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Wednesday, October 1. 2008Time for a Hail Mary pass?Quoted from a piece by the Anchoress:
He has already tried a few of them. It's difficult to get a fair hearing these days from the MSM. But what else is new? This election feels like American Idol (which I have heard about, but never seen).
Posted by The Barrister
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Not to panic, this campaign is going according to script, just like they've been for Republicans over the past, well, ever since I can remember, 40+ years. Sounds like the Anchoress is panicking, taking the MSM "bait" with their totally rigged polls and other disinformation.
The old fighter pilot has a lot more fight in him, guaranteed. And the 527's will do their job, i.e., the job the MSM doesn't do, i.e., playing the role of "truth squad" and telling us who this mystery man Obama really is. I would be looking for these to crank up in the swing states soon. Republican Presidential candidates are "closers", i.e., they gain strength as the campaign goes along and decison day nears. The end game is what the Obama Campaign is dreading, i.e., when the folks really have to put the X in the box. This is when Obama is suddenly going to be the unacceptable choice. Do not despair, the cavalry is about to ride in! I am certainly not bounding with sunny optimism, but then I remember only too well that at this time of year in 2000 and 2004, we were assured by the great deodorized MSM of the upcoming joy that would soon be the nation's in the administrations of President Al Gore and, later, President John Kerry. I recall some conservative wags biting their nails over the accuracy (supposed) of the Zogby polls that predicted that GW was going down in flame. So I am in agreement with greenmtnpunter and Marianne Matthews on the need for steady, cool progress. Be creatively bold without being recklessly and needlessly panicked.
I welcome, and desperately needed, your sense of calm optimism. I have personally operated close enough to the center of the GOP power structure to have seen balls dropped for lack of heroic effort; and daring fingertip catches with reckless disregard for personal health as well. As a result my comfort level vacillates with the tides, and tends toward the ebb presently.
I'll try to be more upbeat about our chances in the face of the hostile winds. GMPunter ... I join you in cautious optimism here. The grown-ups are clutch-hitters -- as you say, "closers." I can't imagine a fighter pilot who isn't a "closer," a last-ditch fighter. And Palin, bless her, is another one. The radical left has spewed its constant venom at Sarah ever since she appeared on the scene, and she has held it together with grace and common sense. McCain is a wily fighter who never gives up. He demonstrated that in prison for six long years. He's old, but he looks like a young squirt to me, because I'm 80 and still hanging in there, as is his mother, who is 96 and still strong and cogent. Some day, Pajak, you may join us old ones, if you're lucky and tough. So have some faith here. And keep fighting. I am.
Marianne McCain may have been honorable in Hanoi Hilton; yet, as I told a relative today, he was never qualified to be in the military: he has no balls!. It is way past time for him to wise up, stand up, grow a pair, and fight the {i]Demoncrats[/i/; not his own party. My God, when he was told of the debate moderator's conflict of interest and ardent Obama support, all he could say was that he is sure the woman will be professional. This man is delusional!
I am not going to place my hope in this foolish man's fighter pilot OODA Loop when he is so obviously out of the Reality Loop. "he has no balls"...really? Care to let us know where you got yours?
McCain's biggest problem isn't the media, it is the legacy that the Bush administration is handing him. All the democrats have to do is look into a camera, point at the headlines about the economy, and say "Do you really want four more years of these ideals?"
Darn, KRW,...you took the words out of my mouth.
njartist - What was he supposed to do when he was told about Ifill? Flap those crooked broken arms of his and have a tantrum? What a perfect thing he said: He let it be known that he expects Ifill to live up to his estimation of her; and guess where the onus of that expectation goes? Right the hell where it belongs - on Ifill. Is that leadership too subtle for you? ` I don't have a lot of spare time so I take shortcuts.
1. The candidate who is ahead on Sept. 10 usually wins the general election. Who was that? According to Gallup's daily poll, McCain, 48-43. 2. Missouri is almost always the bellwether state. According to RCP, McCain is slightly ahead in Missouri. 3. On Monday Obama had an 8-point lead in Gallup's daily poll. Today he had a 4-point lead in the poll. Presidential races usually tighten in October. 4. As I said, Obama had a 4-point lead today. New York Daily News article, 22 Sep 08: "Six percentage points is the price Barack Obama could pay on election day for being black. "That disturbing calculation was found in a groundbreaking new Associated Press-Yahoo News poll conducted with Stanford University which probes the effect of the Democratic presidential candidate's race on his historic campaign for the White House." You do the math. Right DEC. The Bradley Effect. I am thinking if McCain is within 5 on election day he has a shot. I am also remembering how inaccurate the polls were for many of the primaries during the Clinton Obama duel.
Also keep in mind that a close national poll really doesn't mean squat for a variety of reasons but particularly that the election is won through the state electoral votes not the national popular vote. Also think we've seen enough evidence over that past few POTUS election cycles that there is definetely 5%+ of structural bias built into the big national polls.
I'm also hopeful that McCain and McCain supporting 527's will open a couple cans of whoop ass in October. There's a bunch of honest dirt that has yet to be fully communicated on Obama...not so much on McCain. The next few weeks should be full of fireworks. the election is won through the state electoral votes not the national popular vote.
Keep in mind that many Demoncrat controlled states have passed bills mandating that the state's electors vote for the winner of the national popular vote. This of course, is based on the assumption that the Demoncratic party is the national winner; we can expect a quick change is Republicans win. So, now, the drive is on to throw the election as much as possible: we can see the voter and election fraud being perpetrated right in front of our eyes. I was pretty discouraged the other day, but Obama is losing his advantage in the polls.
I have been growing discouraged, but not despairing. I have significant trust of only 3 polls: Rasmussen, Pew, and GWU Battleground. However, even those have shown some Obama lead.
I don't know anything about the horse race aspect of politics - I don't know what the hell McCain should do. I do know that I am not just more discouraged about McCain's chances, but about McCain himself. I knew all along he was too moderate Rep for my taste, too willing to embrace government solutions to any problem, but this week he proved it all over again. I'm not taking down the sign in my yard or anything. It is still enormously important to keep a Chicago Democrat away from the White House (and a liberal one at that). But it's more teeth-clenching determination than joy at the moment. I realize there have been others in positions of power at an advanced age (Reagan and other Presidents, Golda Meier, etc etc) but McCain (and we admire him for his days as a POW), yes, but just doesn't seem Presidential.
He seems (like a doddering) fool. He incites near riot (he and his running mate, Caribou Barbie) and then they cry foul when it applies to them (or people making comment that they're sowing seeds. Terrorists, blah blah blah (I consider him and wind-up doll more dangerous) |