Maggie's FarmWe are a commune of inquiring, skeptical, politically centrist, capitalist, anglophile, traditionalist New England Yankee humans, humanoids, and animals with many interests beyond and above politics. Each of us has had a high-school education (or GED), but all had ADD so didn't pay attention very well, especially the dogs. Each one of us does "try my best to be just like I am," and none of us enjoys working for others, including for Maggie, from whom we receive neither a nickel nor a dime. Freedom from nags, cranks, government, do-gooders, control-freaks and idiots is all that we ask for. |
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Wednesday, April 8. 2020Wednesday morning linksA yellow fever outbreak made Greenwich Village A book: The Worst Hard Time: The Untold Story of Those Who Survived the Great American Dust Bowl Historical Photos Of The 1918 Spanish Flu That Show What A Global Pandemic Looked Like In The 1910s Finally, justice for George Cardinal Pell "Jews in Music" Presented by The Genesis Prize Foundation - video NYC schools pull the plug on Zoom following FBI warning Zoom = China BlackBerry uncovers China-backed hacking campaign Heroes of the pandemic: Former CEO of RadioShack now an ER doctor on frontlines of COVID-19 fight The Origin of the COVID-19 Outbreak in Wuhan. We don’t know yet. But contrary to recent reporting, science does not rule out a lab accident or even bioterrorism. Paris Announces Ban On Outdoor Exercise Why? VENTILATORS ARE NO PANACEA Of course not Blame Trump! No vaccine will cure this virus. Experts Recommend Disinfecting Television After Trump Has Been On
Doctor: Prepare For 18 More Months Of Distancing And Economic Pain. We Have No Choice. Doctors have tunnel vision WSJ: In Coronavirus Response, Republicans and Democrats Like Big Government. Policies to contain the pandemic fallout could redefine Washington’s role in the economy Good News: Cuomo Says NY Curve Is Flattening, They Haven’t Lost Anyone Due to Lack of Equipment Officials See Signs Pandemic’s Toll May Not Match Worst Fears Government To Decide What Items Are Essential Purchases And What Things You're Not Allowed To Buy Tucker Carlson Drops a MOAB on Mainstream Media Hydroxychloroquine Deniers A commenter somewhere:
NY Times Deceptively Reports That Trump Has ‘Financial Interest’ in Hydroxychloroquine Of course Libs Triggered After Trump Asks Reporter, ‘Who Are You Working for, China?’; Turns out She Does For a Chinese propaganda org, no less More People Died Of Suicide Last Week In Tennessee Than COVID-19 There's the problem Durham’s On the Way. The investigation that will push coronavirus aside. We'll see... Trackbacks
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I've read "The Worst Hard Time". It's horrifying. And the worst thing about it was that it was entirely man-made, caused by the destruction of the prairie for the purpose of wheat farming.
I'll second what Cleve said: "The Worst Hard Time" was horrifying. What I did not expect when I read it was to see how much US government policy coming out of Washington, much of it well intentioned (in theory), led to that disaster. In many respects, it was a precursor of the 2007 subprime crisis. Highly recommended.
Ironic that Cuomo declares that the NY City Covid-19 has peaked on the same day that they have a record death rate from the virus.
Death rate is a lagging indicator. Confirmed cases is a leading indicator. Timeline: Person feels unwell [time passes]-Person seeks medical care [time passes]-Person is diagonosed with Covid-19 and treatment begun (confirmed case) [time passes]-Person worsens and enters ICU [time passes]-Person dies [case closed].
True. That is how the CDC knows this week is going to be bad.
Prepare for 18 months of lock down? I think not. Is that the same doctor who said everyone over 75 should die?
BlackBerry uncovers China-backed hacking campaign: Surprahz, surprahz...
