Maggie's FarmWe are a commune of inquiring, skeptical, politically centrist, capitalist, anglophile, traditionalist New England Yankee humans, humanoids, and animals with many interests beyond and above politics. Each of us has had a high-school education (or GED), but all had ADD so didn't pay attention very well, especially the dogs. Each one of us does "try my best to be just like I am," and none of us enjoys working for others, including for Maggie, from whom we receive neither a nickel nor a dime. Freedom from nags, cranks, government, do-gooders, control-freaks and idiots is all that we ask for. |
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Monday, April 6. 2020Monday morning links
TOP 10 ZOMBIE MOVIES EVERY HORROR FAN NEEDS TO WATCH Bored at Home? Here's a Massive List of Museums, Zoos, and Theme Parks Offering Virtual Tours Who is bored at home? Not possible. Snuggle with a No Parties, No Problem: Introverts Don’t Mind Sheltering At Home They love the excuse Dear Colleges, Please Let Grades Mean Something They do not. Gotta please the customers. They are paying for "A"s, so they get them. Participation trophies. What happens if your Apple products break during the coronavirus pandemic? I gave up apples for Lent. Also Tequila, kale, salad, and quinoa. For serious, tobacco. That's serious for we of Indian blood. Zoom’s Encryption is Tied to China, Raises More Concerns Zoom = China There’s another side to the story of the fired Navy captain Many civilians don't understand the deal these people made. Serious deal, deadly serious. Illegal Border Crossing Down to 'Next to Nothing' - Less Than 150 Apprehensions a Day For Almost a Week A big "What If?" Did Trump Ruin Our Economy for Nothing?
At Some Point The Cure Really Will Be Worse Than The Disease TALES OF COLLATERAL DAMAGE So many such stories out there. Painful. Peak Buffoonery: Paddleboarder in Ocean Off Malibu Is Arrested for Not Socially Distancing President Trump needs to set the country free now But every death until November will be his fault Reporter Presses Trump To Shutdown Grocery Stores, Fast Food Restaurants Coronavirus Case Counts Are Meaningless - *Unless you know something about testing. And even then, it gets complicated. We have no data. The reality might be worse, might be better. According to CDC: 0.2% to 1.8% of All US Deaths Since February are Confirmed or Presumed to be Due to COVID-19 Majority Of Coronavirus Patients On Ventilators Go On To Die A ventilator (unless post-op) always means you are in deep, deep trouble Bill Gates-Funded IHME Coronavirus Model Wrong Again - 12,000 ICU Beds Projected For New York Today, Only 4,100 Used Trump names White House lawyer to be watchdog over coronavirus bailout money. Brian Anderson will make sure taxpayer money is spent correctly during the pandemic Good Even Althouse is beginning to appreciate Trump. Never thought I'd seen that happen Media mystified as America rallies behind President Trump during coronavirus crisis After NY Times Caves On Hydroxychloroquine, Twitter Hero Posts Screenshots From EVERYONE Who Mocked Trump For Promoting It Dr. Birx To CNN Reporter: Keep The Politics Out Of It, Buddy The Real Coronavirus Chronology Shows Trump Was On Top Of It While Biden Was Mocking The Danger. No media or Nancy Pelosi false narratives or phony Joe Biden campaign ad can change the truth about the real chronology of the coronavirus. Trump was following Dr Fauci, who in January said it was just a flu. Has Dr. F ever been right? He constantly changes his mind, but he has Trump's ear European Leaders Lament: Coronavirus Might Just Kill The EU Too Anger in Italy, Defiance in Eastern Europe - Will the Coronavirus Mean the End of the Globalist EU? Let's hope so. If unlimited illegal immigration didn't World Health Organization Under Fire for Being Chinese Apologists Daily funnies: Venezuelan Naval Vessel Sank After Picking Fight With A Cruise Ship China joins UN Human Rights Council panel despite troubling record, response to coronavirus The UN is a joke From The Atlantic!: Consider the Possibility That Trump Is Right About China No! No! No! Trump admin weighs legal action over alleged Chinese hoarding of PPE Trackbacks
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Interesting to come home and read the "projections"... FWIW, we're up to 8 (depending on who's counting - one source says 3 had "other conditions") fatalities in Montgomery and unincorporated Harris counties...
Would be an interesting news story as to the wide range of fatalities over similar population numbers... First the large population centers, then the less populated areas. Wait for it...
If and/or when you're proven wrong, will you apologize to the board? Or will you pretend it never happened?
#1.1.1.1.1
jimg
on
2020-04-06 18:28
(Reply)
I said before that I would apologize and never post again. I hope you are right and I am wrong. I will say that since that time when I last said that the number of deaths have doubled and the number with the virus have more than doubled.
#1.1.1.1.1.1
Anon
on
2020-04-07 10:52
(Reply)
If Trump had never mentioned hydroxychloroquine, by now the media would be roasting him over not having enough of it on hand to treat every patient since it is so obviously the solution to the entire issue, and Trump should have realized that 2 weeks ago when the first anecdotes were available.
Just wait. Within a short time, they'll be complaining that he's not providing chloroquine treatment for free, universally, and faster.
And they probably won't even bother knocking off the complaint that it's unproven while they do it. Next up: ivermectin bottlenecking. Bottleneckers gotta bottleneck. they'll be complaining that he's not providing chloroquine treatment for free, universally, and faster."
