We are a commune of inquiring, skeptical, politically centrist, capitalist, anglophile, traditionalist New England Yankee humans, humanoids, and animals with many interests beyond and above politics. Each of us has had a high-school education (or GED), but all had ADD so didn't pay attention very well, especially the dogs. Each one of us does "try my best to be just like I am," and none of us enjoys working for others, including for Maggie, from whom we receive neither a nickel nor a dime. Freedom from nags, cranks, government, do-gooders, control-freaks and idiots is all that we ask for.
Our Recent Essays Behind the Front Page
Monday, March 4. 2019
Nother beautiful snow day here in Yankeeland. Had to hike to the gym in the dark this morning. Peaceful.
Spain logs hundreds of shipwrecks that tell story of maritime past - Weather rather than pirates caused majority of sinkings, says culture ministry team
The War on Religion
They want your faith in the State, not God
And for an example, DEMS WILL FIGHT ANY ALTERNATIVE TO PUBLIC SCHOOLS
Record Number Of Robots Replaced Humans In 2018
The Total Futility Of Trying To Save The Planet By Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Co-Founder of Greenpeace RIPS Ocasio-Cortez: “Pompous Little Twit… You Would Bring About Mass Death”
Lies, Damned Lies, and STEM Statistics
Trump says he'll issue order protecting campus free speech
Washington Post publishes editor’s note on Covington controversy coverage
Koch Brothers Announce Plans to Intervene in GOP Primaries in Support of RINO, Open Border, “Free Trade” Republicans
UH OH: Wife Of NYC Mayor Bill De Blasio Can’t Account For $850 MILLION Given To City Mental Health Program
New York City Experienced Worst Decline in Restaurant Jobs since 9/11 After $15 Minimum Wage Win
Rate Of Hispanic Poverty In America Fell To Record Low 18.3%, Overall Poor Americans Declined
Andrew Cuomo’s Case for 2020—No, Really
In New York, his nickname is Andrew Evil Eyes Cuomo
CNN’s Vinograd: Trump’s CPAC Speech Had Moment That Sounded Like Hitler, He Said Things That Sounded Like ‘Putin Scripted’ Speech
Here’s Why Trump’s Greatest Talent Terrifies Dems and Baffles Republicans
"Our Drivers Have Been Attacked": UPS Halts Deliveries To Swedish "No Go Zone"
ISIS Jihadi Returned To Sweden To Treat War Wounds Before Returning To The Front Lines…
Vietnam Wants Western Politicians, Not Western Politics. As Hanoi welcomes Trump, it shuts down a key reformist think tank.
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I've said it here and elsewhere before. There is only one way to reduce greenhouse emissions that is both technically and economically feasible. You have to use nuclear power, and you have to break the one-time-through fuel cycle. That means you need fast-neutron reactors.
Waste from thermal-neutron reactors powers fast-neutron reactors which produce fuel for thermal-neutron reactors. Lather, rinse, and repeat. Waste is limited to a small amount of fission products, rather than a thousand times more fission by-products.
Of course, the US shut down its research into closed-fuel-cycle reactors during the Carter administration--proliferation concerns. If only John Forbes Kerry knew as much about nuclear isotopes as he does about the sales tax on yachts, we'd have emission-free electricity today. Not to worry, though, the Chinese, Russians and French haven't stopped. But we could have an emissions-free grid in 40 years, at maybe a 20% premium over current power plants and a ten-fold discount over solar and wind.
Eh. You'd need a standardized plant type (wait - France already did that) which could be mass-produced (oh, China's been doing that) and a regulatory/licensing apparatus that doesn't see each new plant as something to spend an entire career on from new hire to retirement before approving.
Of those three, I think the third would be hardest.
There is zero doubt that 100% of the fossil fuels will be burned. There is no possibility that won't happen. Even if we choose not to use it someone else will. When that happens, when the last lump of coal, the last gallon of oil and the last cubic foot of NG is burned there will be no statistical change in the earths climate. In fact we may well be in the next cyclical cold cycle or an ice age. The earth is literally unaffected by the CO2, period. The AGW scam is and always was a massive left wing power and money grab, nothing more, nothing less. Any compliance to this scam will only empower those who would rule over and oppress you and make life more difficult for the common man. That is the goal.
I think you just said, Zachriel, three times! And it was such a peaceful morning.
