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Monday, April 4. 2022Monday morning linksA Victim Too Far: How Transgenders Will Bring Down the Lefty Marxists Who Want to Destroy America California City Approves Program to Give Trans & Non-Binary Residents Guaranteed Income Chronic absenteeism in NYC public schools hits alarming 40% What Will Unions Mean to Amazon? Nothing. Moderna COVID-19 Vaccine Trial Results Not Strong Enough to Warrant Authorization for Children: Experts The SEC tries its hand at climate policy China Continues To Laugh At Western "Green Energy" Foolishness Looking for a Democrat who stands up to the crazies? Here he is Maxine Waters Tells Homeless to Go Home, Reporter Not to Report An Unconventional Analysis of Putin's War on Ukraine Biden is looking to double his record on letting in illegal migrants Trackbacks
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The invasion of Chechnya didn't go well either - at first. Russia has very good special forces and terrible training and morale among its conscripts. This is typical for them. We think if they lose lots of ground forces and mechanised artillery they will back off. Not likely. They don't care if they lose peasants, they have millions. They don't care about losing tanks, so long as they don't lose precious expensive planes. When things look dark, they play dirty.
Second time around they crushed Chechnya, which is now solidly Russian. They also b-slapped Georgia, and now both North and South Ossetia want into the RF.
PS. Russia only sent their contract (professional) troops to Ukraine. The conscripts were left behind, although that might change if the reduction of Ukrainian forces near the Donbas stretches out. Sigh... Oh, Bob, my little sock-puppet, where to begin?
Let's start with: North Ossetia has been part of Russia since the mid-1800's. It's capital is, after all, "Vladikavkaz" (literally, "Lords of the Caucasus"). No yearning needed to join the RF; it's already part of it. South Ossetia was taken by force in 2008; but given that the troops holding it are reportedly being shipped to Ukraine, it wouldn't surprise me all that much if Georgia reversed that shortly. As it comes, so it goes, after all. The two Chechen wars killed around 20% of the civilian population of Chechnya, so it's unsurprising that a relative quiet has come over the area. Though, these days, they are pretty good at producing "Tik Tok warlords" who say they're fighting in Ukraine-- but forget that the background shows signs and businesses only found in Russia. Putin did announce that no conscripts were sent to Ukraine... then had to walk that back after captured conscripts started turning up in large numbers in Ukraine. Maybe he doesn't know what's actually going on? Or is he just a really bad liar? It'll be interesting to see 1) what happens when last year's draft is due to return home later this month, and 2) how much draft dodging expands in this year's draft. (Note that even the Russian propaganda can't come up with pictures of young Russian men lining up to volunteer to fight in Ukraine.) FYI, if you sigh online and it isn't self-referential or ironic, it means you're a douchebag.
I don't think the Chechnian model is particularly appropriate in application to Ukraine. The big differences are:
1. Smaller geographic area 2. No rally of the Russophone and Russophile population within Ukraine (though that could change if there are reprisials after an armistice) calling for reunification with the Motherland 3. Most importantly, the Chechnians did not have the national institutions, the unified military command structures and external diplomatic resources that Ukraine did. Note that these were the first targets of the invasion, and the defeat of the early waves attmpting to tale Kiev has largely led to the grind that the "operation" has become for both sides. Indeed... there's a huge difference between Chechnya and Ukraine. For starters, Ukraine is 44 times larger in population, and 35 times larger in land mass. Ukraine is being extensively helped by most of the richest countries in the world-- nobody would even make diplomatic statements in favor of the Chechens (notably, not even the Muslim states). Ukraine has also had the benefit of 8 continuous years of fighting Russians on their soil, and has learned how to defeat them.
Russia doesn't have millions of peasants anymore-- the TOTAL male population between ages 20-35 is maybe 6 million; and drafting even a fair portion of them will mean stopping most of the productive work in the economy. (The equivalent US male population is over 33 million, for contrast.) They can't manufacture replacements for the tanks they lost, or ammo that doesn't have a huge dud rate, or trucks that run, etc. etc. etc. And this is, ultimately, a war of choice on Russia's part, whereas it's a war of necessity on Ukraine's part. Yes, Ukraine is suffering terribly-- but there's no avoiding that now, even if they laid down their arms and surrendered en masse... which they are noticeably unwilling to do, and justifiably so, given what is coming to light in the areas that suffered an occupation of only a month or so. Now, that said: I would expect a MAJOR escalation on Russia's part shortly, to allow Putin to claim some sort of "victory" before the big May 9th ceremonies that are customary in Russia. I don't know what form it will take, but I expect it will be coming in a couple of weeks. I agree with much in these comments. I think this is typical of Russian response and they have done this before. I don't say it's always going to work. We expect them to keep abreast of tech warfare while staying within their usual procedures. But they not may have stayed abreast. Putin may have underestimated the changes in electronic communication (though I hear he's doing drones pretty well) and that may cost him. I note only that lots of the reporting has been starry-eyed about how well the plucky Ukrainians are doing. I can't judge myself, but I will note that this is not a universally-held opinion.
