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Thursday, June 30. 2016

Photo: If you know what that is, you are old

Grizzly Bear Kills Mountain Biker Near West Glacier

Army of 1,000 Ducks Used as Brilliant Pesticide Alternative

Plus the duck eggs and the duck dinners

Why police were called to a South Jersey third-grade class party

California Hits the Brakes on High-Speed Rail Fiasco

Warmist guru Michael Mann tells DNC platform committee to use scary
propaganda, not science, to panic voters into accepting flawed theory

“Fundamentally, I’m a climate scientist and have spent much of my career with my head buried in climate-model output and observational climate data trying to tease out the signal of human-caused climate change.

"Tease out"?

Don’t blame Brits for the Brexit: The EU strayed from its roots in
post-war unity to become a neoliberal technocracy

EU Army on way? EU cannot rely on NATO and needs new defence policy says Brussels chief

Time to invade Britain

The Tyranny of the Regulations Equation

Stonewalling Muslim Homophobia - When gay people ally with their killers.

The Fed Is in an Epic Battle With Itself

Why Did Bill Clinton And Loretta Lynch Meet On Her Airplane In Phoenix This Week?

Just to say "Hi"

The FBI Investigation of Hillary: Is the Fix In?

What We Do Know about the Benghazi Attack Demands a Reckoning

A Socialist Les Miserables in Venezuela

Why more nations are reacting to migration with walls

Turkey-Israel Rapprochement

Posted by Bird Dog in Hot News & Misc. Short Subjects at 06:21 | Comments (44) | Trackbacks (0)

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Library book card file...I spent hours wading through those little cards, both for pleasure and research/school work.

#1 Mark on 2016-06-30 07:18 (Reply)

Yeah, we used to have a saying, "The card file is your friend". No, I take that back. We didn't have time to make up trite sayings back then. Too busy getting ready to graduate, get a job, get married and raise a family.

#1.1 BillH on 2016-06-30 09:23 (Reply)

Still recall the fit of the finger on the pull, and the glide of the drawer. Used it as a boy to find an adventure story with fishing in the background, set in Minnesota. I spent the following 60 years looking for its equal.

#1.2 Estoy Listo on 2016-06-30 10:39 (Reply)

I discovered so many good books using a card catalog when I was a kid. Look up a topic like 'magic,' and see what kinds of books were under it.

In college, doing research, I would get distracted by interesting topics or details.

The good old days...

#1.3 MissT on 2016-06-30 12:10 (Reply)

Just like the epic struggles between Apple and Microsoft, in those days it was between the Dewey Decimal System and the Library of Congress Classification System.

#1.4 Jim on 2016-06-30 13:59 (Reply)

I still don't quite get how to look up books in the computer system at our library. The Old Dewey Decimal system and the card catalog worked just find in the past.

#2 JC on 2016-06-30 07:39 (Reply)

Why more nations are reacting to migration with walls? Easy, to keep out the dangerous invaders, kind of a no brainer.
Loved the vineyard ducks and what a great natural way to keep pests at bay.

#3 JC on 2016-06-30 07:42 (Reply)

Re EU army:

Any EU military would be a direct threat to the US, at least to the extent it actually existed. More likely, it would be an excuse to starve NATO. Eventually, our only allies in the European Theater of Operations would be the UK, Norway and Turkey (maybe).

#4 bob sykes on 2016-06-30 07:54 (Reply)

I seriously doubt an EU army would be much of a threat to anybody. Without the US and the UK, the Europeans have rarely accomplished much (only the French have any expertise or appetite for expeditionary operations).

An EU military would be a stay-at-home, garrison military. The Germans are the best example: they have a well-equipped, well-trained military but can barely bring themselves to employ them anywhere at all.

#4.1 JJM on 2016-06-30 08:12 (Reply)

EU invest real money in their own defense? I'll believe it when I see it. I love the notion that they "can't count on NATO," though, after their long free ride.

#4.1.1 Texan99 on 2016-06-30 08:19 (Reply)

Please allow me to just say "ditto."

#4.1.1.1 mary on 2016-06-30 10:40 (Reply)

Oh, the EU will not have a problem spending lots of real money. Just not to any effect though. And NATO- its time has come and gone as far as I am concerned. We have given Europe 70 years of subsidized protection, time for that to end. Plus, we are not going to go to war, NATO or otherwise, for any of the small states in or near Europe.

