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Wednesday, October 19. 2011Election 2012: Nevada debate wrap-up
Pretty much says it all, doesn't it? I bartended in Vegas a number of years ago, and while I hated the traffic, I loved the general feel of the city. Seeing The Strip off in the distance was a constant reminder that You're in party town, USA, bub. It was frolicsome and fun. I have some observations here. I suppose the word we'll be seeing for this debate is fiery. It was certainly that.
Snap prediction: I don't know how they decide who gets on these things, but if it's some kind of minimum polling percentage, I wouldn't look for ol' Santorum to be attending too many more of these gala events. Twice tonight he was again an asshole, and the audience let him know. He simply wouldn't stop talking, even after Anderson had handed the mic to Romney. He really came off as a jackass. Then, surprise, Perry did the exact same thing to Romney. Just wouldn't frigging shut up. More on this later. Pop Quiz Question #1: What year is it? "Uh, two thousand, eleven?" Are you sure it isn't twenty-eleven? Cooper Anderson said in the opening spiel something about this being "the election of twenty-twelve". Does anybody say that? By the way, being born and raised in California, I'm something most of you aren't: A Westerner. Hah! And I was mighty proud of that tonight, I can tell you. We note how no one's talked about how the election is going to affect Easterners in any of the debates, but they used the term 'Western' and 'Westerners' a couple of times in the intro, and the name of the event, itself, was the Western Republican Presidential Debate. From what I saw, the only Western-oriented question was when they were asked about Yucca Mountain, the storage facility for nuclear waste. Doesn't sound like much of a subject, does it? Well! Newt was asked if it was safe, and he replied that our best scientists had decreed that Yucca Mountain, off in the middle of the serious boonies, was the best place to store the nation's nuclear waste. And, more to the point, that it was much safer to monitor one site than have the stuff spread all over hell and gone. Pop Quiz Question #2: Why do we have a federal government? With my mouth hanging agape, I watched Paul, Romney and Perry all pander to the crowd by slamming their metaphorical fists on the podium and shouting, "What right does the federal government have to dump its waste in OUR state?!" (lots of applause) That's why we have a federal government. Gingrich got the first big laugh of the evening. During the intros, the first six candidates glowingly praised themselves. When the camera fell on Newt, he grinned and said something like, "I'm Newt Gingrich, and I'm NOT President Obama!" (lots of laughter and applause) Like I've said before, a Big Picture guy. Pop Quiz Question #3: What's wrong with this quotation? "What happens in Vegas, stays in Vegas." I think every article I read about the debate used it, and I think Anderson used it during the intro. When I was 22, I went to Vegas and met up with a friend and his uncle. We went to a casino and were doing pretty well at the blackjack table. Deciding they'd had enough of these out-of-towners raking in the cash, they brought in a middle-aged dealer to get it back. We held about even for a while, then, deciding they really had to do something about these pesky out-of-towners, they brought in the ace from the bull pen: Little Joe. And a more Sicilian, Mafioso-looking character — right down to the fedora — you couldn't ask for. He was a Hollywood casting agent's dream. Little Joe cleaned us out. In no time. I later asked my friend's uncle how he did it. Was he "cheating"? His uncle would only say, "He was dealing light." I said we ought to report it to the Gaming Commission or somebody! He turned to me, looked me carefully in the eye, and said: Son, what plays in Vegas, stays in Vegas. See how nicely that rhymes? And catch the snappy 'play', like 'playing' a casino game? That's the original quote. Google pulls up a paltry 1,440 sites that refer to it. How many for "happens in Vegas"? Over two million. When it comes to liberal bias in the broadcast, two things stuck out: — How many times they used two candidates' names in the question. "Governor Romney, Governor Perry has called you a scum-sucking piece of dog shit. How do you respond to these charges? And, by the way, have you stopped beating your wife yet?" — CNN's use of a split screen might almost be labeled a 'dirty trick', in that the candidates appeared to think the television feed would be solely on the person talking, so their unconscious sneers and grimaces were on display. I note CNN also did this in the first debate they hosted. It was particularly rude when it caught Bachmann picking her nose, or Perry spitting a wad of tobaccy juice into his coat pocket. Also known as, "a liberal TV producer's dream come true." And, here in the eighth debate, Gingrich finally made a tactical error. He was arguing health care with Romney and pulled out one isolated incident where some poor, innocent businessman was being hounded by the jackbooted thugs of Romney's corrupt regime for not having enough money in his government-mandated health care fund. Using one, single, isolated event for your argument is generally regarded as the last act of a desperate man. You can always find one, lone incident that bolsters your cause, the same way statistics can be bent to your liking. They say that 1 out of 4 people is mentally insane. Think of your three best