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Saturday, October 12. 2024

Interesting to hear people from their bubble

They might be right, especially for Manhattan. But it's a big country:




Posted by Bird Dog in Hot News & Misc. Short Subjects at 13:48 | Comments (9) | Trackbacks (0)

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Sorry, I don't want to waste an hour listening to it. Transcript, maybe.
#1 Gringo on 2024-10-12 17:48 (Reply)
"The Polling On The Election Is Garbage -- The Press Calling The Race A "Toss-Up" Is Meant To Keep Democrats From Being Demoralized"

https://shipwreckedcrew.substack.com/p/the-polling-on-the-election-is-garbage?r=gfi7k&triedRedirect=true
#2 Erasmus on 2024-10-12 18:00 (Reply)
Just sayin'
#3 Zachinoff on 2024-10-12 18:38 (Reply)
Thanks for the summary and saving my time.
#3.1 grant1863 on 2024-10-12 21:05 (Reply)
They are trying to convince the undecided or at least scare them. This is trolling not to different from what Zach does.
#4 OneGuy on 2024-10-12 18:44 (Reply)
Hopefully this will prove to be another instance of Pauline Kael Syndrome: https://bakerinstituteblog.blogs.rice.edu/2012/10/17/beware-the-pauline-kael-syndrome/
#5 BenDavid on 2024-10-13 06:32 (Reply)
jen rubin was the worst fake Republican of them all. At least she's not faking that anymore.
#6 james wilson (Link) on 2024-10-13 19:43 (Reply)
The only polls I look at are the London bookies. Ladbrook's gives Trump a 6-5 edge. They are never wrong to my knowledge. Compare this to US polls which are wrong more often than right. In fact coin flipping is more likely to be right.


But this Lefturd cat lady has been drinking to Kool Aid for so long that she believes the sun revolves around the earth.
#7 Jane on 2024-10-13 20:33 (Reply)
The polling is currently very bad for Kamala. I wouldn't have said that a few weeks ago, but it's terrible now and it's getting worse. First, Kamala needs a 3-4% lead in public polling in the swing states to have a chance to win them based on 2016/2020 polling vs actual results. She's behind by a half %. She needs to gain 4% somehow and voting has already started. And that's just for now. The oldest polls still being used in the RCP average all favor Kamala in the top 7 swing states. These old polls are about to age out of the average. Trump will be up in the swing state average by over 1% soon. If I were a betting man, I'd put it all on Trump. He's likely to sweep the swing states. Frankly, I'm worried at this point that he's more likely to be murdered before election day than he is to lose the election. Sad, scary, but just being honest. They've already tried at least twice.
#8 itsatax on 2024-10-13 21:55 (Reply)

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