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Friday, July 15. 2022Friday morning linksWhy is life expectancy in the US lower than in other rich countries? Americans have a lower life expectancy than people in other rich countries despite paying much more for healthcare. We explore the number of factors which might explain this difference. U.S. Public Health Agencies Aren't ‘Following the Science,’ Officials Say ‘People are getting bad advice and we can’t say anything.’ Dr. Fauci Makes a Stunning Admission About the COVID Vaccines After Appearing to Be Reporting Live from Ukraine War Zone, Former CNN Host Chris Cuomo Spotted 24 Hours Later in the Hamptons Mother of 10-Year-Old Rape Victim Claims ‘Everything is a Lie’ About Ohio Abortion Story Biden's top 68 appointees have just 2.4 years of business experience, analysis finds - including 62 percent of officials who have 'virtually NO private sector experience' on their work records Pete Buttigieg Is Moving to Michigan. He Should Take the Transportation Department With Him. It would signal that the transportation future involves decentralization and rapid change rather than Washington-style command-and-control. Germany's Energy Catastrophe. If Russia permanently cuts off natural gas exports to Germany, it will likely send the country, the world’s fourth-largest economy, into a severe recession. Comments
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Re Germany's Energy Catastrophe - Expect the Germans to do a 'Munich moment' to the Ukrainians between now and the end of September. If they don't get the gas turned back on, they face far more than a 'severe recession'. Germans will freeze in the dark this winter. And the Germans know it - https://twitter.com/JavierBlas/status/1547180581141766144
And even with all this the Bundestag reinforced the decade old plan to shut down all of Germany's nuclear power plants - https://www.wsj.com/articles/germanys-nuclear-implosion-bundestag-robert-habeck-energy-europe-russia-11657572926?st=sknurwgpqejuhpt&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink You can only conclude that the Germans want to commit societal suicide. I'm 1st gen Canadian of German background and I visit my German family and know them and their friends and fellow Germans well.
They seem to have a tendency to religious mania - tree and forest worship, Luther and the reformation, the Jew-Hate religion and now Mother Gaia. I quite like all 18 of my German cousins and we have fine conversations until we hit one of the Religious Topics. Then they go bug-eyed, loud voiced, overly emphatic, lecturing, hectoring, shouty and fanatical. I change the subject or find an excuse to leave. There is a difference between MEDICAL CARE and HEALTH CARE.
HEALTH is YOUR responsibility and the knowledge is well within the individuals wheelhouse. MEDICAL CARE typically takes a great deal of education and training. It's the reason the medical profession developed. In terms of health, the USA ranks low for a variety of reasons: We have a population with a significant number of people - blacks and hispanics (of Indian descent - feather, not dot) - who are genetically prone to diabetes and other chronic diseases. We also have a significant illicit drug problem. In terms of medical care, we are second to none - which is why rich people from all over the world come to the USA for serious medical problems. "Healthcare" is a political term created by Democrat politicians for the purpose of using taxpayer dollars to pay for routine things like birth control, school breakfast programs, school nurses, etc. People get confused and think doctors should be trained to maintain people's health. But virtually everyone not living under a rock knows 99% of what they need to do for health: eat right, exercise, don't smoke. They just don't do it and having a doctor tell you these things has been shown to have ZERO effect. What we do want from the medical profession is people who have great expertise at diagnosing and fixing the things we cannot prevent as well as the things we are unwilling to prevent. Having them become jacks of all trades makes them less masterful at what they do. That's a good analysis. I agree.
Unfortunately, we're past fixing that kind of misuse of language. The political term is what it is. It's like saying "Liberal". "Liberal" used to me free-market, free minds, freedom in general. Today, it's been combined with "Progressive" while "freedom" is more aligned with "Conservative" (which I hardly see as promoting "freedom"). Progressive is more totalitarian, while Conservative is more culturally stringent. Different sides of the same coin in my view. Words and language are difficult buggers. Most of the time, misunderstandings and disagreements aren't related to a fundamental opposition, but just using a word or phrase that someone can't wrap their head around the same way you do. But you make a great point. How does obesity figure in this discussion? It’s been quite a few years since I traveled to Europe, even compared to Mexico, Americans are fat. Being overweight is a big (lots of opportunities for puns) detriment to your health (as Bulldog mentions below).
In almost all cases, obesity stems from poor diet and lack of enough physical activity.