Keep stirring the pot...I hear screaming in the background.
Like all natural resources, hydrocarbons will be consumed until their usage is cost-prohibitive, economically and socially. Alternatives will be developed sector by sector. I would guess that air transportation and derived materials (plastics) will be the hardest hydrocarbon sectors to go through the replacement cycle. But my guess is, there will be plenty of hydrocarbons left in the ground once the hydrocarbon age comes to an effective close.
" Alternatives will be developed sector by sector." I sincerely wish it were true. But where are those alternatives? Don't say wind and solar because the evidence that they are not cost effective is there for all to see. If they were cost effective there wouldn't be massive subsidies and regulations to force people to adopt them. Both wind and PV use more energy from hydrocarbons to make and manage then they can ever produce. Where are the viable alternatives??? Hydro for sure but the last hydro facility was built half a century ago and since then we have torn down a couple dozen dams to please crazy left wing pseudo environmentalists. There are no legitimate alternative and this is in spite of billions and billions of dollars, massive amounts of manpower and the best minds in the world working on it. Surely there would be something, anything we could point to and say that is the power for the future. But so far nothing, well nothing except a couple of fake alternatives whose only purpose seems to be to harvest government subsidies and not energy. I have been in this game for over 65 years. I got my first solar cell in 1955. I have followed all of the possible alternatives for decades and they all claim great promise and yet today there is nothing that can replace fossil fuels. Could it happen tomorrow, a sudden breakthrough or discovery? Sure, but that's not a "plan" that is wishful thinking.
Yes, I know there is nuclear. But even nuclear has it's problems. If it were possible to replace all our fossil powered energy generation facilities with nuclear tomorrow we would begin to run out of fuel within years and it would slowly grind to a halt. We could run a dozen or so nuclear facilities for two hundred years but that will be about 1% of our energy needs. At best nuclear is a bridge to some "magical" energy source. When that magical source doesn't appear civilization will crumble. Period!
I think you're short-selling the advance of technology. There is no doubt that we have an enormous range of goods today that were non-existent as little as one or two decades ago, and are able to produce staples much more efficiently. My mother has a pacemaker that her doctor can monitor online, in real time, remotely. Just the fact of being 'online' was nonexistent and incomprehensible to most people 30 years ago! How many cars do you see with rolling on wooden spoked wheels? How many typewriters did you come across in active use today? How many portable phones do you see today that are smaller than a shoebox? How many NASA engineers 50 years ago thought a private sector electric car maker would become their primary go-to space transportation provider today? You get the idea. The economic extraction of resources depends on the growth and offshooting of free market economies, in unanticipated directions. Invention and innovation will never stop nor even slow down. Maybe eventually it just won't be economic to produce hydrocarbons for moving cars and trucks around, because we have juiced up solar and battery efficiencies to a tipping point. Maybe eventually hydrocarbon refining becomes more expensive than generating reliable plastics from cellulose alone. Who knows? I don't, I'm just a passenger on the bus. But I know my grandfather saw the advent of near ubiquitous indoor plumbing, grid electricity, hydrocarbon transportation, air flight, space flight, radio, television, and vaccines - in just his lifetime, with each one starting from pretty much zero.
That is the dream but it never happened and nothing is going on that makes it look likely. In the past 50 years they made great improvements in those things you mentioned but not wind or PV or batteries. Yes it looks like batteries have improved dramatically but they use toxic heavy metals that are rare and super expensive. Would you even be able to buy a Prius without a massive federal subsidy? I can buy a brand new Kia for what the Prius batteries cost. Batteries are still a terrible problem for alternative energy and there is zero on the horizon to solve that problem. Meanwhile PV and wind have all the problems I cited previously. To the point they are virtually useless as a replacement for coal, oil and NG. In fact without coal, oil and NG it is impossible to manufacture the components of a PV or wind system. It was/is all a scam. They are not net producers of energy they are net users of energy. There is nothing on the horizon. Every year or two there will be big propaganda pieces in the science magazines about some breakthrough or efficiency gain in PV and it always turns out to be more smoke and mirrors and never quite lives up to the claims.
