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Thursday, July 18. 2013AGW, NGC, ACW, NGW Update: the 'desperation strikes' edition
Pic: scientific proof that CO² exists in the atmosphere As we discussed last time, the most wonderful aspect of the climate debate at this moment in time, and a point simply no one could contend, is how many choices we now have: — If you believe the science, then it's obvious that Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is the villain. — On the other hand, if you believe the science, then there's no question that Natural Global Cooling (NGC) is the true menace. — However, if you believe the science, then it's quite apparent that Anthropogenic Chlorofluorocarbonic Warming (ACW) is the real threat. — And, for those who believe the science, it's crystal-clear that Natural Global Warming (NGW) is what's really goin' on. Again, it's all about the science, folks, and the wonderful options it provides. And that's not to mention the unity it brings to the community as we can all now agree that science is ultimately the answer to this imposing problem. Unfortunately, as in any contest where there are multiple participants, scores are being kept and tallies are being tabbed. Since I'm on the NGW team, it's my duty to mock, scorn and degrade the other three contestants at every opportunity. They constantly do the same to my team, so no hard feelings. As they say, all's fair in love and global thermonuclear war. The headline is correct, however, in that science predicts that one of those 250,000-year severe up/down temp cycles is heading our way and in roughly 180,000 years the planet will be so warm that all of the polar ice will melt and the seas will rise somewhere in the neighborhood of 3,000 to 4,000 feet, so the headline isn't entirely inaccurate when it says "centuries ahead". Next, we have the inherent problem when dealing with such a complex issue on a global scale. It's easy to gin up charts and graphs and stats for some localized event, but trying to come up with even the simplest of rules that work on a planet that ranges from the Sahara Desert to Antarctica is a little different. A pretty good example would be the whole "species dying off by the bucketload" claim. You know, this stuff: Back to Grist, here's a cute bit of implication. Note the use of the word some.
So take heart, ladies and gentlemen, at least some species will live. With the implied message being but all the rest will die(!) unless you immediately donate $100 to Greenpeace and urge your congressman to vote for Cap & Trade! Die, we tell you, die! They know they can't use the word "all", but they're desperate to at least imply most, which only leaves some. Unfortunately, there's trouble on the horizon. The next article we turn to is talking about the current heat wave in Britain, calling it, of course, an "extreme event" — and we all know what that means. But the bad news is that there's good news:
So, adding it all up, some species will die off, some species will thrive, and some species won't give a shit. Science, folks! That's what it's all about. Another example of desperation comes from this recent AGW article as the author describes a conversation he had with some stranger at the airport:
This begs the question, how many people do you know think the sun will cool down over the next hundred years? This is the level of desperation the author must stoop to in order to portray the typical denier. And hey, remember way back when global warming only meant a few degrees and the only ones directly impacted by it were the bucketloads of species that were going to die off and those poor fools living on the coasts?
And there's your ultimate act of desperation. Either the planet's saved or we're all going to die. Die, we tell you, die! Who would have guessed ten years ago that one day we'd be fondly looking back on those times as "the good ol' days"? Trackbacks
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Well, we're ALL gonna die, eventually, and I'm closer to it than you may be. I do know that "Women, Children, and Minorities Will Be Hardest Hit!"
Two James Taranto memes in two sentences!
Yes, it's all quite sad, no matter how you look at it, and particularly for those poor children who will have long melted before they hit their senior years. In other words, the older you are, the happier you should be, just knowing you made it this far. In your case, you should feel exceptionally grateful. Cool post, doc. Actually, if man does have anything to do with it, I'm kind of leaning toward the ACW camp. Those were some pretty strong stats they spit out, as well as the point that the non-warming over the past 20 years coincides with the huge reduction of CFCs in the atmosphere.
Science! Always there when ya need it! "Again, it's all about the science, folks, and the wonderful options it provides."
I remember that line from the last post. It's just terrific. Says it all. Yeah, I've been seeing a bit of "desperation" a bit myself lately. Their examples are a little more far-reaching, their facts are a bit more skewed, their claims a bit more outlandish. That "die" quote at the end of your article summed it up perfectly. It's you or the planet, fella, make up your mind. Fun post, thanks. It's just like that business-type in the Hitchcock classic, The Birds, busy slugging down his Scotch-on-the-rocks, said: "It's the End Of The World, I tell ya - we're all gonna die!
He was real cheerful about it, too... Dr. Douglas Hoyt, a physicist, used to keep a scorecard on AGW claims. He hasn't updated it for years but here's the link.
http://www.warwickhughes.com/hoyt/scorecard.htm Very interesting. Team Global didn't do very well, but at least they got a few points for trying. They were, for example, correct in noting the arctic cap is slowly melting at this point. They got the reasons wrong (water current temp cycles according to him, water & air temp cycles according to what I've read -- on the NASA site, no less), but at least they picked up an E for Effort.
Bless Team Global's valiant effort! Better luck next time! Remember folks LIFE is a Terminal disease. Do not request the cure.
Remember I am not a doctor... Here's is all I have to say about that....
I see Fr. Al Gore is increasing his personal carbon footprint, so to speak; is this caused by ACW, or, gluttony?
I guess moving by that Lear and entourage of Tahoe's does impart a touch of 'exclusiveness', since he's the 'face of the Inconvenient truth'. Might I suggest he preform a hike (maybe several) to the summit of Kilimanjaro to investigate the snow\ice loss - maybe good for the waistline also... Some of our nuclear power industry PR types what to jump on the global WARMING band wagon in hopes of getting a mad rush to build more nuclear power plants...before its too late!
I keep warning them that there are far too many "tells" that there is a scam underway. If public opinion changes, and it will, nuclear power should not be tainted by the scoundrels we've associated ourselves with. "Lay down with dogs, wake up with flies." As Insty keeps saying, its begining to look more and more like Pournelle's Fallen Angels book...
Amazing how these Nihilists follow the stories to the letter, sans any knowledge of it.... Doc M says:
"They were, for example, correct in noting the arctic cap is slowly melting at this point." Let's put that canard to rest once and for all. Yes, ARCTIC ice is declining. But ANTARCTIC ice is growing... even faster than the Arctic. The result? Total global sea ice is right at [in fact, slightly above] its long term average: http://tiny.cc/awgh0w Arctic ice decline is only the latest in a long series of failed predictions by the climate alarmist crowd. In fact, NOT ONE of their predictions has ever come to pass, from runaway global warming, to ocean acidification, to Arctic ice disappearing, to Manhattan submerged, to Tuvalu sinking, to... well, you get the idea. They have been wrong about everything. There is a corollary to the Scientific Method called the Null Hypothesis, which states in effect that no current climate parameters [temperature, precipitation, extreme weather events, etc.] have surpassed past extremes. In other words, what we observe today is quite benign compared with past extremes. NOTHING either unusual or unprecedented is happening. The entire runaway global warming scare is nothing but a giant, grant-fed scam: more than $100 BILLION in federal funds have been wasted on the manmade global warming scare since 2001. That is a lot of loot, and it buys what it is intended to buy: reams of learned papers assuring us that human activity is causing climate doom. Nonsense. The entire human population could fit into a one-kilometer sphere, with room left over. That is hardly enough to change the climate of the entire planet. The government came awfully close to its ultimate wet dream: taxing the air we breathe. If not for the internet, they would probably already be doing it. |