We are a commune of inquiring, skeptical, politically centrist, capitalist, anglophile, traditionalist New England Yankee humans, humanoids, and animals with many interests beyond and above politics. Each of us has had a high-school education (or GED), but all had ADD so didn't pay attention very well, especially the dogs. Each one of us does "try my best to be just like I am," and none of us enjoys working for others, including for Maggie, from whom we receive neither a nickel nor a dime. Freedom from nags, cranks, government, do-gooders, control-freaks and idiots is all that we ask for.
If Eyjafjallajokull induces an eruption of Katla
we could expect
is predicted to
have a chance
Well, thank goodness the science is solid.
1. Volcano eruption prediction. Right, because we're so good at that.
2. We're just now coming out of the low sun cycle which argues against the globe cooling.
3. El Nino prediction. Right, because we're so good at that, too. Like the summer of '98, I believe it was, when I moved to a tiny California coastal village and the worst El Nino in a hundred years was predicted to hit. Boy, did I hunker down! I bought a propane heater, backup power supplies, stocked the pantry -- I was ready!
I believe it rained once that summer.
But, as we said at the time, at least the science was solid.
Believing anybody these days with the word "scientist" attached to their name is like believing a used car salesman.
Howdy Dr M -
Weather and climate, as you note, are chaotic systems. The speculation on global cooling would have more influence with me if it looked less like a counter-argument to global warming. I find myself viewing both predictions very sceptically indeed.
I took my family to Disneyland in June 1998. Much of California was just drying out from a serious El Nino winter of heavy rains. It may have missed your village but it sure beat up the coast from Santa Barbara to San Diego.