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Thursday, October 5. 2023Thursday morning linksBrain health and exercise: Combining aerobic and strength training boosts cognitive health in elderly Economics Lessons from the Kibbutzim Planned Parenthood is Helping Teenagers Transition After a 30 Minute Consult. The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors Offshore Wind Company Wants To Pay Large Fine To Break Contract In Latest Sign Of Trouble For Industry Fury as women in tech conference is overrun with men claiming to be 'nonbinary' - who cut in front of female attendees to network with employers Today’s blacklisted American: Man’s life ruined because a black man slandered him for profit Famed MLB pitcher Trevor Bauer talks about his guilty-until-proven-innocent experience Central Park's Great Lawn had to be closed early due to damage from the Global Citizen Festival. Illegal Alien Invasion from Sea to Shining Sea! What hath Matt Gaetz wrought by tipping over the House apple cart? FBI Quietly Created New Category of Extremism Ahead of 2024 Election to Include Trump-MAGA Supporters Trackbacks
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Heck, at this point I'm looking for a study that says Jumping to Conclusions is good exercise for the elderly.
Brain health and exercise: Combining aerobic and strength training boosts cognitive health in elderly.
"Go outside and play," Mom musta told me a hundred times. She shoulda had a PhD in Kinesiology. re What hath Matt Gaetz wrought by tipping over the House apple cart?
Good question. Newt Gingrich wants Gaetz expelled from Congress and calls him a traitor. John Cornyn says ousting McCarthy was an act of terrorism(!!). Powerline blog says it was the GOP house committing suicide. My sympathies lie with Gaetz and his allies. The question is, can they replace him with a speaker who can leverage the House's power of the purse to change the nation's course or will we get yet another speaker in the Boehner, Ryan vein, intent on keeping the country going on autopilot while enriching themselves? Rubber Stamp Belmont Club
QUOTE: The game is up, but it goes on because politicians can simultaneously be winning the political game even while discrediting the game itself, like a sports team leading the league even while attendance is dropping precipitously. The revolt against Speaker McCarthy suggests the league itself may finally be in crisis. The system is breaking where you would expect it to — on the Republican side. But maybe the whole system is collapsing under the weight of an open border, unsustainable budget, and lawfare that will finally force a change in flight plans. It’s stalling like an airplane with ice on its wings. The establishment is still trying to maintain altitude and even climb by pulling back on the stick. But will it work this time? https://pjmedia.com/richardfernandez/2023/10/04/life-as-a-rubber-stamp-n1731742 How telling that the guy who made multiple promises, to get himself elected speaker, and then broke every single on of those promises, is not the trader, the terrorist. More members of the Uniparty self identify. The right of center blogosphere, has been an utter disappointment. Except the guys at Powerline, you can always count on their squishiness.
re B Hammer
It's very unusual for a public employee to be held accountable. McCarthy has been held accountable for his actions and the status quo crowd is outraged. The GOP tends to self-select failures like Gingrich, McCarthy, McConnell, Cornyn, Ryan, Boehner, Thune, Barrasso, Young, Lugar, Emmer, Earnst, Blunt, and many others as they fear confrontation with the Marxist party. Those still holding office need to be primaried and replaced. Our debt level demands CHANGE rather than accommodation.
Gaetz is one of but a few who still has measurable testosterone and an attitude to take the fight to the dysfunctional. I still like the idea of Trump taking the speakership until the end of the year. I think Biden will also be gone by the end of the year.
Our Establishment’s Alternate Realities vdh
QUOTE: One common denominator that explains why previously successful societies implode is their descent into fantasies. A collective denial prevents even discussion of existential threats and their solutions. https://amgreatness.com/2023/10/05/our-establishments-alternate-realities/ DC has become nothing more than bread and circuses in an attempt to evade tar and feathers.
"Fury as women in tech conference is overrun with men claiming to be 'nonbinary'". Replace "Fury" with "Amusement" or alternatively "Extreme transphopbia".
The women are deservedly receiving exactly what they promoted. It is amusing observing this latest stage of marxism and even Lindsay must be laughing.
On the surface it may seem OK to pay fast food workers $20 an hour or even $25 as was just suggested for California. And auto workers, dock workers and others from large unions are paid quite extravagantly. But it's all good, right? Unless you are retired or planning to retire. Your retirement income is not keeping up with the inflation and wages. Your measly $1500 a month in SS doesn't even match the $2200 a month that we hand out to illegals. There are only so many Walmart Greeter jobs available for the 65+ to take to put food on the table. This inflation and wage inflation and housing inflation is going to decimate the retired folks on a fixed income. This problem won't peak in 2023 or 2024 it will slowly get worse until it becomes a crisis. And of course the socialist in congress will lobby to end the SS system because it costs too much, which in leftist speak means they want that money to spend it on something else. It is a crisis that is now brewing and will continue to get worse.
