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Tuesday, November 6. 2018
Just voted. Took me 45 minutes. Longest it's ever taken, midterm or otherwise. Lots of older people, but it's midday so younger people may vote later. Still, given the rain, I was shocked at so many people who were there. It's pouring, and typically that keeps older people at home. Not this year.
The time it took was due to several factors. New machines were confusing. More people than expected showed up. Rain meant some poll workers were cleaning up rather than assisting people. Too much going on. My son came home to vote, and he took over an hour.
I don't care who he votes for, as long as he doesn't vote for Menendez. I've never liked that corrupt jerk. I told my son this, then told him the letter-writing battles I had with that fool back in the 90s when he was my Representative. Back then, he was a Gephardt-style protectionist. Today, he pretends to be a free-trader. He's not. He just wants money shoveled into his pocket for his support down in DC. Corrupt as can be. Hopefully my son will not vote for him.
It's my view the high turnout is better for Republicans than Democrats. While some will say that's counter-intuitive, due to new registrations and younger people not being apathetic as they usually are, I have a different view. National elections with high voter turnouts usually indicate a desire for change.
Either way, one party is going to have some soul-searching to do. If the Republicans suffer a "Blue Wave", there will need to be some work done on what they stand for and represent. I don't believe this outcome is likely at all.
I do think that the Dems will get a small House majority. Very slim. But this will force them to re-think what they stand for, because they are looking for a referendum. I do not think they will get one.
If the Republicans (which I don't think will happen) manage to hold or extend both the houses, that will be a very clear message to the Dems that they need to be retooled in a major way. Frankly, I'd prefer this because it's the best chance to extend the addition of Constitutionalists into the Supreme Court. With Breyer and Ginsburg nearing the end of their useful tenures, it will be important to maintain this position.
2 of the 3 outcomes, and the one I believe is most likely, don't really favor the Democrats in the long run. But anything can happen, and polling has been notoriously awful. From the extremely small sample size I've seen, though, I don't think the Democrats are going to have their 'blue wave'.
We shall see.
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A friend in GA emailed me almost 2 hours ago and said the wait in line to vote was 1.5 hours. A very good sign, especially this early in the day in a heavily GOP district.
There will be to line to vote where I live. There are only about 70 people in my precinct.
It was about two hours where I early voted, on a rainy day.
The most frustrating, and perplexing aspect of election-watching is the frequent lead changes, only detectable by the prestidigitators in the polling industry. The "lead" is only measured once, after all the votes are counted, and never held nor lost prior to that... Except here in Maine, where the collective genius of the Collectivist Left has produced "Ranked Choice Voting", a.k.a. Rock, Paper, Scissors for Elected Office...
Love the alternative voting methods. As if one is 'better' than another.
Arrow's Theorem really lays that all to waste. All voting is flawed. There's no 'good' voting method.
In all the arguments for a new and different voting method what i hear, admittedly in between the lines, is a preference for a system that will produce a desired (different) result.
I agree with your counter intuitive analysis of high turnout. GOP leaning voters are more likely to vote in off years so extra enthusiasm will at least counter similar enthusiasm from Dems.
I disagree with the contention that a narrow victory in the House (and losses in the Senate) will produce an introspection on the part of the Dems. The earlier predictions of a Blue Wave leading to control of both the House and Senate will be entirely forgotten. The Senate situation will be ignored, and anything approaching a favorable outcome, including significant GOP House losses short of losing the majority, will be spun as a mandate to repudiate Trump. Such markers as the 'National House Vote' are already being spun up by the usual suspects in the usual "it's not legitimate unless we win" style.
Voter turnout in my little town has been heavy since the polls opened at 7 this morning. With just a few lulls lasting only a few minutes each time, the voter traffic has been steady. Our town clerk is expecting record turnout for a mid-term election and the numbers as of 1PM this afternoon seem to be bearing this out.
A Canadian here, but God bless you Americans.
We're wishing you the best.
I live about 30 miles NW of Philly. Just voted, and our firehouse was almost empty. Walked right up, no line, checked in, and was given a booth. Lines out here are never long, but I was surprised to see it this empty. It was just after 1 o'clock, hopefully will pick up later. Our village is morphing into one of those suburban enclaves filled with housewives everyone seems worried about.
Is that still heavy Dem country?
