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Friday, June 2. 2006Paul Revere, Chicken Little, or Fear-Mongering Politico?Let me place the Al Gore quote in context, from a brief interview about his movie at Grist Magazine:
How much would you bet that his "solution" would entail government control of the American economy? A "Five-Year Plan," perhaps? Over 100 readers have complained, on my original post this week, that his statement conveys no dishonest intent. In my book, half-truths and distortions in a documentary intended to inform and influence, if not frighten, is dishonest, cynically manipulative, condescending to the point of contemptuousness and, in the end, self-defeating. It is self-defeating because you lose your credibility, and become a common crank. People aren't dumb, except when they want to be. The fact is that anyone can cherry pick data on any subject: the economy, the weather, the dangerousness of ladders, the dangerousness of Coca Cola - and create an instant "crisis." But such "discussions" are not in good faith - they are the ordinary tricks of disputation - "lawyerly", in the worst sense. Are half-truths lies? You decide for yourself. For me, they are. My opinion after this whole Al Gore storm this week on the blog: This issue is not about science; it's about politics or, as Al Gore puts it, it's a "spiritual issue." Hence the emotion. For more quotes from the Global Warming Big Lie squad, see continuation page below - these statements will bother you, even if Big Al does not: These are from here: "What we've got to do in energy conservation is try to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, to have approached global warming as if it is real means energy conservation, so we will be doing the right thing anyway in terms of economic policy and environmental policy." "On the one hand, as scientists we are ethically bound to the scientific method, in effect promising to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but - which means that we must include all the doubts, the caveats, the ifs, ands, and buts. On the other hand, we are not just scientists but human beings as well. And like most people we'd like to see the world a better place, which in this context translates into our working to reduce the risk of potentially disastrous climatic change. To do that we need to get some broadbased support, to capture the public's imagination. That, of course, entails getting loads of media coverage. So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have. This 'double ethical bind' we frequently find ourselves in cannot be solved by any formula. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest. I hope that means being both." (Steven Schneider, Quoted in Discover, pp. 45-48, Oct. 1989; see also (Dixy Lee Ray in 'Trashing the Planet', 1990) and (American Physical Society, APS News August/September 1996). "Scientists who want to attract attention to themselves, who want to attract great funding to themselves, have to (find a) way to scare the public . . . and this you can achieve only by making things bigger and more dangerous than they really are." (Petr Chylek, Professor of Physics and Atmospheric Science, Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia, commenting on reports that Greenland's glaciers are melting. Halifax Chronicle-Herald, August 22, 2001) "We've got to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong, we will be doing the right thing" "A global climate treaty must be implemented even if there is no scientific evidence to back the [enhanced] greenhouse effect" "We have wished, we ecofreaks, for a disaster or for a social change to come and bomb us into Stone Age, where we might live like Indians in our valley, with our localism, our appropriate technology, our gardens, our homemade religion -- guilt-free at last!"
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"In my book, half-truths and distortions in a documentary intended to inform and influence, if not frighten, is dishonest, cynically manipulative, condescending to the point of contemptuousness and, in the end, self-defeating."
So you've seen the film then? Or are you again reading into it what you'd like to be there and commenting on that? Bud:
You are a good reader of Maggie's, and I know you want to keep us honest. And I would not want to debate you. However, at this point I am tired of the subject - which was meant to be about something else entirely, but got side-tracked. If you are tired of the subject, maybe it isn't a good idea to write a whole new post on it?
Also, you managed to criticize Gore for telling half-truths and distortions without actually pointing out any half-truths and distortions. If half-truths and distortions are bad, what about statements *without any factual support at all*? That's fine if the facts are well-known, but after 100 posts you ought to know it's a disputed issue. Not to get into pots and kettles here, but if you're going to make an issue about using bad debating tactics, it's kind of important to avoid them yourself, unless you simultaneously admit that you're also cynically manipulative and in the end self-defeating. You said that if you'd misread Gore's intent, you'd say so. Well, I'm calling your bluff. If you get bored and wander off before you can tell if you misread him, you can't actually correct yourself, can you? Now, if you'd picked Wirth's statements to criticize, then you'd have something. He is clearly saying to do the "right" things for the wrong reasons. That is dishonest and manipulative. If there are right things to do, there should be right reasons to do them. We should focus on those. On the other hand Schneider's statements seem perfectly understandable to me. He's lamenting the dilemma faced by all scientists who work in medicine or environment or other areas which have important public policy implications. On the one hand, to be a good scientist you need to keep in mind all the caveats and uncertainties and assumptions that exist in research. On the other hand--keeping in mind that even with those uncertainties, science is a much better guide to reality than political bias--to be a good human, who cares about family and community and country and humanity, you want to move people to action when the evidence is good and the potential benefit (or threat of not acting) is sizable. Unfortunately, modern media has no patience for qualifiers, any hint of debate is portrayed as a balanced rivalry with equally good support on each side, or problems that take decades or centuries to unfold and resolve. Poor guy. What's he supposed to do? He does the best he can--using simplified, dramatic examples that still contain a truthful core, instead of all the complexities of research. |
"Post-normal science" of climate change. Scientist says: "Self-evidently dangerous climate change will not emerge from a normal scientific process of truth seeking,..." Piece at Mellanie Phillips I'd call it "post-modern&quo
Tracked: Mar 16, 07:04