He thinks the numbers predict a historic Dem smash-up. Says Jay:" I had to rub my eyes and look a second time. I could barely believe it."
I think it's all about turn-out.
From Fernandez' Aftermath at Pajamas:
...the sheer ferocity of the campaign suggests that all sides see it as a Rubicon, which once crossed means that more is to follow. Perhaps nobody sees 2010 as an end, only as the beginning of a very fundamental struggle.
The proximate cause of the conflict, even though he is ultimately not its basic antecedent, is the president. The Washington Post calls Barack Obama the divider-in-chief. He didn’t create the fence; he simply made it impossible to straddle it. The president has made it necessary to choose political sides. In a way, Barack Obama has done more than any recent president to cast the issues starkly.
It has been made clear as day to voters that a vote for a national Dem is a vote for a Leftist agenda.