Right there with you. A retirement plan that should have worked has been kicked to the curb by this administration's and the left's splendid governing ideas. We are too old to get a job now and wonder how long we can make it.
OneGuy: And of course the socialist in congress will lobby to end the SS system because it costs too much
That isn't consistent with socialism or with the history of the Democratic Party, which has fought against Republican attempts to undermine the system for generations. JC: A retirement plan that should have worked has been kicked to the curb by this administration's and the left's splendid governing ideas. What plan is that? The history of the democratic marxist party is buying votes with more spending that creates more debt that we can't afford. Even the Euro socialists figured that out and their 'new' immigrants are creating chaos and crime.
"That isn't consistent with socialism or with the history of the Democratic Party, which has fought against Republican attempts to undermine the system for generations."
The only serious plan offered by republicans was the voluntary privatizing of individual accounts and allowing the assets in those privatized accounts being owned by the individual. Which would have dramatically improved the overall solvency of the system and result in the individuals who availed themselves of the opportunity being much better off. Simply pointing out that social security is a pyramid scheme is not undermining the system. It's telling the truth. The CBO says the insolvency date is 2033. Statutorily, that results in an imediate cut of over 20% to everyon's benefits. The actual date of insolvency may be earlier. The GDP growth rate assumptions are likely too optimistic. Further, the benefit is shrinking in real dollars because the official inflation rate understates the actual median COL increase.
All of the "solutions" are band aids that just briefly put off the accounting. We might start means testing the benefit, with ever more stringent standards. We'll likely raise or remove the cap on SS taxable income, but that well isn't nearly as deep as the left thinks it is. Do both of those and there's still a big shortfall that has to be made up out of the general fund or with debt. All those changes will be necessitated by the actions of dems. You can still call it social security, but de facto, it won't be the same program. I'll add, that since the bulk of the USA's economic and demographic growth are and will almost certainly be located in red states while most of the economic and demographic decline will be in blue states, changing a program in a way that disproportionately costs the more productive part of the country will making it both more expensive and less generous, will be another pressure to split the country. We might start means testing the benefit...
And so, the people who were prudent and frugal see their benefits cut while those who spend their money as fast as it comes in don't, because they don't have any savings and need it more. Assuming one wants people to save for their retirement, this wouldn't be the best of incentives if you ask me. That would be one of the results. At this point, we don't have any options. All of the possible "solutions" are bad.
#5.2.5.1.1
James
on
2023-10-06 17:55
(Reply)
James: The only serious plan offered by republicans was the voluntary privatizing of individual accounts and allowing the assets in those privatized accounts being owned by the individual.
Such a system would not improve the overall solvency of the system. The problem with such a plan is that current contributions pay for current recipients. To continue to pay current recipients, contributors would have to pay the current payroll tax plus contributions towards the privatized accounts. Unless, of course, you stop paying current retirees and just kick grandma to the curb. The U.S. has a hybrid system. People can contribute tax-deferred to a private retirement account, with Social Security acting as a backstop minimum income. James: Simply pointing out that social security is a pyramid scheme is not undermining the system. It’s not a pyramid scheme as there is no principal. Rather, it’s an inter-generational transfer program, from young to old. James: I'll add, that since the bulk of the USA's economic and demographic growth are and will almost certainly be located in red states while most of the economic and demographic decline will be in blue states 71% of U.S. GDP is in blue counties. (Blue states also have lower rates of homicide.) You are intentionally overlooking the blue cities in the red states. Check out the crime statistics in St. Louis and Kansas City. Who is the mayors party and who are the primary culprits? And the new arrivals?
https://voxday.net/2023/10/01/immigration-of-color-bankruptcy/ "Such a system would not improve the overall solvency of the system." True now. If implemented 18 years ago when Bush proposed it, that would not have been the case Because of the incremental phase in and the claw back of a% of the increased benefits from the privatized accounts. As well as the superior demographics of the country at that time, with the median boomer being in their mid-forties and older Millennials in early adulthood.
"It’s not a pyramid scheme as there is no principal" That isn't what makes a scheme a pyramid scheme. it's the fact that the early contributors reap large pay backs while later contributors are left holding the bag, and the fact that one needs a sustained ratio of contributor to recipient of to keep the scheme going. Both of those traits apply to social security. It is a pyramid scheme. " it’s an inter-generational transfer program, from young to old." Heh. Worth nothing, the same government that created and runs that pension will lock up the managers of a private pension that is run that way. Because doing so is a pyramid scheme. This such an unambiguous fact you should be embarrassed to dispute it.