As French death toll passes 10,000, Paris announces ban on outdoor exercise: Parisians go stir-crazy. WASHINGTON (The Borowitz Report)—People should get in the habit of thoroughly disinfecting their televisions after Donald J. Trump has been on, a cross-section of experts confirmed on Tuesday. RIIIIIIGGGGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHT. Idjits! Government To Decide What Items Are Essential Purchases And What Things You're Not Allowed To Buy: Rebellion Time!!!!! NY Times Deceptively Reports That Trump Has ‘Financial Interest’ in Hydroxychloroquine: Just one more reason for me to detest, despise, and distrust the NYT (the WaPoo, too!). My impression from reading the article on suicide is that the author is simply using the Covid19 event to push his agenda. Last year they had 198 suicides, but last year they had no Covid19. Hmmm. I guess his premise is pure BS.
Normal people don't commit suicide. Generally those who do have under lying mental health issues OR take illegal drugs. If you want to drastically cut the number of suicides get rid of illegal drugs. I look at it the opposite way: addicts are bent on death, and if they couldn't get there with drugs, they'd find another way.
re A book: The Worst Hard Time: The Untold Story of Those Who Survived the Great American Dust Bowl
Both my parents grew up in the 30s in rural Nebraska. The dust bowl wasn't as bad here as it was in southwest Kansas and the Texas panhandle, but it was bad enough. And what made things worse was that if a farmer managed to raise anything, his crops and livestock were worth next to nothing because of low commodity prices. Nobody who lived through it called it the Depression. It was simply known as The Hard Times. Since then we have experienced drier weather on the plains but what's different is herbicides. Back then you had to have the ground free of residue to plant and get ahead of the weeds. With herbicide you can leave the crop residue on top of the ground. Not only does the residue prevent the land from blowing, it helps keep moisture in the ground where it's needed. And now we have the chattering classes getting up in arms because the predictions of the infected, the hospital beds, the dead, the respirators, all have turned out to be much higher than the actual numbers suffered. A good thing, but you wouldn't know it to listen to them.
In my reading, it seemed pretty obvious that predictions were made on the basis of information that was sketchy at best, while being updated in real time when better information became available. And in many cases, most-likely Minimums and Maximums were included in the bell curves as shaded areas around the lines, and (again, in my reading) it would appear that our outcome still lies within those margins, on the low side. I don't recall seeing many predictions that can be historically proven to align more closely with our outcome so far, and consequently I don't see anyone calling for their Nobel Prize. Predictions are hard, especially when they're about the future, a wise man once said. Chatterin' Classes gonna chatter, I guess. It does look like every country is encounter their clear Peak Death Day, which is good, because it means that we can get on with opening up our economy selectively once we hit ours. The sooner, the better. It's time to work on flattening the curve for Economic Pain. Is the President Forgetting Politics 101?
Regardless of when Trump acts to reopen the country, the ruling class will do whatever is in their power to prevent him from exiting the path to political perdition which he has entered https://amgreatness.com/2020/04/07/is-the-president-forgetting-politics-101/ NY Doctor Describes What It's Really Like In Hospitals #Coronavirus
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CNd7ml9VUAc Michelle Malkin: The Grand Farce of American Social Distancing
QUOTE: We are not a serious country. America's "social distancing" campaign has gone both too far and not far enough. The restrictions and guidelines are arbitrary, irrational and unevenly applied. While children's swings and slides are now crime scenes, golf courses and pickleball courts in my city are wide open. Weed and booze stores are considered "essential." Barbershops and hair salons here were ordered to close three weeks ago, but government employees on landscaping crews who cut grass—like the ones I've seen all crammed together in a city truck—are still earning paychecks subsidized by the taxpayers sidelined from their jobs in the name of safety and public health. In my state, and across the country, private gyms have been forbidden spaces for the masses for weeks. But if you're a celebrity or Beltway elitist, you can still stay in shape while sanctimoniously taping public service announcements telling everyone else to stay at home. Jennifer Lopez and Alex Rodriguez have been racking up social media clicks by sharing cozy family quarantine videos and coping tips from their multi-million-dollar Florida