I'm sure we all know people who can eat like a horse and not get fat and vice versa - and I'm sure genetics play a role to some degree - but studies have shown that the people that say they eat like a horse don't consume as much as they think and people who claim to eat very little consume more than they think. Consume (and absorb) more calories than you burn and you get fat. PERIOD Being obese (too fat) is not healthy. NOTE: Sarcopenia (not enough muscle isn't healthy either. Both lead to MEDICAL problems. By the standards of most developed nations, Americans tend to be FAT. Whether that's due to diet, lack pf physical activity, or genetics, the cause is unhealthy habits and not crappy medical care. re "Healthcare" is a political term created by Democrat politicians
Have you noticed that you are now taken care of by your "health care provider"? A health care provider could be a doctor, physicians assistant or nurse. When you make a doctor's appointment, there is a good chance you won't even be examined by a doctor but by someone who doesn't even have a college education. I recently went in for back problems and a Nurse Practitioner dealt with me. Physician's Assistants are far more common.
Doctors are on short order. Mainly due to the administrative requirements, from what I can tell. They do a lot of paperwork now. There have been really excellent replies to this link, covering almost everything i would have said, often in clearer terms. I would add (sorry if someone already said this) but infant mortality rates are a little worse for African descendants everywhere, though not Hispanics in America. Poverty does not have as much effect on that here as often believed. Also, medical costs go up because of potential liability. I don't see much way around that. Lastly, medical costs are up because we can do magic now. A hundred years ago a doctor could tell you what you were dying of, whether your heart was good enough to go into the military, set a bone or recommend some things for constipation or diarrhea. Until around 1940 (PCN), doctors killed more people than they saved. Magic is expensive.
All great points. You're right that it's not always poverty that is a deciding factor - that's why I mentioned cultural differences. Comparing different poverty-stricken regions won't always result in high levels of overlap for main cause of mortality. Some will have extremely high infant mortality, others not. Some will have high levels of drug abuse, other not. Some will have higher levels of cancer/smoking related mortality, others not.
Culture is a differentiator. Community is a differentiator. Too often we make it about one thing, since that's easier. Race. Poverty. Makes it easy to say "yeah it's all different, but if they weren't poor or black, it wouldn't have happened." I don't know that's true. In fact I know it's not. It's just easy to say. Infant mortality is another tricky area. Different countries have different standards for infant mortality and how they define a live birth.
One overlap in both spending and death could be opioids. The few people I know who have struggled with this addiction all started because of prescriptions due to pain from athletic endeavor. Opioids were somewhat expensive, but are now very affordable - meaning more easily bought and OD'd on.
Another is obesity. With 2 overweight people in my family, I know their spending on healthcare is probably 2-4X mine. It was a major reason for me to cut weight 15 years ago, and stay active. If both these were addressed, I would submit we'd see the US lower its health costs while improving its life expectancy. One thing unlooked at. Infant mortality. I don't know the numbers, but I remember not 30 years ago the US was very high among industrialized nations with regard to infant mortality, and this drags the life expectancy down significantly. Most of this is due to drug use and inner city poverty. I don't consider either of these truly addressable items. Some would say "the rest of the world" has "fixed" those issues - I'd say they've only kicked the can down the road. Their deficits are going to come due, and most of those deficits are related to spending to make healthcare 'affordable to all' - which only means eventually someone has to go without (scarce resources are always scarce over time, and cannot be made eternally abundant). In addition, other nations have less diversity than we do here in the US. That kind of cultural homogeneity plays a HUGE role in making managing lifestyle and poverty 'easier'. It doesn't solve anything, really, but when you consider the nature of, and differentiation between poverty in Appalachia, inner cities, and border towns, you can understand that it's not just a "poverty" issue but it's also a cultural issue. Some things are prioritized over others simply because they are assumed they have to be. My father, a doctor, took me to see patients during some of his time doing pro bono work to show me how culture plays into how we make health decisions. Yes, wealth is important...but I just came from a conference where there were a lof of very wealthy (and very unhealthy) people. Obesity and drug use were common among this crowd. Definitely a wealth problem, rather than a "privilege" or poverty problem. They have the cash, they spend it on things they DESIRE strongly. I'm not sure that's a common thing in other nations. It could be - but I doubt it. We are a wealthier nation than most, after all, and we are incredibly indulgent. Re Health-
No discussion of race. Yet, homocides and infant mortality have a very strong dependence on race. "following the father’s confession for the crime"