#4.1.1.2 ron snyder on 2016-06-30 12:30 (Reply)

Since it appears that the European nations could not mover troops across the Mediterranean sea without the assistance of US heavy airlift assets, it seems highly unlikely that they could reach across the Atlantic any time soon. Is more than just procuring the equipment, they'd need to build the infrastructure and force capability, areas where the US has decades of advantage.

#4.2 Another Guy named Dan on 2016-06-30 15:46 (Reply)

Border Walls
The Takers at the top (Globalists, Financialists, Multinationalists) have done their part to create this mess then they want to scold the West for not rolling over and submitting. There are 4 Billion people on this planet who are dependent on subsistence agriculture. What do we do when they lose their livelihoods and are on the move due to globalization? We already can look to the Mexican model to see the result. This is not to say that globalism is bad just that it is time to be honest and realize that it is not always a win,win for all, unless you are a fan of trickle down.
That said, agreed that migration is historically part of the human condition.

#5 Exasperated on 2016-06-30 08:01 (Reply)

QUOTE:

Warmist guru Michael Mann tells DNC platform committee to use scary propaganda, not science, to panic voters into accepting flawed theory

Dishonest headline.

Bird Dog: "Tease out"?

Yes, that's the correct term. It means to "to obtain by or as if by disentangling or freeing with a pointed instrument", similar to the sense of 'tease' meaning "to disentangle and lay parallel by combing" as in teasing wool.

#6 Zachriel on 2016-06-30 08:29 (Reply)

No. It's more like squinting really hard so that your view distorts enough to say you think there's something there.

#6.1 mudbug on 2016-06-30 08:35 (Reply)

I look forward to AGW with great anticipation. It'll increase food production world wide.

#6.1.1 Sven Svenson on 2016-06-30 10:06 (Reply)

Mann might have better luck going after the fountain of youth. Ponce de León damn near had it 500 years ago, so it should be easy to find in the computer modeling age.

#6.2 BillH on 2016-06-30 09:32 (Reply)

how did you people manage to "tease out" the Coming Ice Age back in the '70s?

I was doing some observational science in my refrigerator and noticed the beer was ice cold. that was amazing because the beer was not in the freezer with the ice.

I've teased out evidence of something.

#6.3 Donny "The Bear Jew" Donowitz on 2016-06-30 10:43 (Reply)

Donny "The Bear Jew" Donowitz: how did you people manage to "tease out" the Coming Ice Age back in the '70s?

There was never a consensus of global cooling. There were two countervailing trends; particulate pollution, which was cooling the surface, and greenhouse gases, which were warming the planet. It was quickly apparent to researchers that greenhouse gases would predominate over the long run. Meanwhile, particulate pollution was significantly reduced through pollution controls.

#6.3.1 Zachriel on 2016-06-30 12:01 (Reply)

"Tease out"

It is what you do with a sharp knife to remove the backstrap and tenderloin from the elk (or deer) you just shot.

#6.4 rocdoctom on 2016-06-30 10:55 (Reply)

...or the splinter you just caught in your forefinger. ...or the thorn you just jammed into your thumb....

#6.4.1 BillH on 2016-06-30 16:13 (Reply)

Yes, we're familiar with the meaning. You're blind, apparently, to the problem in conflating this process with unbiased researches into cause and effect.

#6.5 Texan99 on 2016-07-01 08:41 (Reply)

Texan99: Yes, we're familiar with the meaning.

It's an appropriate use of terminology. An astronomer might tease out the signal for a new planet from background noise. A physicist might tease out the signal for a new particle from background noise. A climate scientist might tease out a long term trend from background noise.

Texan99: You're blind, apparently, to the problem in conflating this process with unbiased researches into cause and effect.

Lack of bias isn't the standard in science, but evidence. The basic physics implies the Earth should be warming due to greenhouse gases. That may bias a researcher to look for the warming trend among the noise of weather and natural climate changes. Bias can lead to misinterpreting results, but, in this case, multiple studies and reviews of the evidence have repeatedly supported the basic finding (e.g. National Research Council, 2006).

#6.5.1 Zachriel on 2016-07-01 15:02 (Reply)

If an astronomer made his life's work out of insisting that noisy data concealed the presence of a new planet, but never was able to confirm it by other means, and hid data that might allow others to check his work--we'd find it quite revealing for him to refer to his process as "teasing out" evidence of his pet theory. Teasing out is something you do when you already have independent confirmation, or you're a hack.

#6.5.1.1 Texan99 on 2016-07-02 20:15 (Reply)

Texan99: If an astronomer made his life's work out of insisting that noisy data concealed the presence of a new planet, but never was able to confirm it by other means

Anthropogenic global warming is supported by many different empirical methods, from physics to paleoclimatology.

