, cheating, and stealing
From the WSJ, Why We Lie - We like to believe that a few bad apples spoil the virtuous bunch. But research shows that everyone cheats a little—right up to the point where they lose their sense of integrity:
Some of our readers were discussing trust and "trust cultures" the other day, in the comments. I suppose, when I consider the word "trust," I refer to the confidence that a person will not lie (except for white lies), cheat me, steal from me, be unreliable, or try to harm or take advantage of me. In other words, trust is a gift given to someone that says "I have decided that you will behave reasonably benevolently towards me - or at least not malevolently - regardless of how you may feel about me." That is a big gift, and not lightly given until earned. As our commenters noted, cultures vary in degrees of trust (as we in the Western world define it), and, of course, different cultures have entirely different expectations of others which would not meet our definition of trust (eg you can "trust" an Istanbul rug dealer to never offer you his best price, even if you are his best friend). Here's AN EXPOSITION OF FRANCIS FUKUYAMA'S "TRUST" and Where Trust is High, Crime and Corruption are Low Wki has a discussion of trust as viewed by the social sciences Wednesday, May 30. 2012The Great EasternOur latest title image is a Currier and Ives print of The Great Eastern, the largest ship ever built when launched in England in 1858. Double-hulled, compartmented, and capable of ferrying 4000 passengers from Europe to good old New York City. It was claimed that she could circle the globe without refueling. (The pairing of fossil fuel with wind persists today in many recreational sailboats - and in all tax-subsidized wind turbine She represented a revolution in global transportation but ended her career as a humble cable-laying ship, thus participating in another tech revolution. Here's another Currier and Ives image of her majestic self: Totalitarianism as a Cure-AllIt often confuses me why so many in my "helping professions" are Lefties. In fact, it probably makes more sense for us all to be Libertarians at heart. Like many Maggie's people, I am sort-of Conservative-Libertarian, if that makes any sense to you. What it means is that if people want to smoke, or to get fat and out of shape, or play with guns, or shoot animals, or watch TV or play video games all day, or do reckless or stupid things, it's fine with me as long as it doesn't cause me any personal trouble or impinge meaningfully on my family's life. Does tax-funded medical care alter that balance? Adults make their own decisions. I don't care a whit what other people do. The main thing that bothers me, socio-politically, are those who have somehow concluded that they are my betters and believe that they have a better plan for my - and for your - life. Such people often gravitate to government careers where there is some power to be wielded. We used to term such people "cranks," but cranks have gone mainstream. Desire for power over others is almost a sickness, or is a sort of sickness (except for parenthood). The desire for freedom for others is, I believe, a virtue. (In case you wonder, I am against the criminalization of drug use despite believing that it is a poor life plan.) That's a fairly-consistent Maggie's Farm theme, isn't it? Experts tend to lack common sense. Case in point: Harvard Prof advocates government coercion to deal with obesity. How about a little government coercion to deal with intrusive, annoying, nanny state busybodies who would claim to have either a) my best interest or b) the Greater Good, in mind? The world is run by crazy people.
Posted by Dr. Joy Bliss
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16:17
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