Demographics is economic destiny. Especially when married with the superior geography of red states. https://www.bing.com/search?q=median+age+by+state&form=ANNTH1&refig=b9989d2e90ab4c3d90a4a3065f5ad60e https://www.bing.com/search?q=fertility+rate+by+state&form=ANNTH1&refig=4b35cee4fb354ca09d7c4ee59fd86d85 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_and_territories_by_net_migration#:~:text=U.S.%20states%20by%20net%20domestic%20 https://blog.hireahelper.com/2023-study-corporate-relocation-at-highest-rate-since-2017/ https://www.census.gov/library/visualizations/2022/comm/percent-change-state-population.html Red states dominate the good end of every one of these lists. Blue states dominate the bad end of every one of the lists. We aren't far from the point where blue states will nearly universally, be leaching off of red states. Hence the forth coming divorice. James: If implemented 18 years ago when Bush proposed it, that would not have been the case Because of the incremental phase in and the claw back of a% of the increased benefits from the privatized accounts.
It was the same problem. The money paid into the system went to current beneficiaries. You would have to borrow additional money ($trillions), raise taxes ($trillions), or kick grandma to the curb. James: That isn't what makes a scheme a pyramid scheme. Investopedia: “A pyramid scheme is a fraudulent and unsustainable investment pitch that relies on promising unrealistic returns from *imaginary investments*. Social Security is an intergenerational transfer program. You make the point yourself. Social Security depends on the ratio of contributors to recipients, and the system is stable as long as the ratio is within limits. A pyramid scheme is inherently unstable because the principal is promised as an investment but does not exist. You further make the point by bringing up demographics. An aging population puts strains on Social Security, but those strains would not exist with stable demographics. A pyramid scheme is inherently unstable, and it has nothing to do with demographics. You're being intentionally dense. The dow jones average is over 3X now versus 2005. Gains in private accounts over a certain level would have been clawed back into social security to pay the remaining conventional benefits owed. The amount of money privatizing SS would have put in the stock market would have at least doubled the dow jones growth rate to 6X. SS would be flush, only a small portion of the population would have stayed with the conventional program, and beneficiaries would be far better off than they are now.
#5.2.6.4.1
James
on
2023-10-07 12:02
(Reply)
I'm not going to take investorpedia as the authoritative source for defining pyramid schemes. The term is derived from the literal geometric shade. People at the top get paid by people lower in the pyramid. Exactly like social security beneficiaries do. SS, like all pyramid schemes, is unstainable. Based on non-existent investments.
There were actually economists who pointed out those facts to Roosevelt when SS was created. But again, why are you picking a fight about subjective definitions of the words "pyramid scheme?" It's like you're using a red herring to dispute the fact that SS is not an economically viable program.
#5.2.6.4.2
James
on
2023-10-07 12:14
(Reply)
James: The dow jones average is over 3X now versus 2005.
You still haven't accounted for where the principal investment would come from. Remember that current receipts pay for current benefits. Do you mean the Social Security Trust Fund? The Trust Fund is only meant to account for the demographic bulge of the baby boomers and represents only about 18 months of Social Security checks. It is not sufficient to account for the principal investment you would need. James: why are you picking a fight about subjective definitions of the words "pyramid scheme?" Because YOU introduced the term meaning to use it as a point of comparison to unsustainable frauds. James: It's like you're using a red herring to dispute the fact that SS is not an economically viable program. Social Security has been working for nearly a century. That's hardly indicative that the design leads to inevitable collapse. The current problem is because of the aging population, but it is well-within the means of the United States to continue the program.
#5.2.6.4.3
Zachriel
on
2023-10-07 12:46
(Reply)
" FBI Quietly Created New Category of Extremism Ahead of 2024 Election to Include Trump-MAGA Supporters"
Surely it's time for the hoarders, wreckers, and running dog capitalist roaders to be flogged through the streets by young patriots to mount the self-criticism stands! Oh... wait.. been done :: Mau Dz Dung smiles :: The FBI is so predictable... just observe the old Soviet KGB.
Closing browser window and it said US jet downs NATO ally Turkey drone near Syria?
They do know that the only winning move is not to play, right? MAGA is a crime against the state, two minutes hate against Trump is mandatory? Alice in Wonderland, V for Vendetta movie set with Brandon striking Mussolini/Mustache Man poses type stuff. I'll pass on the NKVD/Beria LARP. Trump mugshot for gangsta rap album cover and making America great once more triggering them is all you need to know. |