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Monday, July 13. 2020
Just Wondering When...
I'd really like to take in a ballgame this summer. I know I won't be able to. Which is odd, because if this sport were played indoors, I think I MIGHT be able to understand why not having fans was a reasonable step to keeping people safe. But as I've watched the protests over the last several weeks - all far more crowded than the Sandy Hook beach I sat on during the July 4th weekend - and the crowded beaches themselves, I've noticed there has been no spike in NY/NJ of any meaningful nature.
But let's stick to baseball (or football, soon enough) and mull over the possibility of sitting in a crowd cheering. Is it safer, or less safe, than marching to protest Trump, or the US in general? I'm going to be a heretic and say it's just as safe. Oh I know some people will cry "condemning people to die" or some such nonsense. The reality has been quite the opposite, though. As testing has increased, new cases have (naturally) increased. Like a witch hunt, when you search for something, you tend to find more of it. This, of course, is particularly true of a natural spreading event like a virus. What must be driving the lockdown supporters nuts is the lack of increase in the mortality rate. Recent spikes in mortality were simply delayed reporting. (see chart below fold)
If it's OK to go protest our leader(s), I'm going to say it OK to go to a ballgame. Let's get this nonsense over with. We were originally "flattening the curve" and now we are "waiting for a vaccine." It's really hard to play a game when the rules keep changing. I'm not really liking this game, and that's all it is. A political game, and none of us are going to be winners even if they are right about needing to keep things locked down even a little bit.
Posted by Bulldog in Hot News & Misc. Short Subjects at 20:44 | Comments (14) | Trackbacks (0)
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I'd like to know what committee decided the Phase opening pass/ fail system logic. The only ones that would seem relevant would be Covid bed capacity occupancy . It's pie in the sky to want to use 80% bed capacity filled in total as a goal metric, when you're 10 % covid beds are empty for the most part.
On a brighter note, the Economy might be moving a little bit forward. There was a train of Automobile carrying rail cars parked here for months. They are gone, but the lumber cars that arrived a few weeks later are still sitting. They had to move the lumber ones to get out the Auto carriers. So looking forward to the day those are moving again too.
In Texas we have a bunch of collegiate teams - guys who are off for the summer and just want to play ball between the NCAA seasons. We have a local team, ballpark has COVID seating for a little over a thousand. Cheap tickets, hot dogs, beer, popcorn. Family fun and fireworks. No commercials - it's baseball with bleachers, the way it's supposed to be.
My sister in Dallas has a AA team that is pretty good to watch, too.
Playing baseball in empty stadiums makes no sense, but then one shouldn't be surprised as arbitrary as the coronavirus rules have been.
With a multitude of new rules for baseball, the owners seem intent on destroying their business anyway. They seem intent on turning MLB into Little League.
The world is going to hell.
. . . sigh . . .
I get your point, Feeb. but consider The Arizona Fall League. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arizona_Fall_League, where one can see the "stars of tomorrow today." Attendance is sparse in the day and a few more at night; indeed, I have met Phoenicians (inhabitants of Phoenix) who are unaware of the AFL.
I call the AFL "Baseball Heaven." Admission $6. You have to work to avoid foul balls, which are yours for the fetching. You can hear on field chatter and eavesdrop on the the dugout. One can play pretend scout and the one's there are sometimes chat welcoming. (After attending the games one can tour the wonderful Four Corners national and state parks and monuments.)
I am really interested in the accompanying chart. Can you tell where you originally found it? I’d like to show it to some of my “Lockdown Forever” acquaintances but I know if I point them here I’ll just get told it’s not an original source. Poor would, they will never know the truth and the power of Maggie’s.
I don't know where Bulldog got it, but here is the Twitter thread that takes you through its development. There is an annotated representation a ways down the page. Hope this helps.
I didn't catch the most important point until I read down the thread. In addition to the issues with late reporting of past deaths and the resulting, present-day inflation of the numbers being used to drive COVID panic, the creator of the cross-plot is seeking to understand how many deaths are being re-classified for attribution to COVID-19 long after the death certificate has been issued - the suspicion being that COVID-19 is being claimed as cause of death with nothing more than a mere suspicion that it may have been involved.
Re: deaths re-classified for attribution to COVID-19 long after the death certificate has been issued
Can’t you just smell the science?
Data that cannot be shown to be reliable is de facto garbage.
How will we achieve "herd immunity" hiding in our homes? We succeeded in "flattening the curve". We know a lot more about the virus and mitigating treatments. Let the virus run its course so we can get over it.
Sweden never closed anything for the virus, economy,schools, church,ballgames. Let's open everything.If you get sick stay home until you are over like any other cold, flu season.
Covid is an extension of Russia, Russia, Russia. Information about it is fake. Fake computer models, fake infections numbers, fake deaths, fake testing, fake test results, and topped off with fake reporting from the MSM allied with demofarts and uniparty. The only thing real is the cost in jobs and money...all done to remove or defeat Trump. And the poll results rely on imaginary voters that back dementia Biden.
Like many others, I'm done with professional sports. Not that I watched much anyhow.