Texan99: and hid data that might allow others to check his work

Climate data is easily available.

#6.5.1.1.1 Zachriel on 2016-07-03 08:49 (Reply)

You can find the raw surface temperature data at Berkeley Earth. They have analyzed the data using new statistical means, and show that the warming trend is real, and is almost certainly due to anthropogenic CO2.

#6.5.1.1.2 Zachriel on 2016-07-03 09:37 (Reply)

QUOTE:

What We Do Know about the Benghazi Attack Demands a Reckoning

The article makes no sense, and many of the particulars are inconsistent with what we know.

--
Dr. Anne Stevens, the sister of Ambassador Chris Stevens: I do not blame Hillary Clinton or Leon Panetta. They were balancing security efforts at embassies and missions around the world. And their staffs were doing their best to provide what they could with the resources they had. The Benghazi Mission was understaffed. We know that now. But, again, Chris knew that. It wasn’t a secret to him. He decided to take the risk to go there. It is not something they did to him. It is something he took on himself.
http://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/chris-stevenss-family-dont-blame-hillary-clinton-for-benghazi

#7 Zachriel on 2016-06-30 08:41 (Reply)

So it was Chris Stevens fault!! Did Chris Stevens also know that if trouble were to break out that Hillary and Obama would both imitate Sargent Shultz from Hogan's Heros?

The problem for Obama and Hillary on this issue is the more they and the Democrats try to act as if nothing happened the more that people begin to understand that indeed we/they screwed up. Where was Obama? Still a mystery. Why? Was his location and mission so top secret that he can't tell us where he was while his ambassador was being dragged through the streets and worse? We at least know where Hillary was; she went to bed, no doubt to get her badly needed beauty sleep.

In fact Chris Stevens "begged" for more protection and his security staff "begged" for better weapons and more protection. People on site warned us of a pending terrorist attack and it was ignored. I remain unconvinced that Chris Stevens wasn't set up to shut him up. He becomes one more in the very long list of Clinton insiders who was suicided or murdered before they could talk. Something stinks here.

#7.1 GoneWithTheWind on 2016-06-30 10:32 (Reply)

GoneWithTheWind: So it was Chris Stevens fault!!

Dr. Anne Stevens, the sister of Ambassador Chris Stevens: It is clear, in hindsight, that the facility was not sufficiently protected by the State Department and the Defense Department. But what was the underlying cause? Perhaps if Congress had provided a budget to increase security for all missions around the world, then some of the requests for more security in Libya would have been granted.
http://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/chris-stevenss-family-dont-blame-hillary-clinton-for-benghazi

GoneWithTheWind: Was his location and mission so top secret that he can't tell us where he was while his ambassador was being dragged through the streets and worse?

No, the Ambassador was not dragged through the streets.

GoneWithTheWind: I remain unconvinced that Chris Stevens wasn't set up to shut him up.

Truthiness abounds!

#7.1.1 Zachriel on 2016-06-30 12:10 (Reply)

Coming up on one week out, and still waiting for those market collapses - esp. Oil and NG - as predicted by the "remain" crowd.

Brent oughta be around what, $25 this AM?

#8 Jess1 on 2016-06-30 09:41 (Reply)

Jess1: Coming up on one week out, and still waiting for those market collapses - esp. Oil and NG - as predicted by the "remain" crowd.

Not sure why you would think oil prices would be predicted to collapse, except perhaps a short-term drop. Demand in Asia will continue to grow, and there are a lot of other factors involved that can move the price one way or the other.
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/06/29/oil-prices-fall-as-supply-outlook-improves.html

Furthermore, Britain has not, in fact, exited the EU, so markets are considering that Britain may not leave the EU, or leave with terms not much different than they are now. The uncertainly results in volatility as the markets react to the seesawing in the political situation.

Most economists are expecting the UK to have slower growth than had been expected, and quite possibly a recession.

#8.1 Zachriel on 2016-06-30 09:57 (Reply)

Because Brexit doomsayers predicted it. I, OTOH, pointed out otherwise.

I also note that wti and Brent prices have not fallen lately, so the cnbc link may not be accurate.

#8.1.1 Jess1 on 2016-06-30 10:16 (Reply)

Jess1: Because Brexit doomsayers predicted it.

Citation please. Short term volatility was expected by most analysts, but short of a global slowdown in economic activity, demand for oil is subject to more substantial factors.

What seems to be happening is that when Brexit fears are high, markets become skittish. When there is backtracking, as there has been the last few days, then markets become more confident. British sterling continues to be under substantial pressure.