Try it yourself. You don't really have to spend a penny do it all on paper. Check the purchase price for a PV system for your home, retail without any government subsidies. Get the cost of installation, all the peripheral equipment. Then using the readily available tables compute the solar gain, the hours and percentages of generation and reduce that by 10%-15% for loss and other factors not covered by the table. Compare all that cost with your savings. You will be surprised. So what is the payoff period? That is how many years until the system pays for itself. Without the subsidies and with honest calculations you will discover it never pays for itself. NEVER
Anon: They are not net producers of energy they are net users of energy.
That is incorrect.
Solar systems have an energy payback time of about two years. See Wu et al., Review on Life Cycle Assessment of Energy Payback of Solar Photovoltaic Systems and a Case Study, Energy Procedia 2017.
Wind systems have an energy payback time of less than a year. See Haapala & Prempreeda, Comparative life cycle assessment of 2.0 MW wind turbines, International Journal of Sustainable Manufacturing 2014.
Anon: Try it yourself. You don't really have to spend a penny do it all on paper. Check the purchase price ...
You are explicitly conflating energy payback time with economic payback time.
Anon: In fact we may well be in the next cyclical cold cycle or an ice age.
The next glacial period, which was still thousands of years in the future, has apparently been delayed for at least 100,000 years due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. See Ganopolski et al., Critical insolation–CO2 relation for diagnosing past and future glacial inception, Nature 2016.
Anon: The earth is literally unaffected by the CO2, period.
Well, that's clearly not the case, as without atmospheric carbon dioxide the Earth would be a frozen wasteland.
The next glacial period, which was still thousands of years in the future, has apparently been delayed for at least 100,000 years
We predict that a carbon release from fossil fuels or methane hydrate deposits of 5000 Gton C could prevent glaciation for the next 500,000 years.
It was in the very first paragraph. Gee Whizz. I am starting to question your reading comprehensive skills. Maybe you should stick to legal work concerning limited-purpose public figures.
You are welcome!!
Z: The next glacial period, which was still thousands of years in the future, has apparently been delayed for at least 100,000 years due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.
I don't think progressives during the The Progressive period at the turn of the 20th Century (the "flavor" to which the Hildebeast claimed to subscribes - including the racism?) which was marked by amazingly naive arrogance (e.g. outlawing war, building ships that could not be sunk, suggesting the patent office was no longer necessary because everything had been invented) could top the arrogance and naivete of today's progressives who can specify when the next ice age SHOULD come and then say how it has been delayed by 100,000 years!
One can only hope that we've reached peak progressivism or we'll soon be told with absolute confidence that they have come up with the solution to tornadoes, hurricanes, and earthquakes.
mudbug: could top the arrogance and naivete of today's progressives who can specify when the next ice age SHOULD come and then say how it has been delayed by 100,000 years!
"Should" is not the correct term, but "would".
Next thing you know those scientists will claim the Earth is moving, despite all the evidence to the contrary.
“Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
What will those crazy scientists come up with next?
Just because 20 years ago the usual suspects couldn't start becoming the richest guys in the world by trading CO2 futures doesn't mean the usual suspects couldn't become the richest guys in the world by trading CO2 futures.
Just wait until my dad gets back.
Leave it to progressive autistic freaks to complain about the ice age being delayed.
What is it about progs that makes them crave mass death?
"The next glacial period, which was still thousands of years in the future"
Zach you are an imbecile. The next cooling period (mini ice age) is due very soon and no amount of CO2 will prevent it. The next ice age is not predictable and it is scarily true that it could actually happen any time with little warning. Both of these cyclical climate events are almost totally dependent on our sun and not on CO2, water vapor, fake global warming or anything man can do. It will happen with or without our care or ability to control. Anyone who knows anything at all about earths history knows this to be absolutely true. What the left hopes for and seems to be true is that most people know little to nothing about earth climate history. That is why AGW was chosen for the scam. Duh!
Anon: The next cooling period (mini ice age) is due very soon and no amount of CO2 will prevent it. The next ice age is not predictable
Heh. The next cooling period is very soon, but is not predictable. We await your scientific support for your claim that the next cooling is very soon, but also unpredictable.
You mean a hypothesis, Dad?
Zach you are intentionally obtuse and must lie and misconstrue to even make a point. First of all a cyclical cooling period is predictable. A cooling period like the little ice age is cyclical and an approximate prediction can be made. it is the Milankovitch cycles that cause them. The problem with predicting them is that they can be relatively minor, a degree or 2.