I have been saying this since the case first hit the news. They could have gotten the abortion in Ohio-- it's a definite life/health of the mother case in a kid that young-- BUT they would have had to get the court's permission, which would mean laying out the details of this case. Which would mean some family member getting arrested. pregnancies in ten-year-olds do happen, and WHEN they happen, it's almost always because the child was raped by a family member (that's who has access to ten-year-old girls), or mom was pimping the kid out to support a drug habit (I knew such a kid, in school). Exceptions are vanishingly rare. Which pretty strongly implies that they went to Indiana not because they couldn't do it in Ohio, but because they wanted to find an abortion provider who didn't need the OK of the court, and would just do it and shut up about it because they didn't want dad arrested. Boy, did they pick the wrong place. Abortionist not only skipped out on the legally-mandated child-abuse reporting (for which she should be arrested, or at least face loss of her license), but still couldn't keep her mouth shut about it, and in fact talked about it so much that an investigation had to be made. Bastards. All of them. I hope the girl can be placed with a better family. But that probably won't happen. The girl I knew in school was never removed from her mother's custody, despite CPS investigations. Makes me sick to think on, to this day. It is now being report that Dr Bernhard did make the necessary notification of performing an abortion on a minor to the Indiana authorities (per Fox News via some other commenters) but provided incorrection information concerning the impregnantor, giving his age as 17 (the dude arrested was 27). It is not clear to me if she was given bad information or chose to misreport it. Interesting to note reporting the impregnator as a minor. I wonder if it might have thrown up another roadblock to getting the information to the authorities in Ohio. Somebody appears to know how the system works.
Good point about picking the wrong doctor if they wanted it kept quiet.
Churchmouse: They could have gotten the abortion in Ohio-- it's a definite life/health of the mother case in a kid that young-- BUT they would have had to get the court's permission, which would mean laying out the details of this case.
The law only allows an exception when there is a "serious risk of the substantial and irreversible impairment of a major bodily function of the pregnant woman." There is no provision for preclearance through the courts. See Ohio §2919.20 So what is a substantial risk? 50%? 25%? The law puts the onus on doctors to make this determination under threat of criminal prosecution, so legally, they have to err on the side of caution. Even now, the doctor involved in the case is being threatened with legal action -- and she didn't even perform an abortion! Chrisopher B: It is not clear to me if she was given bad information or chose to misreport it. The doctor can only report about the father what she was told by the family. Z: and she didn't even perform an abortion!
Sorry, Dr. Caitlin Bernard, an Indiana physician, did perform the abortion. Zachriel: any pregnancy in a child that young fits those criteria. That would very reliably lead to a lifetime of pelvic floor dysfunction, possibly including, but not limited to, urinary incontinence, fecal incontinence, fistula, pubic symphysis dysfunction, possibly organ prolapse-- and all of those things can happen even if you have a C-section. It has to do with pressure. Those are risks with full-grown mothers as well, but the risks go up significantly with underdeveloped hips (one reason fistulae are so common in the third world: child brides, and malnutrition).
I can't imagine a judge saying "no" in this case. But I can easily imagine a criminally dysfunctional family crossing the state line to try to avoid scrutiny. I would bet money that no arrests would ever have happened if the case hadn't been used for political fodder and gone so very public (and apparently this abortionist has zero ethics when it comes to medical privacy). Abortion clinics are notorious for doing exactly the sort of thing that seems to have happened in this case: failing to report, or fudging the information so it doesn't look as bad as it really is. I have heard other stories about girls being coached into changing the reported age of "boyfriend" in these circumstances, in just the manner we see here, to avoid legal entanglements-- I think this happened in one of Project Veritas' earliest sting operations: Underage girl at Planned Parenthood reporting the boyfriend as an adult, being "encouraged" to remember his age as under 18 so he wouldn't be arrested. It's standard operating procedure in at least some clinics. Maybe most clinics. Churchmouse: any pregnancy in a child that young fits those criteria.
We agree. Churchmouse: Abortion clinics are notorious for doing exactly the sort of thing that seems to have happened in this case: failing to report, or fudging the information so it doesn't look as bad as it really is. The rape was reported by the physician as required by law. Churchmouse: I can't imagine a judge saying "no" in this case. There's no provision in the law for pre-clearance by a judge. The doctor would have to perform the abortion, then suffer the consequences. Virtually no doctor can act in such a situation. That's the problem with such laws. What is "substantial risk" under the law? The vast majority of doctors will not risk criminal charges, so that means referring the patient to a place where abortion is allowed. QUOTE: Documents confirm a 10-year-old girl received an abortion in Indianapolis on June 30. Reason for abortion was listed as "abuse." Pregnancy termination report was filed on July 2 which means @drcaitbernard reported it to the state within 3 days as required by Indiana law. https://twitter.com/MaxLewisTV/status/1547690340370370562 re Pete Buttigieg Is Moving to Michigan.