friends. If they're okay, then it's you. Paul also made a strategic blunder. Speaking of ObamaCare, he got a big round of applause when he called for an opt-out clause. He said it would allow people to "get back the doctor-patient relationship." Well, Ron, that all sounds mighty nice, but you know what? If/when ObamaCare comes into full force, there won't be any doctors around for that special old-timey relationship. And those who are just might be a tad expensive. It isn't doctors, specifically, who will have to jump aboard the ObamaCare bandwagon, it's the organization and hospitals they belong to. The doctors, themselves, won't have a say in the issue. The audience loved him, of course. With Anderson's coaching, I think every candidate took a swing at Cain's plan at some point. What I noticed was that no one received a big amount of applause for their counterargument. My feeling was that the audience was thinking along the same lines I was; that if this dude was the friggin' CEO of a huge national corporation, and if he says "This is a good deal", then it probably is. Virtually every other candidate took the "It'll raise the middle class' taxes!" approach, but he just kept shaking his head and claiming they were talking about apples and oranges. Pop Quiz Question #4: Spot the spellink error:
The fish fought and fought for it's life! Damn, I hate that thing. Everybody does. I've seen it on the front page of the online Washington Post site, as well as CNN and Fox. Michelle Malkin, probably regarded as the best writer in the right-wing blogosphere, has done it at least twice. I keep waiting for Taranto to do it. It's only a matter of time.
But I thought at the time, wow, how desperate is that on Perry's part? Dredging up things from the distant past? That's like someone attacking Perry for once backing Al Gore! And what happens? Perry again launches into Mitt, this time over how Texas had created umpteen billion jobs over the past year and Massachusetts had only created some paltry handful. Well, duh! Anybody looked at a map lately? It was a moronic comparison, to say the least. And what did ol' Mitt do? He said something like, "Big words, coming from someone who was the chairman of Al Gore's Reelection Committee." Zing! Turnabout's fair play, Rick. Pop Quiz Question #5: This one's a little tougher. It's an 'observation' test. In the following three feeds, two of them share a remarkably similar trait, and your job is to find it.
I figured you should have at least one easy one. As much as I've bashed Rick Santorum in these things, he made one exceptionally good point. He said that, according to some poll, barely one person in fifty could name a single candidate. Sounds right to me. He basically said the debates are meaningless. He said what really counts is what happens out there. Then he noted that not one other candidate had won their position by winning in a swing state, and he had done it twice. In Pennsylvania. Given that the reason they call them swing states is because they tend to swing elections, and thus the votership is split more or less down the middle, thus making it hard for any candidate to win decisively — much less a Republican in a traditionally blue state — this point has some merit. I pondered in the pre-debate post whether Paul would be asked about his recent proposal to eliminate the presidential cabinet, and when he was and replied in the affirmative, he got a pretty good round of applause. It was one of the few surprises of the night. I was wondering if the audience had really thought this one through. I mean, isn't getting rid of your immediate subordinates one of the first things a dictator does? For the record, Paul did finally get to shout his patented BRING OUR TROOPS HOME NOW!, but the response from the fawning acolytes and drooling sycophants didn't have near its usual gusto. On the other hand, this is the West, where they tend to hang rustlers and the like from the nearest tree. Another obvious trap was Anderson asking a few of the candidates, "Should foreign aid be eliminated?" Phrased that way, it implies all foreign aid, and whoever suggested such a thing? But as soon as a candidate responds, "Yes, but...", the next day's headlines will be screaming "REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES ADMIT THEY HATE FOREIGNERS!" When asked if she'd cut aid to Israel, Bachmann flat-out stated 'No way', garnering her biggest round of applause of the night. My Applause-O-Meter said it was about the eighth loudest of the evening.
As far as the audience goes, my feeling is that they continue to just adore Cain, but think Romney's the one who should be running. Like a lot of people, I thought Perry was going to waltz in and walk away with the thing, but he's made horribly controversial statements to the media, made them at the debates, hasn't been particularly impressive when he's had the mic, and it appears he's simply fallen out of the public's favor. Then tonight, he looked about as unpresidential as anyone has looked so far when he was blathering on and on about what a hypocrite Romney was for (gasp!) hiring an illegal (gasp!) alien, and here's Romney looking his usual presidential self as he's saying, "Now, Rick, you've had your turn..." I think Anderson said at the end that the next debate isn't for a month, so if they use minimum poll results to gauge who gets to participate, I suppose it's possible both Santorum and Perry will be missing in action. Honestly, taking a cue from the audience, I'm not sure anybody would miss them.