Well, we have plenty of gin and tonics here at casa mouse, so... Tonic was in seemingly short supply for a few days so it was gin only. Wait...if you have some olives you a just drinking a very dry martini. Salud
Trump didn't shutdown the economy. In fact, he's getting flak for NOT imposing a nation-wide shutdown like what Bill Gates wants. It is the states with democrat governors that needlessly shutdown their economies.
You gotta hand it to the leftist media. Their viewership was on a slippery slope going down and they were able to increase the angle.
Re: IHME coronavirus model wrong again
Meteorological or epidemiological, model are models. They are the model's designer's best guess at how a system will behave. They are not science. I think I heard someone at one of the White House briefings say that the model is only as good as the data you feed it. It's way worse than that. The reason there are models at all is because there are far too many variables to accurately account for so the model makes assumptions about those variables. If those assumptions are wrong, the model's prediction would probably be wrong. It's likely those assumptions will impact other assumptions which could also be wrong in which case the model could compound the error. So it's not really a surprise that the model is wrong. Unfortunately, it's all we've got until we find out it's wrong. As an introvert - I'm... okay... with sheltering at home. But I find there's a difference between staying home because I WANT to, and staying home because I HAVE to. I find I DO need some social contact after all, even if all I'm doing is getting out to the store or going to work. (Essential job, shrug. I ain't gonna gripe about it at this point.)
For the extroverts who NEED to be out and around other people, this must be a choice slice of hell. Another way to look at the model is: Of course it is wrong or partly wrong. It was a prediction at an exact point in time of the future without the benefit of knowing what would change in the interim. All models predict inaccurately because we react to events and that changes results. Thank god the model is wrong because that means some of our reactions were effective. Now if you were saying that the models were intentionally wrong (as I believe the global warming models are) that would be a different story and a terrible fraud. When I coached basketball I would teach the players to work together as a team and have effective and aggressive defensive and offensive plays. Sometimes that worked really well and we won, sometimes the other team had a better model and they beat us bad. That does not mean our model was "wrong" it meant that as in life events on the ground in real time determine the real outcomes in spite of the best modeling and planning.
Bored at home? No, I'm getting to some deferred projects, some fun, some just put off for a better day. Here in Minnesota it's still not easy spending a lot of time on outdoor work; some things have to wait for warmer, drier weather. But I'm working at conditioning for a fall backpack hunting trip by schlepping 65 lb. of softener salt up hill and down hill in the Minnesota River valley. Also refletching my aluminum arrows. Tomorrow I will start thoroughly cleaning guns, one each day. Not fun, but necessary. Also lots of reading; will finish Giants In The Earth by Ole Rolvaag in the next day or so (best fiction in quite a while). Television, not much, but watched To Have And Have Not last night. Not in the same class as Casablanca or African Queen but not too bad either. Greatly enjoyed the Hoagy Carmichael scenes.
Lots of spring migrant birds around; swans, geese, woodcock, early woodland birds. Some have already moved on. Upcoming? Load shotgun shells for the upcoming trap league season, rifle and pistol ammo for range time, also clean the garage. Down side? My gym is closed for the duration. I hated the daily routine but it anchored my weekly schedule. And I really miss the showers there. I wasn’t an officer in the Navy, so I don’t know what the equivalent for an officer would be to general orders, and I can’t remember them all. I do remember that I will not abandon my post, until properly relieved. Those general orders had nothing to do with being at war or not. I will not abandon my post, until properly relieved.
When I served aboard an aircraft carrier, it was also the flag ship for the battle group. Usually a one star admiral. QUOTE: ...Crozier did not speak to his direct superior, carrier strike group commander Rear Adm. Stuart Baker, about his concerns before sending the memo, despite Baker being on the carrier and living within feet of Crozier. I would say Captain Crozier, got what he deserved. My first reaction was that he was stupid to do what he did. I would like to find a redeeming reason because my gut tells me he did have his people's best interest at heart and that is a wonderful thing... but not in a captain or any high ranking officer. Because at this point (or more correctly at the point where his email became public) he put his crew, his ship and the U.S. in danger. He basically signaled that he was dead in the water and a sitting duck and that his mission was fubar.
Agreed. He went outside the chain of command. That's the reason the Navy canned him.
It was not fair to his immediate superior to have questions from above that the captain didn't direct initially to his immediate superior. Higher brass: "Rear Admiral, one of your Captains has complained to us about...." Rear Admiral: "But the Captain never informed me of his concerns." He got what he deserved. When I was a teacher, one of my fellow teachers put in nearly 20 years as an Air Force officer. Yes, it was a top-down organization, but he was quite impressed with the amount of input solicited from the lower ranks about certain policy changes. " 0.2% to 1.8% of All US Deaths Since February"
Incredibly distorting statistics, using the very low counts in the beginning to make it look better. Right now we're running 1000-1400 a day, say 1200, Daily death rate from all causes last year was about 8300, so we have a new cause of death (that was zero last year) at 15% of all deaths. That makes it one of the largest single causes (for now at least) My iPhone died a couple of days age. It turns out that the local phone store is open by appointment. The door is locked but if you knock they will let you in and sell you a million dollar phone that you'll be thrilled to have. The young salespeople are very personable and helpful too.
"Clean a damn closet. Turn off the f-ing TV. Do a 1000-piece jigsaw puzzle. Throw out stuff you never use. Do 300 pushups each day and 100 body-weight squats. Cook something good. Do a Great Courses series. Go for an hour run. Clean the garage. Prune the shrubs. Make some money by working at home if you can."
I'm exhausted just reading that. |