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Saturday, February 10. 2024

A good poster of The Common Hawks and Falcons of the Eastern US

LI links: Your weekly report on education news.

Trial Of Mann v. Steyn, Part V: Results

Making Sense of Michael Mann's Resounding Defamation Victory

Does anybody think Mann's "Hockey Stick" is real? Scared to say it's bs now? What % of "studies" turn out to be correct? Skeptical is never wrong. That's been my bias since studies claimed broccoli causes cancer. I still enjoy reporting those studies.

ILLEGALS ARE ALREADY VOTING

Tucker's Thoughts on Putin Interview

In Moscow, Tucker Carlson commits journalism

I'm interested in what Putin says. He's just another politician-type. Sure, he is "Russia First." Duh.

Stuart's Saturday Miscellany

New MSM Narrative: 'Biden Has Dementia, And Here's Why That's a Good Thing'

I don't think he is demented, just senile, but never was a sharp guy. Anyway, Prez is just a figurehead

Posted by Bird Dog in Hot News & Misc. Short Subjects at 07:30 | Comments (31) | Trackbacks (0)

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Bird Dog: Does anybody think Mann's "Hockey Stick" is real?

The so-called Hockey Stick is a model. Multiple lines of evidence show that global mean temperatures were slowly declining over centuries, and then suddenly rising over a few decades.

QUOTE:

False Equivalence: Making Sense of Michael Mann's Resounding Defamation Victory . . . 4. Some of the revelations during the case about Mann’s behavior are indeed shocking, especially his misogynistic attacks on Judy Curry. But apparently these attacks can be justified and excused, because she is, as Mann tells us, a climate denier.

Roger Pielke Jr. doesn't provide an example, but personal attacks are rarely appropriate, especially in a scientific context. Regardless, calling someone stupid would generally not be actionable; however, saying Mann's research was fraudulent was actionable.

There's a good chance the punitive damages will be reduced by the courts.

We don't defend Mann's personal approach or the wisdom of this lawsuit.

#1 Zachriel on 2024-02-10 10:04 (Reply)

* slowly declining relatively stable or slightly declining over centuries

#1.1 Zachriel on 2024-02-10 10:22 (Reply)

A model that it has been demonstrated produces a 'hockey stick' fed with random numbers as inputs. Part of the larger fraud passing as 'science' from Big Climate.

#1.2 John Fisher on 2024-02-10 11:14 (Reply)

John Fisher: A model that it has been demonstrated produces a 'hockey stick' fed with random numbers as inputs.

Later research showed that the original Mann paper was robust in its findings. See Wahl & Ammann, Robustness of the Mann, Bradley, Hughes reconstruction of Northern Hemisphere surface temperatures: Examination of criticisms based on the nature and processing of proxy climate evidence, Climate Change 2007. Not to mention that additional evidence and studies have largely confirmed the findings.

Mann et al. didn't include a statistician, and they worked largely in isolation, so the early effort was a sort of a seat of your pants analysis. Nowadays, it is usual to have a statistician involved.

#1.3 Zachriel on 2024-02-10 11:32 (Reply)

He fuckin lied. Much like the Quibble-DickZ.
By omission.

#1.3.1 Zachinoff on 2024-02-10 14:35 (Reply)

Apparently Abidin' isn't competent enough to stand trial for the same things Trump is accused of, but is competent enough to be leader of the free world while it teeters on the brink of WWIII.

Yeah.

#2 Maniac on 2024-02-10 10:10 (Reply)

QUOTE:

Stuart's Saturday Miscellany . . . Let me get this straight. Biden is too cognitively impaired to be charged with a crime, but he’s not too cognitively impaired to be the Commander-in-Chief?

That is not a correct reading of the report. Even with the egregious characterizations, the report indicated that Biden is competent to stand trial, but he could argue in court that the documents in question were mixed in with personal records or that he simply forgot to return them.

#2.1 Zachriel on 2024-02-10 10:15 (Reply)

Yeah, yeah! That's the ticket! All that top secret stuff got mixed in with my ice cream recipes and old Corvette manuals out in the garage. It could happen to anybody, especially if they've been rummaging around looking for old draperies for my wife to make dresses.

#2.1.1 Mike Anderson (Link) on 2024-02-10 10:44 (Reply)

Mike Anderson: All that top secret stuff got mixed in with my ice cream recipes and old Corvette manuals out in the garage.