At the end, Mr. Big Picture, as he has in previous debates, again noted the bias in the questions, and how they were designed to get the candidates to "bicker" with one another. As I noted, the big tip-off was hearing two names in the question. "Congresswoman Bachmann, Governor Perry has claimed you're a cheap, wanton slut. How do you respond to these allegations? And, by the way, have you stopped beating your husband yet?" Fiery! Trackbacks
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Ok - where did it go? It was there, disappeared and came back again. Aliens? Area 51? ZOMBIES!?!?!?!?!?
Great round up. Ten up twinkles. In no particular order: 1 - Saintedone Santorum did have a good point about being elected in a swing state - what he forgot to mention is his rather significant loss in a swing state 59% to 41% in 2006. He's a non-entity but I'm afraid that he will continue to garner the minimum necessary polling to continue to attend these debates. And be a total jerk. 2 - I like Cain. Having said that, Cain seems to me like a really good candidate for Senator instead of President. He needs some significant polishing in a political sense. Sadly, his 9-9-9 plan is a tax plan - Bachmann is absolutely right on that one. It is a good tax plan, but still a tax plan. Art Laffer likes it so it can't be all bad. 3 - Newt is a smart guy - too bad he's a philandering jerk. 4 - Ron Paul - grumpy old man. 5 - Romney "losing it" wasn't a truly fair attack from Perry. And from what I saw on Twitter, it was recognized at such. Romney was attacked on this in Massachusetts repeatedly and if Perry had done his homework he might have found it to be a dead end. Personally, I don't blame Romney for losing his cool on it - it has been his bête noire as long as he's been in politics. I don't agree with the general consensus that this "hurt" him and Perry scored points. I think it will eventually be seen as a plus for him. 6 - Huntsman's performance last night was his best of the series hands down. 7 - I said it when he first entered the race and I'm beginning to think I may actually be right for once - what plays well in Texas will not translate well to national politics. It would appear that Perry is now a second tier candidate to the Mormon and the Pizza Guy. Some are saying Perry came out of it recouping his mojo - I don't see it. General Twitter commentary: David Limbaugh - So when Newt says, "It needs more study," you think, "if he hasn't figured it out, it must need more study cause you know he's studied it." Mickey Kaus - Looks that way to me too @AnnCoulter MSM trying to keep Perry alive because they want a horse race. Gabriel Malor - Worst moment of the night? Mitt appealing to Anderson Cooper to save him from Rick Perry. Gabriel Malor - Cain's problem isn't the repeated walk backs; it's the repeated walk back-and-forths. Gitmo transfer? Fence? Eh? Best Twitter comment's of the night: Moe Lane - Umm...Mitt? The Chicom's don't really 'do" humanitarian aid. Why? BECAUSE THEY'RE CHICOMS!! Jay Severin - Bachmann: REMEMBER ME?! Sadly, we really don't. Goodnight ma'am. Erick Erickson - Dear Rick Santorum, you were ***NOT*** a fiscal conservative in Congress. My summation? To paraphrase Dennis Green "Rick Perry is exactly what I thought he was - empty suit". Newt was impressive as always, but he's still a philandering jerk in the end. Sanctified Santorum should be finished, Bachmann is finished only doesn't know it yet. Ron Paul won't give it up so we're stuck with him.. That might be a plus though because he might provide some comic relief. Mitt got dinged up, but nothing fatal - yet. There are some rounds yet to come his way - might be artillery, might be BB's, but he's going to have to survive some more shoot outs from Perry if Perry becomes even more desperate. Same with Cain It is still Mitt's nomination to lose, but as one commenter said on Twitter last night - Ben Domenech: Call from NYC: "What the hell happened to Romney?" Me: "Behold the God who bleeds." Haha.