I would speculate that the move is purely political. Buttigieg likely has his sights set on being governor or a senator and feels he has a better chance in Michigan. He certainly didn't move there for the weather. AS Sec Trans, he is in position to collect a lot of campaign cash from auto makers and suppliers. As a Michigan resident, he doesn't have to consider them as out-of-state contributions in state filings.
As always, follow the money. I think you’re right in the money: Buttigieg has no chance of getting elected Governor or to a federal office in Indiana. None. I’m stunned that he’s held any office, that guy makes Liz Warren look authentic and likable.
Life exppectancy:
Our government and MSM has a head in the sands attitude towards these kinds of statistical data. Mostly our life expectancy has dropped because of massive immigration. Many diseases and lifestyles that limit life expectancy are genetic or cultural. If you measured the life expectancy of only the Americans of European descent we would be better off than most of the other countries. If you measured crime of just Americans of European descent our crime rate would be less than all or most other nations. BUT diversity is our strength. ...but a particular weakness of the US is a lack of success in preventing poor health. Many of the important factors – smoking, obesity, violence, poverty – are not about providing better healthcare for those that need it, but about preventing poor health outcomes in the first place.
Much easier to do in demographically homogeneous countries like almost every EU country, Japan, Australia, and Canada. It's easier to agree to share things and influence each other when everyone looks, talks, and pretty much thinks exactly the same. Throw the other large racially and ethnically demographically heterogeneous countries in the mix like Brazil, Indonesia, India and you'd get a very different picture. "Russia permanently cuts off natural gas exports to Germany"
This would be a perfect test case. Germans are for the most part educated and technology oriented. If the gas was shut off they could declare a national emergency and implement an effort like the U.S. Manhattan Project at Oak Ridge during WW II. They could make renewable energy their focus and if it is possible they could do it. If Germany couldn't do this in a massive sink or swim effort than perhaps we are deluding ourselves about these alternative energy ideas. And I'm serious too even though I am unconvinced that commercial wind and solar is feasible. I lived in Germany for four years and everyone I met there leaned towards being mechanically inclined, believed in hard work and was educated. Most Germans I met either graduated from high school or graduated learning a trade in lieu of finishing traditional high school. That might make you think that their education level was lower than America's because of the importance we put on college. But their K-12 is a more traditional education were math and science is prioritized and their typical high school grad is better at math than our typical high school grad. It is their culture to invent and make things and especially mechanical and electrical devices.
I think the best way to make alternatives like wind and solar work is small scale combined with lowering energy use and more efficiency in energy using devices. I was once the proud owner of all of the first 20 years of the Mother Earth News magazines. Back then they were well worth the price, full of ideas and how actual people made these ideas work. It can be done at a individual or family level, it is much more difficult on a commercial level. If you don't follow the Manhattan Contrarian, I'd suggest seeking him out.
I am fairly certain the Germans, at least NOW, would fail and fail miserably. The hurdles are high, the efficiencies low. Even a Manhattan Project wouldn't likely lead to much benefit. Technically, the US has been in the midst of one - albeit a muddled one - for years. Billions of investment dollars and subsidies are spent on concerted efforts in this realm, and have yielded us....The Tesla and home battery packs and....home generators running on LNG. Most of the EV/sustainable grid work is still "subsidized" and supported by fossil fuels. That's undeniable. I still think work on Stirling Engines (which Dean Kamen did a lot for in the early 2000s) is underdone and there are opportunities there, particularly when mixed with geothermal as opportunities present. Geothermal actually is very efficient and affordable (after amortizatoin) right now. But it's a heavy upfront payment cost. All that said, I doubt anyone is going to solve this fast, even the Germans with a concerted effort. Nuclear is underappreciated and shunned for no good reason. I lived in Germany in the 60's so I don't doubt that things have changed.