That is what probably happened with Pence. Or do you really think Pence was stealing classified documents? It's much more likely, with the volume of paperwork involved, that personal and government documents were mixed up when moving. Some of that may apply to Trump, but then he refused to surrender them, even in the face of a court order.

#2.1.2 Zachriel on 2024-02-10 10:50 (Reply)

What does Pence have to do with anything?
Typical QuibbleDickZ deflection.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/foreign-outlets-pull-no-punches-biden-confusion-rage-surprise-press-conference

#2.1.2.1 Zachinoff on 2024-02-10 14:52 (Reply)

QUOTE:

Would you allow Joe Biden to be the crossing guard for your kids going to school?
No?
I thought so.
The Liberal Mainstream Media, an arm of the Democratic Party and the Liberal Elite, say Biden is okay. (MSNBC, CNN, CBS, ABC, NBC, NYT. WP, Boston Globe, Atlanta Constitution, Houston Chronicle, USA Today, Dallas Morning News, WGN, NPR, etc.)
So why are you still voting Democrat? And listening to them?
Yesterday’s report by Biden’s own Justice Department is so bad and so clear, it’s a matter of national urgency.
Memo to Democrats: Biden is either mentally unfit or criminally liable.

— Michael Corrigan

#2.2 Zachinoff on 2024-02-10 14:41 (Reply)

The hocky stick was a blatant lie, a fraud. Mann knew it and intended the fraud. The real data is almost 100% different from Mann's representation. But with cherry picking of data and erasing and revising historical data they were able to pull off that fraud. The courts screwed up and it appears to be intentional, i.e. the courts are a fraud.

#3 OneGuy on 2024-02-10 10:11 (Reply)

OneGuy: The hocky stick was a blatant lie, a fraud.

Multiple lines of evidence show that global mean temperatures were relatively stable or slightly declining over centuries, and then suddenly rising over a few decades. Indeed, the data is now sufficient to provide a spatial reconstruction. See Osman et al., Globally resolved surface temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum, Nature 2021.

#3.1 Zachriel on 2024-02-10 10:21 (Reply)

Who really cares?

I hope for some warming anyway. Whatever happens is fine with me.

#3.1.1 BD on 2024-02-10 12:27 (Reply)

BD: Who really cares?

Significant warming (over about 2°C) will cause disruption of agriculture, flood coastal areas, and damage humankind's shared ecological inheritance. Ignoring the problem now will mean much costlier adaptation later.

#3.1.2 Zachriel on 2024-02-10 12:32 (Reply)

We are STILL rebounding from an ice age. The temperatures WILL rise further. What is important is that CO2 is NOT driving the rise in temperatures. Do you want me to repost those CO2 vs temperature graphs again just as a refresher?

That also means that the so called 'carbon footprint' is irrelevant to any climate discussion. And that means that the politicians can bugger off and quit pissing money away on the CO2 hoax.

#3.1.2.1 indyjonesouthere on 2024-02-10 13:15 (Reply)

2 degrees will simply move the growing zones north or south. I'm in zone 6a and I could care less if I move into a warmer zone. Farmers are evidently smarter than university folk as they would move with the zones as well. Move from corn to peanuts or hybridize the current crop you grow to a new hybrid. We aren't statists, we can actually adapt. Can you adapt? Can you move? The resilient live, the non-resilient don't survive. Species either survive from one ice age to another or they disappear. Specialization is for bugs. I won't eat the bugs in the decarbonization hoax.

#3.1.2.2 indyjonesouthere on 2024-02-10 15:00 (Reply)

You know what else causes agricultural disruption? The Net Zero policies being adopted worldwide in response to the remarkably precise prognostications of future ruin based on models that are constantly having to be massaged. You don't set up the needs of the hypothetical, yet to be born grandchild over the needs of the baby crying in the next room.

#3.1.2.3 BornSouthern on 2024-02-10 21:39 (Reply)

BornSouthern: You know what else causes agricultural disruption? The Net Zero policies being adopted worldwide

Indeed. Rational policies have to be crafted that account for the very real problem of climate change along with the costs of mitigation and adaptation. But pretending the problem doesn’t exist will not lead to the best policies.

#3.1.2.4 Zachriel on 2024-02-10 22:01 (Reply)

Thanks for the Hawk poster! This'll help settle a dispute in the neighborhood about a handsome accipiter that frequents our properties. Cooper's he be.