You got some competition here from the Captain, Dr. Merc. Wish you were both on PMS-NBC. BD -
"Wish you were both on PMS-NBC." Given how angry Tom's been these last few months, I'd say he was already on PMS. Furthermore, I- Oh, wait. Did you mean "PBS"? Never mind, then. :) Tom -
"ZOMBIES!?!?!?!?!?" Computer zombies. Very different from the real thing. Also known as "putting it into Draft mode while touching up some things and forgetting to put it back to 'Published'. "Ten up twinkles." (blush!) Why, thank you! "too bad he's a philandering jerk." If one's private religious beliefs don't have any affect on their job performance, why should one's sexual peccadillos? "Romney "losing it" wasn't" I was referring to Perry losing it. Romney was the one who had the floor. Did you see those articles where Perry had said he "wasn't going to play by the rules"? This was an example. Either you have the floor or you don't. Either you act like an adult or you don't. "Worst moment of the night? Mitt appealing to Anderson Cooper to save him from Rick Perry." That's completely ass-backwards. Protocol dictates that they interface with the moderator (that's why they're called "moderators", so they can 'moderate' heated moments - duh!), not get into a squabble match with the other contestants. Anderson should have told Perry that if he interrupted someone like that again, he'd throw him off the stage. "Huntsman's performance last night was his best of the series hands down." A superb observation, and one I should have made. It was certainly his best performance so far, as evidenced by my (for once!) lack of criticism of him. The facts speak for themselves! If one's private religious beliefs don't have any affect on their job performance, why should one's sexual peccadillos?
Two separate issues. It is idiotic to impeach the President of the US for having an affair and have one yourself - in almost the exact same fashion - at the exact same time. I'm sorry - that's very poor judgment on his part and a personality flaw. It would appear that what you and I saw were two different things. Then again, I generally don't like these events so that may have colored my opinion of what happened. Clinton wasn't impeached for having an affair, you goofball, he was impeached for perjury and obstruction of justice.
"I'm sorry - that's very poor judgment on his part and a personality flaw." You mean we can't elect a Republican nominee who has any personality flaws? "Perjury and obstruction of justice about what?"
About abusing the legal system by perjuring and obstructing. Kind of a self-answering question on your part, wasn't it? So, to repeat: You mean we can't elect a Republican nominee who has any personality flaws? Just admit the fact that the charges were related to Lewinsky scandal or the attempted affair with Paula Jones and various other wimmenz and we'll call it even.
Otherwise, I'll keep this up for ever. :>)
#2.1.1.1.1
Tom Francis
on
2011-10-19 15:00
(Reply)
(scratching head)
Oh, you mean why did he lie on the witness stand? Er, does it matter? Regardless of his heinous crime, he still purjored himself and (delicate blush) "obstructed justice". The 'whys' are kind of irrelevant at that point. Besides, you don't even have a finite list. Better to just sum it up with "all female Washington DC interns between the ages of 18 and 26" and be done with it. Tidiness counts, old friend. So, to repeat: You mean we can't elect a Republican nominee who has any personality flaws? Please answer the question. Otherwise, I'll keep this up forever. :) I can keep it up forever longer than you can keep it up forever. Wait a minute - that didn't sound right.
Anyway.... The answer is yes. Why? Because Republicans should stand for high moral and ethical values. I will give Newt great credit for resigning and the reasons why he resigned. It was the honorable thing to do given the circumstances. (See Nancy Pelosi for the opposite example.) With that said, personal lives and personal proclivities are reflections of one's soul in my opinion. Newt didn't pass the test.
#2.1.1.1.1.1.1
Tom Francis
on
2011-10-19 22:58
(Reply)
"Because Republicans should stand for high moral and ethical values."
What's if that's the root of the problem? That, because of people like you, Republicans feel like they own the moral high ground and therefore have the 'moral' right to tell everybody else exactly what's best for them? "Newt didn't pass the test." So, failing to abide by a tiny piece of paper -- the marriage certificate -- fails the test, but believing Jesus rode around on dinosaurs passes? Being hoaxed by the AGW crowd passes? Handing out free college degrees to sons and daughters of illegal aliens passes? What if his wife was a total bitch, hadn't put out in years, and deserved whatever ill fate awaited her? How come the woman is automatically the good guy here? Why is the marriage certificate sacrosanct, but scientific idiocy (AGW) deemed perfectly okay? In other words, if they fail the Personality Test, then they're eliminated from the running, but if they fail the Intelligence Test, no problem? I clicked on 'Here' and having been to Vegas a few times I beleived everything you wrote, untill that last line. Unless your dead, you notice.
I was trying to be 'breezy' and 'sophisticated' and 'above it all'.
I obviously failed miserably. :) |