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Friday, March 11. 2022On the TrainI've had to come into my NYC offices this week for executive presentations. Catching a train each morning at 7am, the usual pre-covid commuter grind. Hopefully going back to that in some format. Two days ago, however, it wasn't the usual grind. As I reached the platform and waited for the train, I noticed a young man with one eye in uniform, with his battle gear in bags next to him, and the Ukrainian flag on his shoulder. I asked him the obvious question, "Are you headed over?" He smiled and said "I have a choice. But my friends and family do not. So, I have no choice. I have to go." I wished him good luck and a safe return, and he replied "I am Ukrainian, but born in Russia. I had to fight my way out of Russia to get to Kyiv in 2002. I joined my extended family there, got my citizenship, and came to the US in 2008. I am very happy to be here, but I can't ignore what I left behind." We chatted a bit, and he told me a few stories his friends and family were sharing from the war zone. He followed that up with a brief "I don't trust the news here any more than the news the Russians tell. It's not telling us everything, just one side." Then he showed me his coffee container, which had an "Occupy Mars" sticker on it. He smiled and said "this would be better." I smiled wistfully, shook his hand and told him to come home safe. He replied "There is no other choice." This morning, as I rode in, I thought about where he was at that moment. I have no doubt he is in Ukraine. I wonder how close to the front lines he is, and I wondered at how different circumstances lead us to different situations - that luck is a huge part of life. I'm doing executive presentations, and he's hoofing to the front lines. I couldn't fathom the vast differences in our priorities. Unfortunately, this isn't a war that was inevitable. It was avoidable. I don't believe Putin is a madman, and I don't believe he was right to invade. Sadly, in today's world many people feel these two viewpoints are contradictory and saying it means you're pro-Putin, pro-Russia. I'm not. I'm just realistic. There were paths to avoiding conflict, and we chose to not follow them. This costs young men like my train platform friend dearly. We may sit here and comment on how the war hurts us because of price and supply chain disruptions. People will remind you that your home isn't being bombed, your family isn't at risk, so consider yourself lucky. I disagree. While our problems are first-world problems, they are important. If we don't worry about them, and we don't deal with them effectively, our first-world problems will become very big problems just like the one he headed off to. His reality can become ours, sometimes when we least expect. Trackbacks
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I had (he just passed away at 87) a Ukrainian friend who was born right after the Holodomor. He tells a very interesting story about how his grandparents and parents survived it.
He is obviously a man of principle and conviction. One more man is not going to change the outcome, but he still might make a small difference in some way.
Thanks for gracing us with that story, Bulldog. It makes one think...
Guys like Putin are on a single track to this kind of violent end (see Castro, Mao, Mussolini, Stalin etc.). There was no real way to talk him out of this only to make it hard for others to see a future in his self immolation.
He was frantically shoring up his puppets in Belarus and Kazakhstan and even those are running away. This had nothing to do with NATO (its those damn drug dealers and neo nazi's). That just an reason to avoid confrontation earlier. We will face hard choices relatively soon. Our leaders do not love our country or our people, they lack wisdom and knowledge of history, are infatuated with themselves and their theories of a borderless world remaking itself to renewable energy to fight their climate change ogre, the only ogre they think truly exists in our world.
Reality still has something important to say, and they are not going to like the lectures it provides. Their grand plans will be as successful as Putin's 72 hour triumphant campaign. The only sensible conclusion, given the facts, is that the US Government, and to a lesser extent Europe and NATO, wanted this war in Ukraine. I don't know why, but that this is what they want is blindingly obvious to me.
I'm not sure anyone wanted a war - I don't even believe Putin did.
I do believe our current crop of leaders were happy goading Putin into war because it serves some purpose, and they think so little of Ukrainians they were happy to let the war occur there. I also believe Biden was a little pissed some of his paychecks were going to get cut off, and that maybe it was a good time to show he was 'as tough' as Putin. I think that train left the station. All I know is there is a young man over there, probably going to give his life for what he believes in, so a couple of politicians can say they 'stood firm for their convictions'. There is a current trend going around which is trying to make Neville Chamberlain look like he knew what he was doing - buying the UK time to prepare. That's preposterous. But comparing this situation to that, as I've seen, is also ridiculous. For the last 20 years, many experts have said expansion of NATO would lead to this particular outcome. Many experts have also pointed out NATO needed to revise its reason for existence if it was going to expand. The current world is filled with empire builders. There is not room for them all ... and they know it.
A Ukrainian penpal of mine decided with her husband that she should escape over the border with their young daughter to join their son, a student in Poland. Her husband must remain behind; it wasn't clear whether he'd have chosen to do so absent the martial law that required him to stay. She has safely made it over the border into Romania as of yesterday.
A friend of mine has another Ukrainian penpal whose son and husband are active in the military, and who is remaining in Ukraine with their younger children. She declines to leave. There are other families with children in her community, and elderly women, whom she refuses to abandon. I agree entirely with your statement: "I do believe our current crop of leaders were happy goading Putin into war because it serves some purpose, and they think so little of Ukrainians they were happy to let the war occur there." Whether the war would have happened at some point anyway, with or without the goading, I can't say. Possibly only a safe pro-Putin government reliably installed in Kyiv could have avoided it, and possibly the Ukrainian people never could have stood for that. I'm slightly encouraged by the signs that the choice by Belarus and Kazakhstan to adopt the "safety" of kowtowing to Putin is not working out as planned. The Belarussian people in particular seem not to be going along with the deal. Putin has persuaded a lot of people that it's better to stand and die than to let him conquer their homes. Whether that's true of a lot of ethnic Russians or Muslims in Eastern Ukraine or Crimea, I can't say. I wonder whether it will come to be true of citizens of Russia itself, especially now that Putin has dropped a lot of the facade. I believe it's likely to have avoided the war if we'd not tried to add Ukraine to NATO.
The Georgian war in 2008 was essentially fought over a similar situation. Some differences, not many. Ukraine is a big tank highway right up into the heart of Russia. Putin, paranoid and relying on 1000 years of history and the last 80 years of cultural evolution, has a very particular view of the West. It's not like we didn't lie to him multiple times about expanding NATO right up to his borders. NATO made sense until the USSR collapsed. It's operated for 30 years without a real reason for existence...searching for one. So they created one. I don't think it was necessary to create this. There were many other paths forward. Our leaders chose one they'd been warned mulitple times would lead to this outcome. No one mentions that if Putin controls Ukraine, he will have FOUR Nato countries on Russia's border
Once upon a time I thought the final evolution of NATO would be the European Treaty Organization; final member, Russia.
After all with a declining population and their traditional and racial enemy on their South-Eastern border (China) and no hope of winning a traditional war without going nuclear, I thought that made sense. But now I think that there are just too many differences between secular humanism and Russian Orthodoxy and whatever Putin believes in. I don't give a hoot about what happens to the governments of Russia, Ukraine or especially the EU. But I feel great pity for their citizens. I would like your permission to lift this post in its entirety and paste it in my blog. It strikes a very deep chord in me.
I would of course make sure full credit was given. This is the first time I've ever asked for such a permission. |