It is the ice age that is not predictable. It is solely a result of unpredictable sun activity and not predictably cyclical as the Milankovitch cycles are.
I stated that clearly in my comment and you were forced to conflate the two very separate events to try to make your point. That would make me think that you really don't know what you are talking about and are more of a professional bull shitter then a student of science.
Anon: Both of these cyclical climate events are almost totally dependent on our sun and not on CO2, water vapor, fake global warming or anything man can do.
The primary mechanism of ice ages is orbital variations, along with positive feedbacks due to greenhouse gases and albedo, though variations in solar intensity can cause some variations in temperature.
Anon: Anyone who knows anything at all about earths history knows this to be absolutely true.
That's clearly not the case, as most climate scientists believe greenhouse gases are essential for understanding both Earth's climate history and Earth's current warming trend. They could be wrong, but that directly contradicts your statement.
"Apparently". Pfft, once again you can't even use words correctly.
You know NOTHING about science, by your own admission.
You have ALWAYS tried to use science to spread your lies. And you have been caught repeatedly.
DrTorch: "Apparently". Pfft, once again you can't even use words correctly.
The meaning appears clear. We cited a scientific study, then noted the important impact of the natural greenhouse effect. If you don't understand something, feel free to ask for clarification.
Apparently the clear meaning means clearly what we say it means while notably citing another dubious "scientific" opinion just to prove we are not merely hand waving..
In any case we can see why one would be confused.
Why don't these people ask for clarification, Dad? Did I use the word right; clarification?
De Blasio and his wife are just acting like any democrat socialists, what’s the big deal? Seems like New Yorkers love them. How many times has De Blasio been re-elected?
Why the democrats went after the Koch brothers is a mystery. They have always been after cheap labor, through open borders. Cheap labor fills up their bank accounts. They’re probably big Romney supporters.
That's easy. The Dems want to silence anyone who isn't either a fellow traveler or a useful idiot who will make them look better.
The war on religion and fighting any alternative to public schools...the very reasons we are stuck in the neo Malthusian circus of Gaia worship with Rachael Carson to Al Gore apostles setting the tone for the debauchery of science and citizenry.
About 10 inches of new snow greeted me at 5:30am this morning. Decided to go out and clear off some of the deck (we have a small dog that needs this done to allow access to the back yard) and the walkway. Heavy, wet snow, perfect for snowballs and men. Super quiet - there's a reason it's called a blanket of snow - and peaceful.
Lots of melting going on now as it has warmed up a bit. I've not yet grown tired of this weather.
...without atmospheric carbon dioxide the Earth would be a frozen wasteland.
The atmosphere on Mars is 95% CO2. Why is the planet not burning up? Near the equator, during summer, on Mars the temp can get as high as 70F! Yet Venus, has about 96% CO2, and is very hot. Can you explain this?
Stop it.. Bwahaha... You're kIlling me.
You expect an answer after you've been *plonked!
Notably the kiddiez want to have nothing to do with an admitted troll in any case.
Venus radiates internally, which clearly shows the dastardly effects of dastardly CO2, the Evil Gas, because it makes Venus a net radiator!
Stop bugging our boss in any event. Sure!
Dems Will Fight Any Alternative to Public Schools; Only Dem propaganda is allowed in schools!
AOC called "Pompous Little Twit": Is one of those words misspelled?
Kurtz: The Washington Post made serious errors in their Covington reporting, but it doesn't add up to malice: SURE IT DOESN'T /sarc
Koch Brothers Announce Plans to Intervene in GOP Primaries in Support of RINO, Open Border, “Free Trade” Republicans: They're leftists, now.
UH OH: Wife Of NYC Mayor Bill De Blasio Can’t Account For $850 MILLION Given To City Mental Health Program: It's in a purse on a closet shelf.
RE: Kurtz: They could prove malice, but they shouldn't need to since Sandmann was definitely not a public figure before they libeled him. The fact that he became an infamous pariah due to the MSM lying about him strengthens the case.
But you never know what lunatic activist judges will do.
"CNN’s Vinograd: Trump’s CPAC Speech Had Moment That Sounded Like Hitler, He Said Things That Sounded Like ‘Putin Scripted’ Speech"
"list of socialists and communists in Congress"
Do not under estimate the meaning of this.