mansion. "We all need to take care of ourselves, mentally and physically, and also be respectful of the health and well-being of others. At a time when people need to stay apart, we can still find other ways to feel togetherness. Stay connected, and most importantly, stay safe," Rodriguez tweeted to his 1.2 million fans. Yet, last week, the power couple was caught by paparazzi exiting a Miami gym whose front-door sign read: "This gym is not open. Stay home stay safe." Actors Mario Lopez and Mark Wahlberg have also become quarantine time favorites, sharing dance routines, home workouts and homeschool scenes to show their commitment to self-isolation. But last week, the buff Hollywood bros ventured out to a posh Los Angeles F45 Training facility to tape a partner workout together (with a two-person film crew) that they told their viewers to replicate in their apartments or backyards. Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg's personal trainer bragged that until last week, she was working out at the private Supreme Court gym. "Everybody's been shut down," trainer Bryant Johnson told Law360, a legal news and analysis website. "The only reason why I didn't shut the justice down is because, hey, she ain't having it," Johnson said. Translation: We are not "all in this together," like the cliched hashtag saying goes. The privileged among us get VIP gym access during lockdown, while ordinary Americans are cooped up inside doing pushups in the living room, lunges through the bedroom, makeshift treadmill runs in slippery socks across the kitchen floor, and bicep curls with their jugs of laundry detergent. Selective social distancing is a futile exercise in virus virtue signaling. Either we're all in or we're all out. You can't attribute curve-flattening to "social distancing" if huge swaths of people never practiced it or opted out when convenient. How long must we carry on the charade? Public health autocrat Anthony Fauci insists we must continue living like this until there are "no new cases" and "no new deaths"—and until a vaccine (which his control-freak pal Bill Gates is working overtime to foist on the world) is in place. This is nuts. https://vdare.com/articles/michelle-malkin-the-grand-farce-of-american-social-distancing QUOTE: While children's swings and slides are now crime scenes, golf courses and pickleball courts in my city are wide open. Try using a swing or slide without contacting it. In golf and paddle/racquet it is possible to maintain distance and not handle common equipment. I'd argue that it is not at all arbitrary or irrational to disallow use of playground equipment while allowing outdoor games like golf and tennis to be played by couples or groups of people from the same household. And yet it worked. They are discovering that our decision to self quarantine and practice social distancing has reduced all morbidities in addition to flattening the Covid-19 curve.
Keep hope alive. Those death counts you've been predicting are sure to come in.
Not unless we believe those who want us to stop trying to keep this virus from spreading and thus abandon self quarantine too soon.
We have no idea if it worked. We won't probably for 5 years. We know only that morbidities seem (not are) reduced.
What was the original curve going to be? Dunno. As for why? Dunno. Nobody does. Anyone who claims he knows for sure, it's science dontcha know, that person is an idiot or a con-man. Actually some pretty interesting data is starting to filter in that shows that the Social Distancing guidelines have not only dampened the COVID-19 crisis, they actually appear to have done a huge number on the regular flu season too. Because of this isolation, we have far fewer than normal cases of people with flu-like illnesses for this time of year.
Check out this interactive map: https://healthweather.us/?mode=Observed ...and spend a little time digesting it. There is a graphic below that shows the data from a nation-wide set of smart thermometers in medical clinics that automatically upload their data. The dramatic change in slope is where the Shelter-in-Place rules started. If this correlation is validated, it's important news supporting starting things up again with the nation's economy. Bill Whittle has a pretty good podcast on this subject today. Personally once the worst state has peaked with its mortalities (New York) I think Trump will start rolling out the plan for startup. All of the predictions are continuing to ramp down in severity and numbers as we get better data and the effects of the aggressive treatments start to pay off and be included in the simulations. The number of traffic deaths, bar room fight deaths, mugging deaths... are probably going down too. Maybe we're on to something here.
re: Trump Asks Reporter, ‘Who Are You Working for, China?’; Turns out She Does
I recommend The Epoch Times (in general) as a news source. Here's their article on this topic: Trump Asks Hong Kong Phoenix TV Reporter If She Works ‘for China’. |