By referencing The Manhattan project I only mean to express an idea of complete commitment and effort and not that the Manhattan project is the best model. Funding! That is both the downfall and the lifeblood of everything. The worst possible way is the way our government usually does things and that is to throw billions at a problem and have little to no oversight. Big government spawns big waste. Keep it small. Keep the funding small. Pay for results only. Hire appoint the best people. Fire those who can't hack it without hesitation. Choose the person who runs everything carefully, someone with drive and no patience who will manage it with an iron fist and get results. What I am suggesting is not an electrical grid, not unlimited supplies of energy but small scale solutions to energy needs for a family. Something that will require some investment in time and learning by people to make and/or install their own systems that will meet their own needs. This is not rocket science. I don't believe that solar or wind energy is practical on a commercial level. It exists, you can drive by and see it but it depends so heavily on subsidies that we fail to see how inefficient it really is. Today 100% of the solar and wind is nothing more than a sinkhole for federal dollars. None of it works, i.e. creates more energy than is used to manufacture, transport, install and service over it's lifetime. It is all literally a Potemkin fraud.
#11.1.1.1.1
JustMe
on
2022-07-15 16:00
(Reply)
Also, I think the key point you make is "the individual level"
Grids are designed for scaling down. We need to develop individual results that scale up. Original electric development was meant to be highly local (DC) but Tesla made it heavily centralized and able to cover long distances with AC - that was a massive benefit. But the reality is local development scaling up is the future. Decentralized benefits. You can still do scaled down central productization for larger, industrial needs. The two need to work in tandem, whereas right now they do not do that very well (for what it's worth, blockchain and crypto can be utilized to solve for a lot of this). But doing something on your own is always the main way to invoke change. Policy and Manhattan Projects are usually too little, too late, and often misplaced. You sometimes get lucky, like we did with the Manhattan Project, and solve for something in a moderately timely fashion....though many would argue today the Manhattan Project only ended WWII a little bit earlier, and many would argue it probably wasn't even necessary. I won't argue either point - I'm just saying there are views which support this. So you may be able to say even that, technically, provided less good than we'd have hoped for more money than it was worth (again - I am NOT saying this, but many could and do). I think my own generation (boomers) developed radiophobia back in the 50's and have never given nuke power its due.
Several years ago there was a push to implement thorium fueled reactors of a smaller scale that could be located everywhere and are about the safest fueled reactors. Even Bill Gates was interested in them for a while. That was likely before he became a population controller. The advantage to smaller, but more numerous, reactors is that it doesn't require the massive transformers that are needed for large facilities. If everyone is pushing to eliminate fossil fuels, I think electrifying diesel electric locomotives would be the place to start but using power lines rather than batteries. Electrifying autos or trucks makes little sense considering the battery problem of cost and availability.
#11.1.1.2.1
indyjonesouthere
on
2022-07-15 15:33
(Reply)
As I recall they've already tried solar and wind, and found it wasn't nearly enough to keep the lights on. (And considering the German weather and latitude, solar ain't gonna be a prime source in the first place.)
Here's Why Media Don't Want You To Know About Huge Global Protests
QUOTE: According to the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, which records protests worldwide, 11 countries are currently seeing protests of more than 1,000 people in response to the rising cost of living and other economic woes in 2022. As of July 5, Carnegie had recorded protests of more than 120,000 people in France, 100,000 in Spain, 10,000 in Greece, 10,000 in Kazakhstan, 10,000 in Sri Lanka, 10,000 in India, 5,000 in Iran, 5,000 in Peru, 1,000 people in Argentina, 1,000 in Morocco, and 1,000 in the U.K. . . . Corporate media won’t talk about the rest of these protests because the countries are struggling from economically disastrous policies akin to President Joe Biden’s. Any show of economic turmoil in EU member states could be traced back to EU sanctions on Russia or green energy failures, which would fly in the face of the corporate media’s agenda. Many of these countries have inflationary monetary policies. https://thefederalist.com/2022/07/15/heres-why-the-media-dont-want-you-to-know-about-the-massive-protests-going-on-around-the-globe/ Journalists Tow Camper Behind Electric Truck, End in Stunning Failure When They Only Make it 85 Miles
https://www.westernjournal.com/journalists-tow-camper-behind-electric-truck-end-stunning-failure-make-85-miles/ It doesn't surprise me that 62% of Biden's top appointees have no business experience - Biden himself has no business experience but that doesn't stop him from believing he knows everything about everything. Educated idiots, the lot of them.
Dead Arctic Parrot
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kppUY1Uo058 A good 6:22 video that deals with the missed predictions of an ice free arctic. A great review https://michaelpsenger.substack.com/p/deborah-birxs-silent-invasion-a-guide of Birx new book.
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Tracked: Jul 15, 16:57