#8.1.1.1 Zachriel on 2016-06-30 12:06 (Reply)

Typical rhetorical device. When people are thinking of pursuing a policy you don't like, all caution goes out the window: "The seas will rise! The economy will collapse!" Then, when nothing much happens, and people suggest that no one should ever believe your predictions again: "We never said it would be extreme or immediate or unambiguous or monotonic! All we ever said was that some stuff or other would happen, and look, some stuff happened. We're calm and reasonable."

Actually, it's a lot like the attitude toward computer models, which are infallible in foresight but, in hindsight, obviously are mere suggestive tools that no one should have been foolish enough to think you meant literally. Every year you adjust seamlessly from one attitude to the other--surprised every time that people aren't taking your new predictions as money in the bank.

The common thread is an incurious determination never to admit the failure of your theories.

#8.1.1.1.1 Texan99 on 2016-07-01 08:48 (Reply)

Texan99: Typical rhetorical device.

Hardly. The markets seem to be reacting much as we stated.

Texan99: Then, when nothing much happens,

The markets obviously reacted negatively to the Brexit vote. When Britain didn't immediately invoke article 50, the markets rebounded somewhat. The leading contenders to the Prime Ministry have just announced they will further delay invoking article 50, which should help calm the markets. Meanwhile, the British pound is significantly lower in value, and rate cuts are likely.

GDPUSD

#8.1.1.1.1.1 Zachriel on 2016-07-01 14:53 (Reply)

All he has really done is to simply describe the methodology his cadre have been using all along. This is a positive step toward transparency in the AGW discussion in its modern form - maybe we can now discuss all of the prior discussions in their true context. Maybe we could even invent a "Scary-O-Meter" and develop a ranking system for the merits of all hypotheses!

But at least we can finally move away from this charade of treating computer simulations as future facts derived by the Scientific Method - all while deploying Leninist techniques of social pressure to enforce conformance to the doctrine.

#9 Aggie on 2016-06-30 09:46 (Reply)

QUOTE:

"The EU strayed from its roots in
post-war unity to become a neoliberal technocracy"

should be

"The EU strayed from its roots in
post-war unity to become a neocommunist technocracy"

They're not liberals. let's stop calling them that and get back to reality.

#10 ahem on 2016-06-30 10:42 (Reply)

Next year's headline: "Salmonella outbreak linked to organic grapes from French vineyard"

#11 Another guy named Dan on 2016-06-30 11:16 (Reply)

If Loretta Lynch is a close enough friend of the Clintons that they go out of their way like that just to chitchat with her about grandchildren and golf, isn't that a problem in and of itself?

Can't have that one both ways.

#12 Assistant Village Idiot (Link) on 2016-06-30 11:26 (Reply)

QUOTE:

"Our conversation was a great deal about grandchildren, it was primarily social about our travels and he mentioned golf he played in Phoenix," said Lynch Tuesday afternoon while speaking at the Phoenix Police Department.

http://www.abc15.com/news/region-phoenix-metro/central-phoenix/loretta-lynch-bill-clinton-meet-privately-in-phoenix

If you believe that:

I got some ocean front property in Arizona.
From my front porch you can see the sea.
I got some ocean front property in Arizona.
If you'll buy that, I'll throw the golden gate in free.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ioPa1URjZ_Y

#12.1 feeblemind on 2016-06-30 14:24 (Reply)

Lynch and Clinton just happened to meet at the Phoenix Airport and there just happened to be a private airplane ready and waiting for them to meet in (not the plane either of them arrived or left in) and they talked about . . .

Let's be honest. They talked about Hillary's pending indictment and how to squash it. Lynch was obviously promised something in a quid pro quo for keeping the indictment wolf from Hillary's door. What, money, a ambassador position (don't go to the Middle east... just saying), perhaps the Supreme Court!! Yes the fix is in and they didn't even think it was necessary to cover it up very well. Watch now as every MSM outlet except perhaps FOX ignores this story.

This is what it's come to. We are now officially a banana republic and Hillary will be our Hugo Chavez.

#13 GoneWithTheWind on 2016-06-30 12:53 (Reply)

If there is no prosecution it will be interesting to see if Lynch gets a "job" with the Clinton foundation after she leaves office.

#13.1 feeblemind on 2016-06-30 14:39 (Reply)

Maybe she (or a relative) is already on the payroll of it or a subsidiary charity or think tank.

#13.1.1 OldFert on 2016-07-03 14:27 (Reply)

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Thursday, June 30. 2016

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