#4 Nat Brooks on 2024-02-10 10:14 (Reply)

The federal government is planning on making it a felony to train with guns or even survival training without guns. The new law(s) would make it a felony to teach people to shoot. That would include the hunter training most everyone gets to qualify to get a hunting license. It would marksman classes and competitions. The real purpose of this has nothing to do with threats or safety it is to create a basis to arrest and jail those people guilty of voting for the wrong politicians. The Democrats are doubling down on their "deplorable", "Maga extremists", "white supremacist" divisive agenda to bully Republicans and Patriots. Jan 6 worked so well for them they want to expand that tactic. Their ultimate goal is to eliminate the middle class and white Republican voters and replace them with immigrants who will trade votes for free stuff.

#5 Anon on 2024-02-10 11:55 (Reply)

Recent studies have determined that everyone who took the Covid shot received Messenger RNA that altered their DNA and that this is what is causing heart problems and cancer. Why was it in there? Who put it there or authorized it to be put there? Why are they actively hiding this from us?

#6 Anon on 2024-02-10 13:33 (Reply)

Anon: Recent studies have determined that everyone who took the Covid shot received Messenger RNA that altered their DNA and that this is what is causing heart problems and cancer.

Which studies are those?

#6.1 Zachriel on 2024-02-10 14:34 (Reply)

The weekly report on education news... The current form of education is in failure mode.

Why critical thinking is dead-Peter Boghossian interview
found on page 2 of WRSA
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v_vW-hkMW-Q

#7 indyjonesouthere on 2024-02-10 13:41 (Reply)

Because we so often see hawks and related birds in flight, we've found this book to be extremely helpful.
https://www.amazon.com/Hawks-Flight-Second-David-Sibley/dp/0395709598/

#8 SmartDogs (Link) on 2024-02-10 13:55 (Reply)

“Growing your own vegetables is bad for the planet”

QUOTE:

Apparently, a new study from the University of Michigan has found that “urban gardening” is 5 (or maybe 6, they’re not sure) times worse for the environment than “conventional crops”.

I don’t know how they calculated it, and it doesn’t really matter. . . . The details aren’t the point. The point is yet another weapon in the war on food. More regulation, more commercialization, less freedom, all in the name of “fighting climate change”.

https://off-guardian.org/2024/01/24/growing-your-own-vegetables-is-bad-for-the-planet/

#9 feeblemind on 2024-02-10 14:55 (Reply)

The admin state simply wants to control every phase of your life. Any sign of resilience or resistance to the BBB/NWO/WEF oligarchs is simply not acceptable to worldview.
Read the Peter Boghossian piece... the university to dead, the entire education system is dead. Their way is a dead end.

#9.1 indyjonesouthere on 2024-02-10 15:07 (Reply)

Report Confirms Joe Biden Wanted His DOJ to Interfere with 2024 Election

QUOTE:

Biden apparently wanted Garland to demand edits to the (Hur) report to make it less embarrassing.

On top of that, he was also not happy with how long the probe into Hunter Biden was taking. But even more telling is that Biden isn’t happy that Garland didn’t move fast enough to go after Trump for so-called election interference.

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/02/09/white-house-frustration-with-garland-grows-00140813

#10 Zachinoff on 2024-02-10 16:53 (Reply)

Has anyone noticed the similarity between the crime family in the "The Beekeeper" movie and the Biden crime family? Carefully tailored to give the writer and producer deniability but yet so close.

#11 OneGuy on 2024-02-10 22:08 (Reply)

Mann was awarded $2 of actual damages against Steyn and $1 million in punitive.

The supreme court has held that grossly excessive punitive violate the due process right of a defendant. The court has specifically stated that 4x is close to the line.

I expect the trial court will substantially reduce the punitive damage award against Steyn. 500,000x is almost certainly unconstitutional. If I were the court I'd be nervous awarding anything over about $1,000 on a $2 verdict.

Or maybe the courts will just follow the Alex Jones standard and say the law doesn't matter when it comes to "bad people."

#12 egd on 2024-02-11 16:28 (Reply)

IMHO Alex Jones shouldn't have lost the law suit. The problem is that for whatever reason the officials decided to withhold information and release false information which created a feeling that we were being lied to. AJ speculated and in the absence of good information who wouldn't. They have done the same thing with the trans person shooting up the Christian school and the Las Vegas mass shooting. I am at a loss to understand what good and legitimate reason they would have to lie and withhold that truth from the public. Their actions breeds distrust and rumors.

#12.1 OneGuy on 2024-02-11 17:46 (Reply)

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Saturday, February 10. 2024

Saturday morning links