Maggie's Farm

He's pretty interesting and he speaks with such authority (and to people who seemingly matter such as people in the armed forces) that he's hard to discount. And since I do not claim to have anywhere near the information or education he apparently has, I won't even try.

I have watched another video of his on the end of Chinese manufacturing which is also interesting.

There are two small points that lead me to loose some faith in his analysis. The first is that he says our schools are better than the Chinese schools. I find that highly doubtful (at least in primary education) given the comparison of the STEM capabilities of their students compared to ours. In his video on the End of Chinese manufacturing, he compares China's Wuhan flu vaccines with Moderna and Pfizer vaccines saying the Chinese vaccines were only 55% effective at preventing death while the Moderna and Pfizer vaccines are 95% effective at preventing infection. That video was posted on 5/21/2022 but came from a snippet of another presentation he gave. That presentation had better have been an old one or he has lost a lot of credibility with me.

One of his major points is the demographics of China are horrible. They have to be even worse for Japan. He doesn't mention the Japanese in that context. It brought me to wonder if the "collapse" he expects China to have in the next ten years is going to look in any way Japan has "collapsed." In GDP terms, they have had a rocky period since about 1995 but the trend is still positive.

We will soon learn how well he actually understands about China since he expects it to collapse much sooner rather than later.

I hadn't had a chance to watch the entire video on the end of Chinese manufacturing and he later clarified his position on mRNA vaccines so that he makes more sense me.