I spent the better part of my youth in NW Philly (Chestnut Hill). Back then there were some Republicans, particularly there.
Since Rizzo, it's hard to find a Republican in Philly. He was a Dem, but really one of the first "Reagan Democrats" - who eventually turned Republican.
We are father out, lots of Republicans out here. Our area has a strong Christian heritage, dating from the 1700's. which , in some cases, tends to give the voters some common sense. In other cases, it gives them a utopian urge to create heaven on earth.
Ohhhh...that Utopian thing is the real problem.
Less concerned with people being Socialists because they think it's 'fair' or 'right'. But when they REALLY believe it will make a difference and ignore the evidence...because it will "make things better"...yikes. Then you got problems.
We live in a suburb in St. Louis County Missouri that still leans Republican. Voted close to one o'clock and there were no lines. Had just come from a very heavily Democrat area where the parking lots were packed so we knew who they were voting for and it wasn't Donald Trump which means for Claire McCaskill.....crap!
Republicans work. Democrats... not so much.
It'd be interesting to see the lines after about 4 your time. The number of folks in line might be reversed.
Same here in Queens. Rain and long lines. But the lines were due to 2 out of the 4 scanners not working. It's a problem all over the city.
And I saw a large amount of Asians which I usually don't see. I have a feeling that anchor baby thing might have an advers effect. But that most concerns NY and Calif so it makes no difference anyway. lol
Lovely bride just sent me a pic from the local polling place. LONG line outside the building, and if I remember how it was laid out there's going to be a line just as long inside.
One thing that was shown in 2016 was that voting DID matter. I wonder how many current voters are going "You know, things are pretty good right now - and the Democrats are promising to clobber that if they can, so I'd better get my ass out and vote so they don't screw it up."
I anticipate a lot of challenged elections if the Dems lose by slim margins in some races...
Voted mid morning which is unusual for me. Typically there not long after the polls open. Turnout seemed good but no real waiting. Several districts vote in the same building and the workers a pretty efficient. A "conservative" enclave as far as NJ goes, so hoping for the best (which would be getting that scum Menendez out of the Senate).
I first voted in 1964 at age 21. I registered as a Democrat. At that time I was fairly well in sync with Democrats and not at all totally opposed to Republican views either. I think it was in the early 70's that the Democrat party moved far left of where I was and they have been moving further left every year since then. I was totally in with Ronald Reagan's political beliefs and I think I still am. I don't think I'm "far right" but I truly don't know what that is because it is mostly defined by the left as a insult. I think I could still agree with most/many of the Democrat positions of the early 60's but ironically I don't think many Democrats could.
I've been told I'm "far right" by NYC Dem friends. I don't think they've ever REALLY met a "far right" person.
The main reason I say that is because I fall in line with them on certain issues, and it always surprises them.
Never spending - they are always out to lunch and unrealistic.
But on rights issues - the right for people to get married, regardless of their orientation, for example. They are always shocked. As I point out to them, "I'm going to support anything that allows someone to do well for themselves without directly hurting someone else." It's a concept they don't understand. Because their immediate response is "But you don't support single-payer health care."
They simply don't understand how damaging that is to certain people. Their view is those people are "so well off" that it's not damaging. But it is. It's also damaging, to a degree, to those it purports to assist. It allows them to take outsized risks without fear of having to pay for consequences.
So I guess that makes me "far right". I really don't know what "far right" means anymore. If it's a Democrat saying it, all they really mean is "You don't agree with me, so you're a fascist."
The Democrats definition of "far right" is anything that isn't far left. This is due to a leftward drift by most Democrats, not a rightist drift by Republicans.
I voted this morning just as the polls opened in a small township in Monroe County Pennsylvannia. Long lines out the door. I had to park on the street along with many others. The rain was just beginning. It was surprising to see so many this early.
I voted by mail about 3 weeks ago. There was no line at the mailbox, and this was in suburban salt lake City. Not sure what to make of it.
No one in line when I voted at 5:00 outside Tulsa, OK. I've never waited more than 5 people deep to vote. My wife and the little ones were finishing up when I got there.
Oklahoma may be behind in several areas, but we have the voting method down. Pen on paper filling in bubbles, then slide the ballot into a machine that counts it right there. I was #398. Simple to execute, quick to count, and you have to show your driver's license first.
Menendez's corruption is a resume builder where NJ Democrats are concerned.