The SEC, like all bureaucratic agencies, is looking to expand its reach. The first rule of bureaucracy is to perpetuate itself.
Re: Green Energy: Here is an infographic of the world's richest people: https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/Main_2022-Billionaires.jpeg?itok=yBV6VEpd
You'll notice on Line 7 that it shows the Top 10 richest people in 'Green Energy'. Number 1 is Elon Musk. The remaining 9 are all from Communist China. And yet, Communist China is one of the dirtiest energy producers in the world, with an ever-increasing number of coal-fired power plants and some really bad environmental practices when it comes to manufacturing. I wonder how they get so rich, being in 'Green Energy'? I wonder what they spend their money on when buying influence? I wonder if, say, some of their money might find its way into the pockets of a prominent political family, for example, if that family might respond to this influence-peddling by making life hard for American petroleum companies, and oh I dunno, making fuel efficiency standards unachievable, so far out of reach that only powered skateboards and motor scooters could comply – forcing people to buy electric vehicles whose life cycle ecological impact is a disaster, Made in China. Hmmm. 10% for the Big Guy, you say? We need to enforce our immigration laws and the laws which protect us from illegals already here. We need to identify and punish people who use false SS numbers. We need to fine employers who hire illegals. We need to use the tax and SS databases to find and deport illegals. We need an active and aggressive find and deport effort in country. We need congress to pass laws that mandate these things. We need laws that prevent the federal government from spending any money on illegals except the cost to deport.
I’m still baffled that the ‘slippery slope’ people turned out to be right about gay marriage. How did this happen?
I wonder what sick, twisted evil, comes after the normalization of pedophilia?
When Gov/ DeSantis signed the bill into law that prohibits age-inappropriate “classroom instruction” on “sexual orientation and gender identity” in kindergarten through third grade the left should have applauded. The law is 100% right. But the left is stupid and saw it as a chance to unite their crazies against a Republican who may one day run for president. They were so caught up in derailing DeSantis that they went full on stupid. The law is perfect and makes perfect sense. The next step should be to prevent teachers from discussing sex with students at all. Way back when sexual education first began in public schools the fear was that it would be used to teach children perverted things or groom them but those fears were placated by saying of course teachers would never do that. NOW we are at a point where the teachers actually feel like we stepped on their rights to teach sexual perversity and to groom our children. Isn't it crazy how wild ass conspiracy theories suddenly become facts?
40% absenteeism? Heck, that's still better than CNN+ viewership.
Questions Abound About Bucha Massacre
https://consortiumnews.com/2022/04/04/questions-abound-about-bucha-massacre/ A high school athlete in Kissimee Fl. was just "Will Smith'ed" by another student who was standing beside the track. I wonder if all the glitterati will applaud this too.
At this point a worldwide economic crash seems inevitable. It has really been happening for a couple of decades. The crash of 2008 was tipped over the edge by the housing bubbles which was set in motion about 1999 by congress mandating cheap mortgages especially for those least able to pay them. This problem festered for almost a decade and then it all crashed in 2008. But the FED overstepped their bounds and lowered interest rates to less than zero and bought mortgage debt, bailed out banks with printing press money and has continued that practice even to right now. But all that printing press money and excessive federal budget which require even more fake money has finally created a massive inflation bubble (which has been building all along but was repressed with borrowed/fake money) and now the inflation presents a clear and present danger even greater than our debt (because of printing money to hide the last crash's problems which were never fixed).
The FED cannot keep rates low or inflation will reach Venezuela rates. But the house of cards that is our stock market which grew to record heights thanks to printed dollars will crash under even "normal" 5-6% rates never mind the 12%-16% that is needed to slow inflation. Everyone in this game at the high levels knows all this (except Biden who doesn't even know who his wife is). Everyone knows a huge crash is inevitable. But everyone in the game right now is making millions and they are now simply trying to make a few more million before the inevitable crash kills everything. The war, Covid, LGBTQI, racism, has all deferred any real attention to the elephant in the room but that can't last. What will happen? A depression worse than the depression of the 30's for sure and most likely worldwide. When? Probably as soon as the first balloon (of numerous balloons) pops. Could be weeks, could be months, depends on many things. If Russia accommodates and invades another country it may divert all attention and the elite can string this out making more millions daily while the fat lady waits in the wings. But it will happen. The Dow can be measured in two ways. One is the number of dollars to buy one of each stock in the Dow and the other is the number of ounces of gold to buy one of each stock in the Dow. Using gold as the standard, the stock market topped in about the year 2000 and has been dropping ever since.
Your point is not totally wrong. However you choose gold as the standard now try it with silver. Gold is "over priced" right now for various reasons. One simple reason is that we now have 8 billion people on earth but the amount of gold hasn't increased at the same rate. Gold should by historic measure be about $1250-$1300 today. Maybe in the future golds historic ratio to silver will never return again. Maybe this isn't an aberration maybe gold has moved to a different level and will stay there. But with the many distortions in our economic and money today I think gold is simply experiencing a distortion that will someday return to historic ratios to other precious metals.
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